stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,384 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 23:46:42 GMT
Farnham and Bordon
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Terry Weldon
Lib Dem
Councilor, Waverley BC and Haslemere TC. Lifelong liberal, in S Africa and now UK
Posts: 307
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Post by Terry Weldon on May 22, 2024 22:54:14 GMT
In Waverley,formner Tory WBC councillor and Finance portfolio holder has defected to the Reform Party, and will be their candidate for the GE in Farnham & Bordon.
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Post by batman on May 22, 2024 22:56:11 GMT
In Waverley,formner Tory WBC councillor and Finance portfolio holder has defected to the Reform Party, and will be their candidate for the GE in Farnham & Bordon. his name? |
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Terry Weldon
Lib Dem
Councilor, Waverley BC and Haslemere TC. Lifelong liberal, in S Africa and now UK
Posts: 307
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Post by Terry Weldon on May 23, 2024 6:14:10 GMT
Stupid ommission - Jed Hall.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,436
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Post by iain on Jun 8, 2024 18:20:15 GMT
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Terry Weldon
Lib Dem
Councilor, Waverley BC and Haslemere TC. Lifelong liberal, in S Africa and now UK
Posts: 307
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Post by Terry Weldon on Jul 3, 2024 9:15:49 GMT
This is one half of what was Jeremy Hunt's current seat of SW Surrey. It's well known that Hunt has a tough fight on his hands in the other half, Godalming and Ash, which has had a lot of press attention. With the focus on G&A, this one has slipped under the radar, but could spring a surprise.
The notional 2019 results show the Tories marginally weaker in this half than in Godalming & Ash, the MRP polls since the election was called almost all show a close race between Tories and LibDems, and the betting odds have been shortening in our favour.
One more thing: Tories themselves are clearly worried. LD canvassers in Haslemere yesterday met some Tory canvassers who'd been sent up from Southampton to help out, including a former leader of the Southampton council.
They also distribuing a leaflet with the entirely false claim that the choice is between Conservatives and Labour, complete with a bar graph showing "LibDems can't win here" - but the graph shows the result of the Mid Bedfordhire by-election last year, which has nothing to do with this constituency.
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jul 3, 2024 9:52:52 GMT
This is one half of what was Jeremy Hunt's current seat of SW Surrey. It's well known that Hunt has a tough fight on his hands in the other half, Godalming and Ash, which has had a lot of press attention. With the focus on G&A, this one has slipped under the radar, but could spring a surprise. The notional 2019 results show the Tories marginally weaker in this half than in Godalming & Ash, the MRP polls since the election was called almost all show a close race between Tories and LibDems, and the betting odds have been shortening in our favour. One more thing: Tories themselves are clearly worried. LD canvassers in Haslemere yesterday met some Tory canvassers who'd been sent up from Southampton to help out, including a former leader of the Southampton council. They also distribuing a leaflet with the entirely false claim that the choice is between Conservatives and Labour, complete with a bar graph showing "LibDems can't win here" - but the graph shows the result of the Mid Bedfordhire by-election last year, which has nothing to do with this constituency. If so, I'm not sure that it's working too well. The economist Danny Blanchflower lives in this constituency and he tweeted a few days ago that he had voted tactically for the Lib Dems and that brought a lot of replies from Labour and Green voters in FAB saying they had done the same thing. |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,142
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Post by cogload on Jul 3, 2024 10:08:05 GMT
I thought Blanchflower lives in the USofA?
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Post by Merseymike on Jul 3, 2024 10:15:34 GMT
I thought Blanchflower lives in the USofA? Both. Probably has a house in Surrey and in America. Loaded! |
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jul 3, 2024 16:03:29 GMT
I thought Blanchflower lives in the USofA? He may do but he maintains his home address in FAB. |
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jul 3, 2024 16:14:15 GMT
Lots of lecturers I knew lived in one country and taught in this one (it comes more naturally to them perhaps), and in this age of academic working conditions, there certainly will be a number doing the reverse even if Blanchflower's reasons are not the same.
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Post by jakegb on Jul 3, 2024 18:58:49 GMT
Godalming and Ash seem to have a lot more Lib Dems posters up compared to this seat, where activity (in terms of posters) seems fairly modest (particularly in the Bordon end). Nr Hindhead, there's not an insignificant number of blue posters.
My gut says this could be a narrow Cos hold, with G & A going gold.
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Post by aintree92 on Jul 3, 2024 22:41:15 GMT
This is one half of what was Jeremy Hunt's current seat of SW Surrey. It's well known that Hunt has a tough fight on his hands in the other half, Godalming and Ash, which has had a lot of press attention. With the focus on G&A, this one has slipped under the radar, but could spring a surprise. The notional 2019 results show the Tories marginally weaker in this half than in Godalming & Ash, the MRP polls since the election was called almost all show a close race between Tories and LibDems, and the betting odds have been shortening in our favour. One more thing: Tories themselves are clearly worried. LD canvassers in Haslemere yesterday met some Tory canvassers who'd been sent up from Southampton to help out, including a former leader of the Southampton council. They also distribuing a leaflet with the entirely false claim that the choice is between Conservatives and Labour, complete with a bar graph showing "LibDems can't win here" - but the graph shows the result of the Mid Bedfordhire by-election last year, which has nothing to do with this constituency. Haslemere is in the Farnham & Bordan constituency, not Godalming & Ash. |
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Post by carolus on Jul 4, 2024 0:03:52 GMT
This is one half of what was Jeremy Hunt's current seat of SW Surrey. It's well known that Hunt has a tough fight on his hands in the other half, Godalming and Ash, which has had a lot of press attention. With the focus on G&A, this one has slipped under the radar, but could spring a surprise. The notional 2019 results show the Tories marginally weaker in this half than in Godalming & Ash, the MRP polls since the election was called almost all show a close race between Tories and LibDems, and the betting odds have been shortening in our favour. One more thing: Tories themselves are clearly worried. LD canvassers in Haslemere yesterday met some Tory canvassers who'd been sent up from Southampton to help out, including a former leader of the Southampton council. They also distribuing a leaflet with the entirely false claim that the choice is between Conservatives and Labour, complete with a bar graph showing "LibDems can't win here" - but the graph shows the result of the Mid Bedfordhire by-election last year, which has nothing to do with this constituency. Haslemere is in the Farnham & Bordan constituency, not Godalming & Ash. I don't think the post you quoted suggests otherwise. |
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Post by greenhert on Aug 4, 2024 21:01:54 GMT
Very surprising that despite this new seat getting little media coverage, especially compared to its neighbour Godalming & Ash, that the Conservative majority in this seat over the Liberal Democrats was only 348 votes higher than in said Godalming & Ash. In fact the Liberal Democrats are at least 3 times more likely to capture this seat next time than Godalming & Ash!
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Aug 4, 2024 22:03:14 GMT
If the Lib Dems get Bord of splitting resources between here and Goldalmng, they could take this next time. They weren't Far off winning as you elucidate.
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