Hendon

[stb12]

Hendon

[Pete Whitehead]

Link to profile

Sept 13, 2023 17:06:17 GMT Robert Waller said:

2021 Census New Boundaries (ranks England and Wales)

Age 65+ 11.6% 517/575
Owner occupied 46.4% 525/575
Private rented 35.6% 33/575
Social rented 18.1% 197/575
White 49.7% 536/575
Black 11.1% 48/575
Asian 23.8% 44/575
Religion Jewish 14.2% 4/575
Managerial & professional 33.7% 263/575
Routine & Semi-routine 16.6% 494/575
Degree level 45.8% 58/575
No qualifications 17.5% 307/575
Students 10.7% 84/575



2019 General Election

Con	26,878	48.8%
Lab	22,648	41.1%
LD	4,628	8.4%
Grn	921	1.7%
Majority	4,230	7.7%

Boundary Changes
Hendon consists of
882% of Hendon

Map
boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/london/London_148_Hendon_Portrait.pdf


Notional result 2019 on the new boundaries (Rallings & Thrasher)

Con	22299	48.9%
Lab	18638	40.9%
LD	3909	8.6%
Grn	747	1.6%
Majority	3661	8.0%

Matthew Offord is retiring

Candidates:

Conservative - Ameet Jogia - Harrow councillor, candidate in Brent North in 2017
Labour - David Pinto-Duschinsky - stood here in 2019
Lib Dem - Clareine Enderby - stood here in 2019
Reform UK - Joshua Leon Pearl
Green - Gabrielle Bailey

[Pete Whitehead]

Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work

	Con	Lab	Lib	Com
1945	37.8%	44.9%	17.2%
1950	47.3%	37.1%	14.2%	1.3%
1951	50.8%	41.2%	8.0%
1955	54.0%	40.5%	5.5%
1959	52.1%	35.3%	12.6%
1964	45.2%	38.7%	16.1%
1966	45.6%	42.5%	11.9%

	Con	Lab	Lib/LD	NF/BNP
1970	48.3%	41.5%	8.5%
1974	42.1%	36.2%	21.7%
1974	44.0%	40.6%	15.5%
1979	50.8%	36.8%	10.6%	1.4%
1983	47.7%	25.6%	26.1%
1987	54.1%	26.9%	19.0%
1992	53.3%	35.0%	10.5%

	Con	Lab	LD	Ref/UKIP/ BXP	Grn
1997	36.4%	50.0%	10.8%	2.5%
2001	33.8%	52.9%	11.6%	1.0%
2005	37.4%	44.8%	14.3%	1.5%	1.8%
2010	42.0%	42.3%	12.6%	2.1%	1.1%
2015	48.5%	42.0%	2.2%	5.3%	2.0%
2017	47.6%	46.4%	3.9%	1.1%	1.1%
2019	48.9%	40.9%	8.6%		1.6%

[Pete Whitehead]

One of the most stable constituencies over the period - the result in 2019 almost identical to those in 1970 and 1951. Given the difference in the national Conservative lead those years, that represents a modest pro-Labour trend, but much less than many other seats of its type

Edit: Also 2005 and 1945

[Pete Whitehead]

As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre.

[Devil Wincarnate]

Apr 29, 2024 10:16:35 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre.

That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon). But there are some on the list that have surely faded well out of memory- Brixton, Edmonton, Temple Mills (which was apparently out towards Stratford), and a second Catford track.

Regardless of people's views on greyhound racing, it's strange to think that these landmarks have been obliterated not just physically but mentally too. They would have been enormously important focal points.

[J.G.Harston]

Apr 29, 2024 14:51:00 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

Apr 29, 2024 10:16:35 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre.

That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon).

Ah! Thank you! 6 down: London landmark, 9,6: Wimbledon Common. Been stuck on that since Sunday.

[john07]

Apr 29, 2024 14:51:00 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

Apr 29, 2024 10:16:35 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

As it happens I was in this constituency last evening, in the Greyhound pub in the very pleasant area of Hendon Village which I had only discovered quite recently (just behind The Burroughs). I also hadn't realised that Hendon had previously had quite an important Greyhound stadium - roughly on the site of the Brent Cross shopping centre.

