stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,368 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 23:03:04 GMT
Pendle and Clitheroe
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
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Post by john07 on Jun 5, 2024 0:29:34 GMT
Are there any projections for this seat?
I worked in Clitheroe for a spell back in the day when a school was being built. I was dealing with two contracts at the time, the other in Kendal. I would spend a day in Clitheroe and then drive up to Kendal for an overnight stay in Kendal. I would then work on the Insurance Company office project the next day.
I have subsequently visited Clitheroe a couple of times for Oyster Band concerts in a great local arts venue.
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Post by batman on Jun 5, 2024 6:42:19 GMT
Bearing in mind the extreme turbulence in the local Labour Party, I suspect that the Tories have a good chance of holding on here.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Jun 5, 2024 6:42:20 GMT
Are there any projections for this seat? There are projections for every seat... YouGov MRP Lab 41 Con 33 More in Common MRP Lab 39 Con 35 Electoral Calculus Lab 47 Con 34 Survation MRP Lab 46 Con 30 ElectionMapsUK Nowcast Lab 47 Con 28 Britain Predicts Lab 45 Con 38 None of these show/take account of any damage to Labour from their problems in Pendle, which may be a warning sign. |
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Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,419
Member is Online
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Post by Merseymike on Jun 5, 2024 7:36:45 GMT
Are there any projections for this seat? There are projections for every seat... YouGov MRP Lab 41 Con 33 More in Common MRP Lab 39 Con 35 Electoral Calculus Lab 47 Con 34 Survation MRP Lab 46 Con 30 ElectionMapsUK Nowcast Lab 47 Con 28 Britain Predicts Lab 45 Con 38 None of these show/take account of any damage to Labour from their problems in Pendle, which may be a warning sign. I don't think there is a WP or Independent candidate? |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Jun 5, 2024 7:44:17 GMT
There are projections for every seat... YouGov MRP Lab 41 Con 33 More in Common MRP Lab 39 Con 35 Electoral Calculus Lab 47 Con 34 Survation MRP Lab 46 Con 30 ElectionMapsUK Nowcast Lab 47 Con 28 Britain Predicts Lab 45 Con 38 None of these show/take account of any damage to Labour from their problems in Pendle, which may be a warning sign. I don't think there is a WP or Independent candidate? The WP list shows Omar Ahmed as their candidate here. |
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Merseymike
Independent
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Post by Merseymike on Jun 5, 2024 8:24:05 GMT
Interesting - it's not listed for Lancashire papers plus Who I Can Vote For . I wonder the WP will actually happen?
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Jun 5, 2024 10:00:47 GMT
Interesting - it's not listed for Lancashire papers plus Who I Can Vote For . I wonder the WP will actually happen? They added a lot of candidates to the website yesterday so other sources may not yet have caught up. I do wonder where they are getting all these deposits from, or whether some listed candidates might not actually appear in the end. |
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Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,419
Member is Online
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Post by Merseymike on Jun 5, 2024 10:24:27 GMT
Clearly the WP have some money - naturally I don't know (being cynical...)
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Post by Dave Morgan on Jun 5, 2024 18:05:58 GMT
A fascinating seat (as was its predecessor), and place I’ll be spending a good while in during the campaign. Not a prediction, but worth noting that Pendle (it predecessor seat) despite significant demographic change you would expect to impact Tory chances, the Tory vote is now the highest it’s been since the 1930s, and beating Gordon Prentice’s Labour vote share in 1997. Even in 2017 when it was pretty close, was a lot higher than nearly ever other election.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jun 5, 2024 19:54:34 GMT
The much missed tonygreaves would have loved this seat. |
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tomc
Conservative
Posts: 904
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Post by tomc on Jun 7, 2024 19:36:44 GMT
Pendle SOPN
Standing: Reform UK Liberal Democrat Workers Party Labour Party Independent - Tony Johnson Independent - Zulfikar Ali Green Party Conservative Party Rejoin EU
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Post by ideal4radio on Jun 7, 2024 21:13:38 GMT
I presume this trend of 9 Candidates in Pendle and Clitheroe and Blackburn, 7 in Burnley, 6 in Ribble Valley and Rossendale with Darwen, and 5 in Hyndburn will make this the General Election with the highest number of Candidates in history ... and I suspect, the highest number of lost deposits !
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