stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,379 
|
Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 23:38:17 GMT
Chichester
|
|
|
|
Post by matureleft on Mar 27, 2024 10:14:30 GMT
A steady flow of Lib Dem literature here, with a smaller number from the Tories. The Lib Dems won the council in 2023 very comfortably and their candidate is a district councillor although, slightly surprisingly, not from the constituency itself (though one might assume she was from a casual reading of her literature).
The leaflets heavily emphasise the view that neither Labour nor the Greens have any hope here backed both by incautious (? deliberate) national Labour remarks (Lammy suggested Keegan was under threat from the Lib Dems), a quote from Labour's list of non-targets and use of local government voting data. Rather foolish direct approaches were made to the local Labour Party to discourage activity.
There are certainly sufficient anti-Tory votes here in anything like current circumstances with the new boundaries (which make it a somewhat more urban seat). There are always pitfalls as well as advantages to running the council and the council is struggling with its local plan so anger-provoking planning issues are not unlikely. Plenty of focus on environmental (particularly sewage dumping) issues.
Relations between the Lib Dems and Greens locally appear poor. The Greens have selected a Chichester district councillor from a city ward, Tim Young, as their parliamentary candidate, although I'm not sure he lives in the constituency. Labour has held their selection back, indicating that Lammy's view is held at regional level.
I will be moving (again - sigh!) before the election now May is effectively gone, so I'll be spared tiresome squeeze material.
|
|
iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,433
|
Post by iain on Mar 27, 2024 11:53:56 GMT
We are very bullish about this seat from what I can tell. I’ll believe it when I see it.
|
|
|
|
Post by heslingtonian on Mar 27, 2024 17:57:40 GMT
Have also heard from Lib Dems that they really fancy their chances here.
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 27, 2024 18:55:36 GMT
So basically its 1974 and 1983 and 2010 and 2019 again and the Lib Dems are fancying their chances everywhere and will end up massively underperforming relative to the ramping of them and their online cheerleaders
|
|
iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,433
|
Post by iain on Mar 27, 2024 19:03:22 GMT
So basically its 1974 and 1983 and 2010 and 2019 again and the Lib Dems are fancying their chances everywhere and will end up massively underperforming relative to the ramping of them and their online cheerleaders Our targeting is actually pretty conservative. This seat is I think in a lower tranche of targets, but the party is pretty enthused about it. More a Solihull 2005 situation (though as I implied above, I’ll be very surprised if we actually win it) rather than a 2019 let’s target everywhere bonanza. |
|
|
|
Post by heslingtonian on Mar 27, 2024 20:06:13 GMT
So basically its 1974 and 1983 and 2010 and 2019 again and the Lib Dems are fancying their chances everywhere and will end up massively underperforming relative to the ramping of them and their online cheerleaders Our targeting is actually pretty conservative. This seat is I think in a lower tranche of targets, but the party is pretty enthused about it. More a Solihull 2005 situation (though as I implied above, I’ll be very surprised if we actually win it) rather than a 2019 let’s target everywhere bonanza. I'd say 1997 and 2001 are arguably better comparisons. And was everyone expecting some of the Lib Dem gains at those elections (Northavon, Guildford etc)? |
|
|
|
Post by markgoodair on Apr 22, 2024 14:53:12 GMT
Labour have selected Tom Collinge as their PPC.
|
|
cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
Member is Online
|
Post by cogload on May 25, 2024 12:35:33 GMT
Ed Davey in the city this morning.
|
|
|
|
Post by evergreenadam on May 25, 2024 14:05:48 GMT
Our targeting is actually pretty conservative. This seat is I think in a lower tranche of targets, but the party is pretty enthused about it. More a Solihull 2005 situation (though as I implied above, I’ll be very surprised if we actually win it) rather than a 2019 let’s target everywhere bonanza. I'd say 1997 and 2001 are arguably better comparisons. And was everyone expecting some of the Lib Dem gains at those elections (Northavon, Guildford etc)? Northavon was a Lib Dem gain in 1997 but I know what you mean. |
|
|
|
Post by batman on May 25, 2024 17:02:21 GMT
I don't think Northavon was much of a surprise in 1997. Guildford in 2001 was, though.
|
|
Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,011
|
Post by Khunanup on May 25, 2024 18:09:50 GMT
I don't think Northavon was much of a surprise in 1997. Guildford in 2001 was, though. It certainly was for most Lib Dems in the country. The refrain 'where the hell is Northavon' was heard up and down the land in Lib Dem circles... Solihull '05 was a mind blower. |
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on May 25, 2024 18:24:40 GMT
I don't think Northavon was much of a surprise in 1997. Guildford in 2001 was, though. It certainly was for most Lib Dems in the country. The refrain 'where the hell is Northavon' was heard up and down the land in Lib Dem circles... Solihull '05 was a mind blower. ”North” and “Avon” might be a bit of a kloo |
|
Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,084
|
Post by Sg1 on May 25, 2024 18:35:45 GMT
It certainly was for most Lib Dems in the country. The refrain 'where the hell is Northavon' was heard up and down the land in Lib Dem circles... Solihull '05 was a mind blower. ”North” and “Avon” might be a bit of a kloo In fairness, many constituencies are north of the Avon |
|
|
|
Post by nobodyimportant on May 25, 2024 18:38:28 GMT
It certainly was for most Lib Dems in the country. The refrain 'where the hell is Northavon' was heard up and down the land in Lib Dem circles... Solihull '05 was a mind blower. ”North” and “Avon” might be a bit of a kloo Only a bit, though, as there are quite a few Avons. |
|
Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,084
|
Post by Sg1 on May 25, 2024 18:40:19 GMT
”North” and “Avon” might be a bit of a kloo Only a bit, though, as there are quite a few Avons. There are. One just knocked on my door |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,301
|
Post by maxque on May 25, 2024 18:43:10 GMT
It certainly was for most Lib Dems in the country. The refrain 'where the hell is Northavon' was heard up and down the land in Lib Dem circles... Solihull '05 was a mind blower. ”North” and “Avon” might be a bit of a kloo Indeed, in some circles, they might think it's a door-to-door cosmetics saleswoman only covering the north of the area they're in. |
|
steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
|
Post by steve on May 25, 2024 20:36:02 GMT
I don't think Northavon was much of a surprise in 1997. Guildford in 2001 was, though. I'd agree. I think the other surprise in 2001 was Ludlow. |
|
Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,011
|
Post by Khunanup on May 25, 2024 20:56:31 GMT
It certainly was for most Lib Dems in the country. The refrain 'where the hell is Northavon' was heard up and down the land in Lib Dem circles... Solihull '05 was a mind blower. ”North” and “Avon” might be a bit of a kloo Which one? |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on May 25, 2024 21:12:31 GMT
”North” and “Avon” might be a bit of a kloo Which one? Magnetic North. |
|
