stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
|
Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:52:02 GMT
Ilford South
|
|
|
Post by John Chanin on Mar 18, 2024 3:51:43 GMT
|
|
|
Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Apr 3, 2024 4:24:41 GMT
From the Guardian
|
|
|
Post by John Chanin on Apr 3, 2024 7:32:28 GMT
Tarry should drop it. Getting your mates to sign up and support you is perfectly normal, and not against any rules so long as they sign up and pay themselves, and live in the constituency.
Tarry is well connected, loyal, and should seek another constituency. There are 2, maybe 3, nearby, where he would have a good chance (West Ham - Lyn Brown has opted for Stratford - Islington North, and Hackney North). Moving him to Islington North would avoid a whole load of grief, but no doubt the factionalists at Labour HQ will prefer the grief.
|
|
andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
|
Post by andrea on Apr 3, 2024 8:08:41 GMT
Tarry should drop it. Getting your mates to sign up and support you is perfectly normal, and not against any rules so long as they sign up and pay themselves, and live in the constituency. Tarry is well connected, loyal, and should seek another constituency. There are 2, maybe 3, nearby, where he would have a good chance (West Ham - Lyn Brown has opted for Stratford - Islington North, and Hackney North). Moving him to Islington North would avoid a whole load of grief, but no doubt the factionalists at Labour HQ will prefer the grief. He has been silent for some time. Now that the GE is approaching, he is making noises again. I guess it may be a way to try and get Labour HQ allowing him in some other seats in exchange to shut up. Not sure it is a winning strategy. Half of the Hackney world is apparently already going for Hackney North. In Islington North he could be a compromise candidate.
|
|
stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
|
Post by stb12 on Apr 3, 2024 8:10:40 GMT
Yes, it seems like the selection issue here was fairly unique because of what happened with the last one in 2019, rather than being about purging Tarry as such
|
|
|
Post by timrollpickering on Apr 3, 2024 8:34:49 GMT
Moving him to Islington North would avoid a whole load of grief, It may avoid grief in Ilford but given the likely line-up would it really avoid grief in Islington?
|
|
stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
|
Post by stb12 on Apr 3, 2024 8:45:08 GMT
Moving him to Islington North would avoid a whole load of grief, It may avoid grief in Ilford but given the likely line-up would it really avoid grief in Islington? I think the idea is that Tarry would be ideologically acceptable to Corbyn and decrease the chance of him standing as an independent
|
|
|
Post by matureleft on Apr 3, 2024 8:58:04 GMT
It may avoid grief in Ilford but given the likely line-up would it really avoid grief in Islington? I think the idea is that Tarry would be ideologically acceptable to Corbyn and decrease the chance of him standing as an independent Presumably possible, but I don't know what is in Corbyn's mind. However I just wonder if some of the crowd in party HQ aren't somewhat relishing Corbyn standing? It would provide a steady reminder to the electorate of the distance travelled since 2019. Certainly not my favoured option as I can readily see the collateral electoral damage from such a plan, but some of these are narrow intra-party fighters with limited experience of the world outside that fetid space (and yes, they have their equivalents on the other side of the Labour spectrum although many have departed).
|
|
|
Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 9, 2024 9:47:15 GMT
Given how comprehensively Tarry got beaten in the deselection fight, it's fair to say that he was very bad at forging alliances locally. In that context, if he goes for West Ham he runs the risk of being deselected by a local candidate before the 2029 election even if he is imposed.
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 29, 2024 19:16:47 GMT
Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work | Con | Lab | Lib | Com | | | | | | 1945 | 33.2% | 52.6% | 14.2% | | 1950 | 47.2% | 43.9% | 7.7% | 1.2% | 1951 | 51.9% | 46.5% | 1.6% | | 1955 | 53.2% | 44.8% | 2.0% | | 1959 | 50.3% | 37.5% | 12.2% | | 1964 | 41.8% | 39.3% | 18.7% | 0.3% | 1966 | 42.1% | 47.7% | 9.9% | 0.2% |
| Con | Lab | Lib/LD | NF/BNP | | | | | | 1970 | 47.5% | 42.9% | 8.1% | | 1974 | 37.9% | 42.9% | 18.9% | | 1974 | 38.7% | 45.6% | 15.3% | | 1979 | 47.3% | 41.9% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 1983 | 46.4% | 32.5% | 20.4% | 0.6% | 1987 | 49.7% | 35.0% | 15.3% | | 1992 | 46.0% | 42.9% | 10.8% | |
| Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP/ BXP | NF/BNP | Grn | IGC | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 28.8% | 59.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | | | 2001 | 25.8% | 59.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | | | 2005 | 27.1% | 48.8% | 19.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | | | 2010 | 27.1% | 49.8% | 16.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | | 2015 | 24.4% | 63.4% | 1.9% | 7.5% | | 2.7% | | 2017 | 21.3% | 75.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | | 0.9% | | 2019 | 21.2% | 65.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | | 1.3% | 6.7% |
|
|
|
Post by hempie on Jun 8, 2024 11:12:43 GMT
|
|
|
Post by Devil Wincarnate on Oct 29, 2024 14:00:03 GMT
|
|