Folkestone and Hythe

[stb12]

Folkestone and Hythe

[mrsir]

I think this has a smaller notional majority than quite a lot of previous Labour held Kent seats.

Really hoping the left-wing turd Collins loses.

[carolus]

www.folkestone-hythe.gov.uk/downloads/file/5330/statement-of-persons-nominated-notice-of-poll-and-situation-of-polling-stations-folkestone-and-hythe-constituency

8 - Con, Green, Lab, LD, Reform UK, TUSC, Fairer Voting Party, Socialist Party of Great Britain

[right]

Socialist Party GB leaflet:

electionleaflets.org/leaflets/20267/

And TUSC's (although disappointingly doesn't make clear if they are also the Socialist Party component):

electionleaflets.org/leaflets/19648/

Splitters!

[Ports]

Sunak campaigning in Witney this morning led me to wonder if this other ex-leader's seat will change hands - and with an election that is as likely to have its fair share of surprises this would be one of the more widely predicted ones, if you can excuse the oxymoron. It'll be close but I'd predict a Labour gain, partly due to the migration and transport issues that have affected the area. I suspect a bit of that Green local election vote might go back to the Tories but the results were still pretty dire for them in the towns that give the seat its name.

[Devil Wincarnate]

Jul 2, 2024 8:06:59 GMT Ports said:

Sunak campaigning in Witney this morning led me to wonder if this other ex-leader's seat will change hands - and with an election that is as likely to have its fair share of surprises this would be one of the more widely predicted ones, if you can excuse the oxymoron. It'll be close but I'd predict a Labour gain, partly due to the migration and transport issues that have affected the area. I suspect a bit of that Green local election vote might go back to the Tories but the results were still pretty dire for them in the towns that give the seat its name.

Another place that has acquired a lot of the Down From London crowd since the pandemic as well.

[YL]

Lab gain, majority 3729.

[Clark]

Lib Dems have fallen off a cliff here in recent years - lost deposit last night. They used to be the active challengers to Michael Howard back in the day

[hullenedge]

Jul 5, 2024 21:47:31 GMT Clark said:

Lib Dems have fallen off a cliff here in recent years - lost deposit last night. They used to be the active challengers to Michael Howard back in the day

There was a massive falling out (20 years ago?) amongst the councillors. The group split and the inevitable demise followed.

[monksfield]

Jul 2, 2024 8:06:59 GMT Ports said:

Sunak campaigning in Witney this morning led me to wonder if this other ex-leader's seat will change hands - and with an election that is as likely to have its fair share of surprises this would be one of the more widely predicted ones, if you can excuse the oxymoron. It'll be close but I'd predict a Labour gain, partly due to the migration and transport issues that have affected the area. I suspect a bit of that Green local election vote might go back to the Tories but the results were still pretty dire for them in the towns that give the seat its name.

Amazing to think the Tories lost:

Howard’s Seat
Cameron’s Seat
Thatcher’s Seat
May’s Seat
Truss’s Seat

and only held IDS’s Seat because of local issues.

Truly the end of days.

[jakegb]

Jul 7, 2024 8:49:16 GMT monksfield said:

Jul 2, 2024 8:06:59 GMT Ports said:

Sunak campaigning in Witney this morning led me to wonder if this other ex-leader's seat will change hands - and with an election that is as likely to have its fair share of surprises this would be one of the more widely predicted ones, if you can excuse the oxymoron. It'll be close but I'd predict a Labour gain, partly due to the migration and transport issues that have affected the area. I suspect a bit of that Green local election vote might go back to the Tories but the results were still pretty dire for them in the towns that give the seat its name.

Amazing to think the Tories lost:

Howard’s Seat
Cameron’s Seat
Thatcher’s Seat
May’s Seat
Truss’s Seat

and only held IDS’s Seat because of local issues.

Truly the end of days.

And very nearly lost Major's seat: the safest Tory seat after the 97 election. 

[johnloony]

Jul 7, 2024 8:49:16 GMT monksfield said:

Jul 2, 2024 8:06:59 GMT Ports said:

Sunak campaigning in Witney this morning led me to wonder if this other ex-leader's seat will change hands - and with an election that is as likely to have its fair share of surprises this would be one of the more widely predicted ones, if you can excuse the oxymoron. It'll be close but I'd predict a Labour gain, partly due to the migration and transport issues that have affected the area. I suspect a bit of that Green local election vote might go back to the Tories but the results were still pretty dire for them in the towns that give the seat its name.

Amazing to think the Tories lost:

Howard’s Seat
Cameron’s Seat
Thatcher’s Seat
May’s Seat
Truss’s Seat

and only held IDS’s Seat because of local issues.

Truly the end of days.

And Boris Johnson's seat as well.

[batman]

though that was less amazing as it wasn't seen as a safe seat.

[greenhert]

Jul 7, 2024 8:49:16 GMT monksfield said:

Jul 2, 2024 8:06:59 GMT Ports said:

Sunak campaigning in Witney this morning led me to wonder if this other ex-leader's seat will change hands - and with an election that is as likely to have its fair share of surprises this would be one of the more widely predicted ones, if you can excuse the oxymoron. It'll be close but I'd predict a Labour gain, partly due to the migration and transport issues that have affected the area. I suspect a bit of that Green local election vote might go back to the Tories but the results were still pretty dire for them in the towns that give the seat its name.

Amazing to think the Tories lost:

Howard’s Seat
Cameron’s Seat
Thatcher’s Seat
May’s Seat
Truss’s Seat

and only held IDS’s Seat because of local issues.

Truly the end of days.

It was surprising that the closest successor to Macmillan's seat, Bromley & Biggin Hill, was not lost by the Conservatives. Notionally it did not look that safe. (Stanley) Baldwin's seat and Heath's seat even amidst these circumstances were not going to be lost by the Conservatives.

Conversely, Eden's old seat of Warwick & Leamington is now a safe Labour seat (if there really are any safe seats nowadays) for the foreseeable future.

As for Churchill's old seat, that no longer exists, having been broken up in 1997 and never restored.

[Foggy]

Jul 7, 2024 11:35:10 GMT johnloony said:

Jul 7, 2024 8:49:16 GMT monksfield said:

Amazing to think the Tories lost:

Howard’s Seat
Cameron’s Seat
Thatcher’s Seat
May’s Seat
Truss’s Seat

and only held IDS’s Seat because of local issues.

Truly the end of days.

And Boris Johnson's seat as well.

Both of them!