stb12
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:22:43 GMT
Peterborough
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Post by casualobserver on May 12, 2024 13:32:18 GMT
In the City Council elections on May 2nd, the Conservatives outpolled Labour in the wards within the new Constituency. On a night which was so bad for the Conservatives nationally, and with the national opinion polls so unfavourable to the Conservatives, that was quite an achievement in a highly ‘marginal’ new Constituency. |
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jamie
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Post by jamie on May 12, 2024 14:09:07 GMT
In the City Council elections on May 2nd, the Conservatives outpolled Labour in the wards within the new Constituency. On a night which was so bad for the Conservatives nationally, and with the national opinion polls so unfavourable to the Conservatives, that was quite an achievement in a highly ‘marginal’ new Constituency. The Conservatives have overperformed/Labour underperformed consistently in local elections for quite a few years now in Peterborough. How much impact this will have on the general election is not certain, but given Labour won in 2017 it’s probably more a question of margin than the Conservatives actually holding on. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 31, 2024 5:43:38 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 36.9% | 42.6% | 20.5% | | | | 1974 | 38.0% | 47.9% | 14.1% | | | | 1979 | 45.7% | 42.8% | 10.1% | | | | 1983 | 47.5% | 26.3% | 25.1% | | | | 1987 | 49.4% | 30.5% | 19.3% | | | | 1992 | 50.3% | 36.4% | 9.8% | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP
/BXP | Grn | BNP | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 36.4% | 48.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | | | | 2001 | 39.6% | 43.9% | 14.0% | 2.5% | | | | 2005 | 43.3% | 34.9% | 16.1% | 3.0% | | 2.3% | | 2010 | 40.2% | 29.6% | 19.7% | 6.7% | 1.2% | | | 2015 | 39.6% | 35.7% | 3.8% | 16.0% | 2.6% | | | 2017 | 46.7% | 48.2% | 3.4% | | 1.8% | | | 2019 | 46.5% | 41.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | |
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Post by norflondon on Jun 3, 2024 14:10:26 GMT
Peterborough probably believes Labour will not take us back into the EU and therefore Lab will win here in the GE.m, quite easily I think, by 4k +
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Clark
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Post by Clark on Jun 3, 2024 14:24:12 GMT
Some are tipping Peterborough to be a shock Tory hold...
You'll get 4/1 for that.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 3, 2024 14:24:34 GMT
Workers' Party performance could be interesting here.
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Post by norflondon on Jun 3, 2024 14:37:48 GMT
CON can't win these kind of seats if REF are standing
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batman
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Post by batman on Jun 3, 2024 21:37:28 GMT
I can see this being a lower swing seat, but I honestly can't see the Tories holding it. Will there be any seats that Labour won in 2017 but don't win this time, allowing for boundary changes?
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Post by edgbaston on Jun 3, 2024 21:52:14 GMT
I can see this being a lower swing seat, but I honestly can't see the Tories holding it. Will there be any seats that Labour won in 2017 but don't win this time, allowing for boundary changes? Islington North Dewsbury & Batley But I take your point, no way the Tories hold here |
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Post by norflondon on Jun 4, 2024 0:57:43 GMT
Chorley  |
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Post by hempie on Jun 7, 2024 16:09:50 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on Jul 7, 2024 3:16:08 GMT
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