That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon). But there are some on the list that have surely faded well out of memory- Brixton, Edmonton, Temple Mills (which was apparently out towards Stratford), and a second Catford track.

Regardless of people's views on greyhound racing, it's strange to think that these landmarks have been obliterated not just physically but mentally too. They would have been enormously important focal points.

Fancy having a dog track in Catford?

[Devil Wincarnate]

Apr 29, 2024 16:47:15 GMT john07 said:

Apr 29, 2024 14:51:00 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

That's interesting. A quick Google suggests that Greater London once had a whopping 25 dog tracks, and now it is just two. Some are clearly well-known ones that survived for a long time (Walthamstow, Catford, Wimbledon). But there are some on the list that have surely faded well out of memory- Brixton, Edmonton, Temple Mills (which was apparently out towards Stratford), and a second Catford track.

Regardless of people's views on greyhound racing, it's strange to think that these landmarks have been obliterated not just physically but mentally too. They would have been enormously important focal points.

Fancy having a dog track in Catford?

I have family down in SE London, and for many years our family trips would be to Catford. I remember being baffled as a small child by the dog-cat thing. The glamorous way to see London.

[finsobruce]

Apr 29, 2024 18:22:19 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

Apr 29, 2024 16:47:15 GMT john07 said:

Fancy having a dog track in Catford?

I have family down in SE London, and for many years our family trips would be to Catford. I remember being baffled as a small child by the dog-cat thing. The glamorous way to see London.

The cat racing on the Isle of Dogs is long gone too....

[batman]

I have a dictionary of the derivation of English place-names, and apparently Catford was not originally named in honour of any kind of cats.

[carlton43]

Apr 29, 2024 18:22:19 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

Apr 29, 2024 16:47:15 GMT john07 said:

Fancy having a dog track in Catford?

I have family down in SE London, and for many years our family trips would be to Catford. I remember being baffled as a small child by the dog-cat thing. The glamorous way to see London.

Yes, I too went both of them, and to the many stock-car circuits, and speedway tracks, plus the boxing booths for local fights, the pubs with strippers, and those with lunch time customer strippers (usually office girls but not always).  It was a different city then.

[greatkingrat]

Gabrielle BAILEY (Green Party Candidate)
Clairine ENDERBY (Liberal Democrats)
Jane GIBSON (Social Democratic Party)
Ameet JOGIA (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Imtiaz PALEKAR (Workers Party)
Joshua PEARL (Reform UK)
David PINTO-DUSCHINSKY (Labour Party)
Ben REND (Rejoin EU)

www.barnet.gov.uk/sites/default/files/2024-06/Statement%20of%20Persons%20Nominated%20%E2%80%93%20Hendon%20Constituency.pdf

[YL]

No discussion of the marathon here?

The declaration is apparently imminent with Labour expected to win.

[YL]

Indeed, Lab gain, majority 15.

[rcronald]

Jul 5, 2024 7:47:24 GMT YL said:

Indeed, Lab gain, majority 15.

I did say that the constituency is very inelastic…

[Deleted]

Bloody hell I didn''t have this down as the most marginal London seat.

[rcronald]

Jul 5, 2024 7:48:37 GMT @weld said:

Bloody hell I didn''t have this down as the most marginal London seat.

I expected Labour to win by less than people expected (5-8%), but didn’t expect a 15 vote majority. It also had one of the narrowest majorities in 2010.

[Pete Whitehead]

It's like 2010 in reverse. Lots of people expected an easy Tory gain then. It's not a very swingy seat and with the large Hindu population as well as the more obvious Jewish vote, and you look at relatively good results in Outer London generally, I'm not surprised it's close. Probably woould have been held on the old boundaries.

[rcronald]

Jul 5, 2024 9:28:12 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

It's like 2010 in reverse. Lots of people expected an easy Tory gain then. It's not a very swingy seat and with the large Hindu population as well as the more obvious Jewish vote, and you look at relatively good results in Outer London generally, I'm not surprised it's close. Probably woould have been held on the old boundaries.

But in 2010 Labour had Dismore, and in 2024 the Tories didn’t have Offord.

Offord would have won.