stb12
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:41:16 GMT
Ealing Southall
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Post by markgoodair on Apr 26, 2024 12:32:34 GMT
Reform have selected Steve Chilcott as their PPC.
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on Apr 26, 2024 13:42:44 GMT
good luck with that one Steve.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 27, 2024 17:12:20 GMT
Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work | | Con | Lab | Lib | BNP | | | | | | | | 1945 | 31.2% | 56.0% | 12.7% | | | 1950 | 41.7% | 48.7% | 8.5% | | | 1951 | 47.3% | 52.7% | | | | 1955 | 47.0% | 49.7% | 3.4% | | | 1959 | 49.7% | 45.9% | 4.4% | | | 1964 | 47.5% | 46.7% | | 5.8% | | 1966 | 41.6% | 49.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% |
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD | NF/BNP | Ind Lab | | | | | | | | | 1970 | 44.7% | 48.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | | | 1974 | 32.8% | 49.8% | 16.8% | | | | 1974 | 31.6% | 53.7% | 14.6% | | | | 1979 | 32.9% | 54.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | | | 1983 | 30.5% | 52.3% | 15.8% | 1.1% | | | 1987 | 35.4% | 50.8% | 13.3% | | | | 1992 | 33.5% | 47.5% | 7.7% | | 9.4% |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Green | Ref/UKIP/
BXP | Ind | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 19.2% | 62.0% | 9.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | | | 2001 | 16.6% | 48.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% | | 17.9% | | 2005 | 19.4% | 52.7% | 22.7% | 4.5% | | | | 2010 | 30.5% | 49.5% | 16.8% | 1.6% | | | | 2015 | 24.0% | 62.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | | | 2017 | 22.9% | 69.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | | | 2019 | 23.9% | 59.8% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | |
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on Apr 27, 2024 19:34:26 GMT
it hadn't occurred to me that the Ealing Southall of today would have at any time since WWII been notionally Conservative, but it's logical enough.
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Post by beacon on Apr 30, 2024 16:52:05 GMT
Monty Panesar standing for the Workers Party. His fellow candidates should be advised not to stand below him if he is in a balcony
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Post by beacon on Apr 30, 2024 16:52:38 GMT
On a balcony!!
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Post by Merseymike on Apr 30, 2024 18:00:48 GMT
Monty Panesar comes from Luton - why Southall? |
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Post by beacon on Apr 30, 2024 19:17:05 GMT
No idea. He has also recently been seen at Carrow Road watching Norwich, and being paid to play club cricket in Norfolk.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 30, 2024 19:44:34 GMT
Monty Panesar comes from Luton - why Southall? I presume because he's Sikh, and Ealing Southall has the highest proportion of Sikhs in any constituency (although at only 19% of total population). |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,761
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Post by right on May 1, 2024 7:16:03 GMT
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Post by notabrummie on May 1, 2024 14:47:51 GMT
According to an interview Panasar gave.
He thinks being a member of NATO is the reason for illegal immigration.
He admits to never having voted in any election.
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Galloway and he deserve each other. Not sure the people of Southall have done anything so bad as to deserve him.
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Post by johnloony on May 1, 2024 14:59:38 GMT
According to an interview Panasar gave. He thinks being a member of NATO is the reason for illegal immigration. He admits to never having voted in any election. . Galloway and he deserve each other. Not sure the people of Southall have done anything so bad as to deserve him. Probability = 1/4 that he will be WPB candidate in Ealing Southall in the general election 1/4 that he will be deselected 1/4 that he will deselect himself 1/4 that he will mess up in somehow not getting nominated properly |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,025
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Post by Sibboleth on May 1, 2024 15:09:05 GMT
Well, thank you for confirming that you don't follow cricket. There is an alternative reality in which, maybe, he might have been,* but not this one. *Though as the disastrous candidacy of Ted Dexter at Cardiff South East in 1964 reminds us: not necessarily. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 1, 2024 15:14:27 GMT
According to an interview Panasar gave. He thinks being a member of NATO is the reason for illegal immigration. He admits to never having voted in any election. . Galloway and he deserve each other. Not sure the people of Southall have done anything so bad as to deserve him. Probability = 1/4 that he will be WPB candidate in Ealing Southall in the general election 1/4 that he will be deselected 1/4 that he will deselect himself 1/4 that he will mess up in somehow not getting nominated properly Perhaps I will work out a notional result for the 2007 by-election (its possible because the boundary changes relative to then mostly involve removing part of the constituency rather than adding any). It might provide a useful guide to how well frivolous booliacks perform here |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,761
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Post by right on May 1, 2024 15:21:28 GMT
Well, thank you for confirming that you don't follow cricket. There is an alternative reality in which, maybe, he might have been,* but not this one. *Though as the disastrous candidacy of Ted Dexter at Cardiff South East in 1964 reminds us: not necessarily.If it's a cricketer that I've heard of then it's a celebrity. The Workers Party doesn't seem to be in the habit of picking up many celebrity endorsements and doesn't have the style of politics that would make that easy. So if it was Green or Labour then perhaps it would be rubbish. But it's the Workers Party. |
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Post by Merseymike on May 1, 2024 15:29:45 GMT
According to an interview Panasar gave. He thinks being a member of NATO is the reason for illegal immigration. He admits to never having voted in any election. . Galloway and he deserve each other. Not sure the people of Southall have done anything so bad as to deserve him. Probability = 1/4 that he will be WPB candidate in Ealing Southall in the general election 1/4 that he will be deselected 1/4 that he will deselect himself 1/4 that he will mess up in somehow not getting nominated properly Doesn't really matter, though. It's a very safe seat (Southall), a few hundred votes? Even if he is the candidate, so what? |
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Post by johnloony on May 1, 2024 15:46:26 GMT
Probability = 1/4 that he will be WPB candidate in Ealing Southall in the general election 1/4 that he will be deselected 1/4 that he will deselect himself 1/4 that he will mess up in somehow not getting nominated properly Doesn't really matter, though. It's a very safe seat (Southall), a few hundred votes? Even if he is the candidate, so what? I wasn’t speculating on anything to do with the number of votes he would get. Obviously he (and most WPB candidates) will / would get only a minimal number of votes anyway (c. 200 each). I was speculating about the whetherornotness of him being a candidate at all. The same also applies to hundreds of others. |
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on May 8, 2024 10:26:16 GMT
Monty Panesar has withdrawn as the Workers Party candidate.
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Post by rcronald on May 8, 2024 10:35:19 GMT
According to an interview Panasar gave. He thinks being a member of NATO is the reason for illegal immigration. He admits to never having voted in any election. . Galloway and he deserve each other. Not sure the people of Southall have done anything so bad as to deserve him. Probability = 1/4 that he will be WPB candidate in Ealing Southall in the general election 1/4 that he will be deselected 1/4 that he will deselect himself 1/4 that he will mess up in somehow not getting nominated properly And the correct answer is C. |
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