stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,367 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:43:16 GMT
Eltham and Chislehurst
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 28, 2024 7:06:27 GMT
Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work | | Con | Lab | Lib | | | | | | | | | 1945 | 40.4% | 56.6% | 3.0% | | | 1950 | 47.2% | 45.0% | 7.8% | | | 1951 | 51.1% | 46.1% | 2.8% | | | 1955 | 52.7% | 45.5% | 1.8% | | | 1959 | 53.4% | 42.1% | 2.8% | | | 1964 | 46.6% | 47.0% | 4.7% | | | 1966 | 45.4% | 50.5% | 2.8% | |
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD | NF/BNP | | | | | | | | 1970 | 50.2% | 46.9% | 2.9% | | | 1974 | 41.0% | 41.7% | 17.3% | | | 1974 | 40.8% | 44.8% | 14.3% | | | 1979 | 48.8% | 39.7% | 9.7% | 1.5% | | 1983 | 50.2% | 26.7% | 22.3% | 0.6% | | 1987 | 49.5% | 28.1% | 22.3% | | | 1992 | 48.3% | 35.6% | 14.6% | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP/
BXP | Green | BNP | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 36.0% | 48.3% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 1.7% | | 2001 | 37.9% | 47.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | | | | 2005 | 40.2% | 38.7% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | | 2010 | 44.2% | 34.3% | 13.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3.8% | | 2015 | 42.8% | 35.6% | 3.4% | 15.2% | 3.1% | | | 2017 | 47.0% | 46.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | | 2019 | 46.9% | 40.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | |
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Post by markgoodair on May 29, 2024 6:59:15 GMT
Clive Efford is the Labour Party candidate.
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0oh
Non-Aligned
Posts: 130
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Post by 0oh on May 29, 2024 8:48:39 GMT
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on May 29, 2024 9:45:19 GMT
The last 2 of which are also standing in the council by-election on 13th June. |
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mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
Posts: 4,961
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Post by mondialito on Jun 8, 2024 19:02:32 GMT
Ulysse ABBATE - Liberal Democrats Dr John COURTNEIDGE - Independent Charlie DAVIS - Conservative Clive Stanley EFFORD - Labour Party Sam GABRIEL - Green Party Christian HACKING - Independent Mark George SIMPSON - Reform UK Sean Ellis STEWART - Workers Party Arnold TARLING - No Description
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
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Post by maxque on Jun 14, 2024 16:26:37 GMT
Ulysse ABBATE - Liberal Democrats Dr John COURTNEIDGE - Independent Charlie DAVIS - Conservative Clive Stanley EFFORD - Labour Party Sam GABRIEL - Green Party Christian HACKING - Independent Mark George SIMPSON - Reform UK Sean Ellis STEWART - Workers Party Arnold TARLING - No Description
Sean Stewart is apparently George Galloway's grandson. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,762
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Post by right on Jun 25, 2024 6:27:33 GMT
Expect loads of these claims in the next week
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2024 7:34:09 GMT
Expect loads of these claims in the next week OK but the Tories will just use a (very recent) local by-election result and 2022. This is cobblers and the demographic that helped UKIP do respectably here in 2015 is probably less of an electoral force now although Efford has been great fit for the seat ever since he bested Islington Councillor Clive Blackwood here in 1997. In summary, Labour are putting in the Efford here and their Efford will be rewarded with a five-figure majority over whichever Tom, Dick or Harry comes second in the seat. I am pretty sure of this because I was born in Greenwich and you have a lot of aspirational Nigerian families moving into Eltham and they are fiercely Labour still. |
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Post by batman on Jun 25, 2024 9:05:30 GMT
Expect loads of these claims in the next week OK but the Tories will just use a (very recent) local by-election result and 2022. This is cobblers and the demographic that helped UKIP do respectably here in 2015 is probably less of an electoral force now although Efford has been great fit for the seat ever since he bested Islington Councillor Clive Blackwood here in 1997. In summary, Labour are putting in the Efford here and their Efford will be rewarded with a five-figure majority over whichever Tom, Dick or Harry comes second in the seat. I am pretty sure of this because I was born in Greenwich and you have a lot of aspirational Nigerian families moving into Eltham and they are fiercely Labour still. that was quite a stream of consciousness |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2024 9:07:18 GMT
OK but the Tories will just use a (very recent) local by-election result and 2022. This is cobblers and the demographic that helped UKIP do respectably here in 2015 is probably less of an electoral force now although Efford has been great fit for the seat ever since he bested Islington Councillor Clive Blackwood here in 1997. In summary, Labour are putting in the Efford here and their Efford will be rewarded with a five-figure majority over whichever Tom, Dick or Harry comes second in the seat. I am pretty sure of this because I was born in Greenwich and you have a lot of aspirational Nigerian families moving into Eltham and they are fiercely Labour still. that was quite a stream of consciousness Source: I was delivered by a Nigerian midwife at a hospital in Greenwich and my parents lived there in the 1990s. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 25, 2024 9:19:59 GMT
that was quite a stream of consciousness Source: I was delivered by a Nigerian midwife at a hospital in Greenwich and my parents lived there in the 1990s. I know we are not supposed to make such insinuations on this site, but I get the impression that the inspiration for most of your posts is the sauce rather than any worthwhile source |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2024 9:20:27 GMT
Source: I was delivered by a Nigerian midwife at a hospital in Greenwich and my parents lived there in the 1990s. I know we are not supposed to make such insinuations on this site, but I get the impression that the inspiration for most of your posts is the sauce rather than any worthwhile source I shall have to consider contacting my lawyer again I see.... You'd know if you come along to the Vote UK drinks next month! |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 25, 2024 9:28:34 GMT
I know we are not supposed to make such insinuations on this site, but I get the impression that the inspiration for most of your posts is the sauce rather than any worthwhile source I shall have to consider contacting my lawyer again I see.... You'd know if you come along to the Vote UK drinks next month! Many years ago a friend of mine drove into a bus stop when parking outside a shop of the type owned by people of your wife's heritage. He hadn't had a drop to drink, but when he got out of his car he affected a staggering gait, so that any onlookers would think he was over the limit. He considered it less shameful to be regarded as a drunk driver than to be such an awful driver when sober as to crash into a bus stop. I should take a similar approach if I were you TL:DR - my suggestion, far from damaging, is actually beneficial to your reputation |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2024 9:34:21 GMT
I shall have to consider contacting my lawyer again I see.... You'd know if you come along to the Vote UK drinks next month! Many years ago a friend of mine drove into a bus stop when parking outside a shop of the type owned by people of your wife's heritage. He hadn't had a drop to drink, but when he got out of his car he affected a staggering gait, so that any onlookers would think he was over the limit. He considered it less shameful to be regarded as a drunk driver than to be such an awful driver when sober as to crash into a bus stop. I should take a similar approach if I were you TL:DR - my suggestion, far from damaging, is actually beneficial to your reputation Sure - come to the drinks though, unless you can't be bothered, which I'd understand. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jun 25, 2024 15:04:13 GMT
Expect loads of these claims in the next week He doesn't even give a source for the prediction - could be anybody's made up numbers. Plus, even if on those figures, every Conservative voted Reform, Labour still have a 20%+ majority. . |
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