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Hendon
Mar 13, 2024 21:49:00 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:49:00 GMT
Hendon
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Hendon
Mar 18, 2024 19:22:07 GMT
Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 18, 2024 19:22:07 GMT
Link to profile2021 Census New Boundaries (ranks England and Wales) Age 65+ 11.6% 517/575 Owner occupied 46.4% 525/575 Private rented 35.6% 33/575 Social rented 18.1% 197/575 White 49.7% 536/575 Black 11.1% 48/575 Asian 23.8% 44/575 Religion Jewish 14.2% 4/575 Managerial & professional 33.7% 263/575 Routine & Semi-routine 16.6% 494/575 Degree level 45.8% 58/575 No qualifications 17.5% 307/575 Students 10.7% 84/575 2019 General Election Con | 26,878 | 48.8% | Lab | 22,648 | 41.1% | LD | 4,628 | 8.4% | Grn | 921 | 1.7% | | | | Majority | 4,230 | 7.7% |
Boundary ChangesHendon consists of 882% of Hendon Mapboundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/london/London_148_Hendon_Portrait.pdf Notional result 2019 on the new boundaries (Rallings & Thrasher) Con | 22299 | 48.9% | Lab | 18638 | 40.9% | LD | 3909 | 8.6% | Grn | 747 | 1.6% | | | | | | | Majority | 3661 | 8.0% |
Matthew Offord is retiring Candidates: Conservative - Ameet Jogia - Harrow councillor, candidate in Brent North in 2017 Labour - David Pinto-Duschinsky - stood here in 2019 Lib Dem - Clareine Enderby - stood here in 2019 Reform UK - Joshua Leon Pearl Green - Gabrielle Bailey
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 29, 2024 10:06:15 GMT
Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work | Con | Lab | Lib | Com | | | | | | 1945 | 37.8% | 44.9% | 17.2% | | 1950 | 47.3% | 37.1% | 14.2% | 1.3% | 1951 | 50.8% | 41.2% | 8.0% | | 1955 | 54.0% | 40.5% | 5.5% | | 1959 | 52.1% | 35.3% | 12.6% | | 1964 | 45.2% | 38.7% | 16.1% | | 1966 | 45.6% | 42.5% | 11.9% | |
| Con | Lab | Lib/LD | NF/BNP | | | | | | 1970 | 48.3% | 41.5% | 8.5% | | 1974 | 42.1% | 36.2% | 21.7% | | 1974 | 44.0% | 40.6% | 15.5% | | 1979 | 50.8% | 36.8% | 10.6% | 1.4% | 1983 | 47.7% | 25.6% | 26.1% | | 1987 | 54.1% | 26.9% | 19.0% | | 1992 | 53.3% | 35.0% | 10.5% | |
| Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP/ BXP | Grn | | | | | | | 1997 | 36.4% | 50.0% | 10.8% | 2.5% | | 2001 | 33.8% | 52.9% | 11.6% | 1.0% | | 2005 | 37.4% | 44.8% | 14.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2010 | 42.0% | 42.3% | 12.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2015 | 48.5% | 42.0% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2017 | 47.6% | 46.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2019 | 48.9% | 40.9% | 8.6% | | 1.6% |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 29, 2024 10:13:18 GMT
One of the most stable constituencies over the period - the result in 2019 almost identical to those in 1970 and 1951. Given the difference in the national Conservative lead those years, that represents a modest pro-Labour trend, but much less than many other seats of its type
Edit: Also 2005 and 1945
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 29, 2024 10:16:35 GMT
As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 29, 2024 14:51:00 GMT
As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre. That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon). But there are some on the list that have surely faded well out of memory- Brixton, Edmonton, Temple Mills (which was apparently out towards Stratford), and a second Catford track. Regardless of people's views on greyhound racing, it's strange to think that these landmarks have been obliterated not just physically but mentally too. They would have been enormously important focal points.
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,390
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Hendon
Apr 29, 2024 16:17:32 GMT
Post by J.G.Harston on Apr 29, 2024 16:17:32 GMT
As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre. That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon). Ah! Thank you! 6 down: London landmark, 9,6: Wimbledon Common. Been stuck on that since Sunday.
