stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,379 
|
Guildford
Mar 13, 2024 23:50:02 GMT
via mobile
Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 23:50:02 GMT
Guildford
|
|
Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
|
Post by Ports on Jun 8, 2024 10:06:38 GMT
|
|
YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,907
Member is Online
|
Post by YL on Jul 4, 2024 23:34:36 GMT
Lib Dems claiming victory apparently.
|
|
cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
Member is Online
|
Guildford
Jul 12, 2024 22:20:31 GMT
via mobile
Post by cogload on Jul 12, 2024 22:20:31 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by jakegb on Jul 13, 2024 8:14:53 GMT
A convincing majority but surprised it was not 5 figures + given historical Lib Dem strength.
Definitely one of the lower Cons to LD swings in LD targets; this is even more true in nearby Godalming and Ash.
|
|
|
|
Guildford
Jul 13, 2024 8:21:14 GMT
via mobile
Post by heslingtonian on Jul 13, 2024 8:21:14 GMT
A convincing majority but surprised it was not 5 figures + given historical Lib Dem strength. Definitely one of the lower Cons to LD swings in LD targets; this is even more true in nearby Godalming and Ash. From what I understand Angela Richardson was a fairly hard-working campaigner who at least gave it a go in defending the seat even though she must have known it was a losing cause as soon as the election was called. This contrasts with seats where unpopular Conservative incumbents in Surrey stood down (Raab, Gove, Grayling etc) which saw larger swings. Potential scope for the Lib Dems to expand their majority here depending on the national situation next time round. |
|
|
|
Post by heslingtonian on Jul 13, 2024 8:33:17 GMT
Falls in Conservative vote in Surrey:
Godalming & Ash 10.8%
Runnymede & Weybridge 15.0%
Guildford 15.1%
Esher & Walton 19.2%
Windsor 19.6%
Dorking & Horley 20.1%
Reigate 20.4%
Woking 21.8%
Epsom & Ewell 22.4%
Farnham & Bordon 23.7%
East Surrey 24.7%
Surrey Heath 24.9%
Spelthorne 28.5%
Ironic that they held Spelthorne where the vote fell furthest albeit this was probably the best Reform area in Surrey which will explain this.
The Surrey Heath and Epsom & Ewell results stand out as especially bad results for the Conservatives for me and I don't think the candidate selections in either seat did them any favours against strong Liberal Democrat candidates. Also notable that the three best results were where an incumbent was defending their seat.
|
|
