stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,367 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:40:37 GMT
Ealing Central and Acton
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Post by markgoodair on Apr 26, 2024 12:28:43 GMT
Reform have selected Felix Orrell as their PPC.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 27, 2024 17:03:21 GMT
Notional results since 1945. The 2019 result is the 'official' (Thrasher & Rallings) notional - the others are my own work | | Con | Lab | Lib | Ind Lab | | | | | | | | 1945 | 38.0% | 42.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | | 1950 | 46.3% | 42.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | | 1951 | 50.3% | 49.7% | | | | 1955 | 51.0% | 46.5% | 2.5% | | | 1959 | 52.7% | 44.5% | 2.7% | | | 1964 | 47.0% | 47.3% | 5.6% | | | 1966 | 44.2% | 52.4% | 3.4% | |
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD | NF/BNP | | | | | | | | 1970 | 48.7% | 45.2% | 5.6% | | | 1974 | 41.9% | 40.8% | 17.3% | | | 1974 | 43.4% | 43.9% | 12.4% | | | 1979 | 50.6% | 38.7% | 8.9% | 1.2% | | 1983 | 47.1% | 29.2% | 22.3% | | | 1987 | 51.2% | 30.7% | 17.8% | | | 1992 | 48.1% | 37.7% | 12.0% | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Green | Ref/UKIP/
BXP | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 31.7% | 52.3% | 11.1% | | 1.3% | | 2001 | 29.5% | 47.9% | 17.0% | | 1.3% | | 2005 | 32.2% | 35.4% | 27.2% | 4.8% | | | 2010 | 36.8% | 32.9% | 25.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | | 2015 | 40.7% | 45.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | | 2017 | 33.0% | 61.2% | 5.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | | 2019 | 25.6% | 52.3% | 17.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
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Post by johnloony on Apr 29, 2024 8:20:20 GMT
I met him when he was travelling on the same tram as me on the way to do leafleting in New Addington |
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Post by batman on Apr 29, 2024 8:44:15 GMT
don't you start too John, please  |
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Post by johnloony on Apr 29, 2024 17:46:39 GMT
don't you start too John, please Start what? I wasn't starting, I was stopping. A bit like Ukraine stopping Russia. |
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Post by batman on Apr 29, 2024 20:25:08 GMT
that's OK then.
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Post by swingometer on Apr 29, 2024 23:21:17 GMT
I met him when he was travelling on the same tram as me on the way to do leafleting in New Addington Hope he didn’t chat to you, his voice is an insomniac’s essential aid. |
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Post by batman on Apr 30, 2024 7:11:54 GMT
That’s pretty ironic
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mondialito
Labour
Everything is horribly, brutally possible.
Posts: 4,961
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Post by mondialito on Jun 8, 2024 19:13:24 GMT
Stephen Andrew BALOGH - Social Democratic Party Julie CARTER - Independent Kate CROSSLAND - Green Party Rupa HUQ - Labour Party Nada Mohamad JARCHE - Workers Party Alastair Martin Beverly MITTON - Liberal Democrat Felix ORRELL - Reform UK James WINDSOR-CLIVE - Conservative Party
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Post by greenhert on Jun 21, 2024 20:54:36 GMT
Like Islington South & Finsbury in 1997 and henceforth, the Liberal Democrats will likely easily claim the runner-up spot this year in Ealing Central & Acton and replace the Conservatives as the main challengers to Labour here in the long-term.
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Post by batman on Jun 21, 2024 21:09:24 GMT
There is evidence they are doing at least some work. I have seen 2 LD posters, one rather oddly in a motorcycle shop.
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cathyc
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,101
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Post by cathyc on Jun 21, 2024 21:39:45 GMT
There is evidence they are doing at least some work. I have seen 2 LD posters, one rather oddly in a motorcycle shop. Harley a Triumph. |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,774
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Post by john07 on Jun 21, 2024 22:31:56 GMT
There is evidence they are doing at least some work. I have seen 2 LD posters, one rather oddly in a motorcycle shop. I am having visions of Ed Davey doing a ‘wall of death’ for his next stunt. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 22, 2024 1:29:32 GMT
Maybe he can try jumping a bunch of battle buses, Evil Knieveil style
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 22, 2024 1:38:07 GMT
The Lib Dems *could* replace the Tories as the opposition to Labour here although the Tories are still resilient in some of the Council seats they hold.
It will be interesting to see where else the Lib Dems replace the Tories in London as the anti-Labour choice this election: Hampstead & Highgate is pretty likely; the Conservatives could come third in Wimbledon too since they only won the third seat in Village with around 49% of the vote in 2022; Hornsey & Friern Barnet will have the Lib Dems second; long-term, maybe Putney too. another possible option is Hammersmith & Chiswick - the Chiswick wards seem fertile Lib Dem territory.
This isn't Haringey, and the Tories are still robust (as much as you would expect them to be in the circumstances of 2022) in this Borough and proximity of the EC&A wards to the City helps them stay competitive.
Something like this for the next Ealing locals: LAB 46 (-13); CON 12 (+7); LD 9 (+3); GRN 3 (+3); - CON gain from LAB - Northfield (3); Pitshanger (3); Walpole (3); GRN gain from LAB - Hanwell Broadway (3); LDEM gain from LAB - Ealing Common; LDEM gain from CON - Hanger Hill (2)
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Post by batman on Jun 22, 2024 5:19:33 GMT
The Tories are only really resilient in Ealing Broadway ward now. Hanger Hill was their safest ward and now that’s a split ward and a three-way marginal
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,762
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Post by right on Jun 30, 2024 20:02:26 GMT
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Post by batman on Jul 5, 2024 16:12:11 GMT
I hadn't clocked who the Workers' Party candidate here was. She is a former candidate for both the Labour (in Chiswick) and Conservative (more recently in Isleworth) parties.
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