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,536
Member is Online
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Post by john07 on Apr 29, 2024 16:47:15 GMT
As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre. That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon). But there are some on the list that have surely faded well out of memory- Brixton, Edmonton, Temple Mills (which was apparently out towards Stratford), and a second Catford track. Regardless of people's views on greyhound racing, it's strange to think that these landmarks have been obliterated not just physically but mentally too. They would have been enormously important focal points. Fancy having a dog track in Catford?
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Hendon
Apr 29, 2024 18:22:19 GMT
via mobile
Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 29, 2024 18:22:19 GMT
That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon). But there are some on the list that have surely faded well out of memory- Brixton, Edmonton, Temple Mills (which was apparently out towards Stratford), and a second Catford track. Regardless of people's views on greyhound racing, it's strange to think that these landmarks have been obliterated not just physically but mentally too. They would have been enormously important focal points. Fancy having a dog track in Catford? I have family down in SE London, and for many years our family trips would be to Catford. I remember being baffled as a small child by the dog-cat thing. The glamorous way to see London.
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Post by finsobruce on Apr 29, 2024 18:25:50 GMT
Fancy having a dog track in Catford? I have family down in SE London, and for many years our family trips would be to Catford. I remember being baffled as a small child by the dog-cat thing. The glamorous way to see London. The cat racing on the Isle of Dogs is long gone too....
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Hendon
Apr 29, 2024 20:24:24 GMT
Post by batman on Apr 29, 2024 20:24:24 GMT
I have a dictionary of the derivation of English place-names, and apparently Catford was not originally named in honour of any kind of cats.
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Post by carlton43 on Apr 29, 2024 22:44:17 GMT
Fancy having a dog track in Catford? I have family down in SE London, and for many years our family trips would be to Catford. I remember being baffled as a small child by the dog-cat thing. The glamorous way to see London. Yes, I too went both of them, and to the many stock-car circuits, and speedway tracks, plus the boxing booths for local fights, the pubs with strippers, and those with lunch time customer strippers (usually office girls but not always). It was a different city then.
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Hendon
Jun 7, 2024 19:01:49 GMT
Post by greatkingrat on Jun 7, 2024 19:01:49 GMT
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,843
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Hendon
Jul 5, 2024 7:46:04 GMT
Post by YL on Jul 5, 2024 7:46:04 GMT
No discussion of the marathon here?
The declaration is apparently imminent with Labour expected to win.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,843
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Hendon
Jul 5, 2024 7:47:24 GMT
Post by YL on Jul 5, 2024 7:47:24 GMT
Indeed, Lab gain, majority 15.
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Hendon
Jul 5, 2024 7:48:09 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jul 5, 2024 7:48:09 GMT
Indeed, Lab gain, majority 15. I did say that the constituency is very inelastic…
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Deleted
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Hendon
Jul 5, 2024 7:48:37 GMT
Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 7:48:37 GMT
Bloody hell I didn''t have this down as the most marginal London seat.
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Hendon
Jul 5, 2024 7:50:06 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jul 5, 2024 7:50:06 GMT
Bloody hell I didn''t have this down as the most marginal London seat. I expected Labour to win by less than people expected (5-8%), but didn’t expect a 15 vote majority. It also had one of the narrowest majorities in 2010.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 5, 2024 9:28:12 GMT
It's like 2010 in reverse. Lots of people expected an easy Tory gain then. It's not a very swingy seat and with the large Hindu population as well as the more obvious Jewish vote, and you look at relatively good results in Outer London generally, I'm not surprised it's close. Probably woould have been held on the old boundaries.
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Post by rcronald on Jul 5, 2024 9:33:10 GMT
It's like 2010 in reverse. Lots of people expected an easy Tory gain then. It's not a very swingy seat and with the large Hindu population as well as the more obvious Jewish vote, and you look at relatively good results in Outer London generally, I'm not surprised it's close. Probably woould have been held on the old boundaries. But in 2010 Labour had Dismore, and in 2024 the Tories didn’t have Offord. Offord would have won.
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