St Albans

[stb12]

St Albans

[cogload]

Daisy Cooper to solidify her hold.

Previous result in 2019:

electionresults.parliament.uk/election/2019-12-12/Results/Location/Constituency/St%20Albans/ 1

[Pete Whitehead]

Link to profile

Jul 18, 2023 15:16:11 GMT Robert Waller said:

2021 Census New Boundaries (ranks England and Wales)

Age 65+ 16.2% 405/575
Owner occupied 68.6% 216/575
Private rented 18.0% 295 /575
Social rented 13.4% 364/575
White 80.6% 398 /575
Black 2.5% 207/575
Asian 10.1% 156/575
Managerial & professional 49.9% 12/575
Routine & Semi-routine 13.8% 542/575
Degree level 51.7% 30/575
No qualifications 11.0% 551/575
Students 6.2% 224/575

2019 General Election result

LD	28,867	50.1%
Con	22,574	39.2%
Lab	5,000	8.7%
Grn	1,004	1.7%
Ind	154	0.3%
Majority	6,293	10.9%

Boundary Changes
St Albans consists of
95.7% of St Albans
0.0% of Welwyn & Hatfield

Map
boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/eastern/Eastern_99_St%20Albans_Landscape.pdf

Notional result 2019 (Rallings & Thrasher)

LD	27610	49.9%
Con	21705	39.3%
Lab	4878	8.8%
Grn	950	1.7%
Ind	154	0.3%
Maj	5905	10.7%

Candidates:

Lib Dem - Daisy Cooper (incumbent)
Conservative - James Spencer
Labour - Sophia Adams Bhatti
Reform UK - John Dowdle - former Watford Labour councillor
SDP - Stewart Satterly

[connor]

Agree with the consensus here.

Labour won't do enough to overturn and the Tory vote will fall.

Daisy Cooper is safe for another term I predict.

Liberal Democrat Hold

Daisy Cooper MP (Liberal Democrat)

[mattbewilson]

It be great if Labour could come second though. There's not the machine to do it though

[Pete Whitehead]

	Con	Lab	Lib/LD	Grn
1974	39.5%	29.6%	30.9%
1974	40.0%	34.0%	26.0%
1979	49.3%	28.1%	22.3%
1983	46.9%	14.6%	38.2%
1987	47.7%	15.3%	35.9%	1.2%
1992	47.6%	23.5%	27.5%	1.4%

	Con	Lab	LD	Ref/UKIP/ BXP	Grn
1997	32.9%	42.6%	20.8%	3.2%
2001	34.9%	46.0%	17.7%	1.4%
2005	37.3%	34.7%	25.0%	1.6%
2010	40.6%	17.8%	36.3%	3.8%	1.4%
2015	46.6%	23.5%	18.4%	7.7%	3.8%
2017	43.1%	23.3%	32.1%		1.5%
2019	39.3%	8.8%	49.9%		1.7%

[hempie]

www.stalbans.gov.uk/sites/default/files/attachments/Statement%20of%20persons%20nominated%20and%20notice%20of%20poll_St%20Albans%204%20July%202024.pdf

7 candidates
Con
Lab
LD
Green
Reform UK
SDP
Heritage

[cogload]

Daisy Cooper now sits on a whopping 20k majority with 57% of the vote.

www.bbc.com/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/E14001507