stb12
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:19:04 GMT
Mid Bedfordshire
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on May 21, 2024 15:17:11 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 29, 2024 6:17:35 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 45.6% | 24.9% | 29.5% | | | | 1974 | 46.2% | 27.0% | 26.8% | | | | 1979 | 58.3% | 23.5% | 18.0% | | | | 1983 | 56.8% | 15.3% | 27.9% | | | | 1987 | 59.8% | 16.5% | 23.4% | | | | 1992 | 61.0% | 19.9% | 17.1% | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 45.9% | 32.9% | 16.5% | 4.3% | | | | | 2001 | 47.2% | 30.7% | 19.3% | 2.7% | | | | | 2005 | 46.0% | 23.1% | 23.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | | | | 2010 | 52.2% | 15.0% | 24.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | | | | 2015 | 56.1% | 15.9% | 7.3% | 15.4% | 4.2% | | | | 2017 | 61.6% | 28.5% | 6.0% | | 2.8% | | | | 2019 | 60.5% | 20.5% | 12.5% | | 3.9% | | |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 8, 2024 6:39:16 GMT
SOPNFive main parties, SDP and one Independent
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Jun 8, 2024 15:32:54 GMT
It will be interesting to see what happens to the Labour vote now there’s a Labour MP here and how far back the Lib Dem vote falls.
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Post by greenhert on Jun 8, 2024 18:20:30 GMT
It will be interesting to see what happens to the Labour vote now there’s a Labour MP here and how far back the Lib Dem vote falls. The Labour MP in question is contesting the Hitchin constituency though. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 8, 2024 20:54:53 GMT
I think Alistair Strathern would have had a more than decent chance of confirming the by-election gain had he stood (and Labour would probably gain Hitchin anyway) but without him I expect the seat to revert, especially with an imposed Labour candidate from Luton.
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Post by iainbhx on Jun 8, 2024 20:56:41 GMT
I think Alistair Strathern would have had a more than decent chance of confirming the by-election gain had he stood (and Labour would probably gain Hitchin anyway) but without him I expect the seat to revert, especially with an imposed Labour candidate from Luton. The last two words being the most important here. |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Jul 7, 2024 21:01:04 GMT
Only by-election loss the Tories got back?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 7, 2024 21:04:13 GMT
Only by-election loss the Tories got back? Major boundary changes complicate the picture a bit but yes. Their holds in Southend West and in Uxbridge and South Ruislip were reversed, as was the gain in Hartlepool. So Louie French (Old Bexley and Sidcup) is the only Conservative byelection winner from the last Parliament to remain. |
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Post by batman on Jul 7, 2024 21:08:08 GMT
and his majority was much lower than in the by-election, when he beat Daniel Francis (who is now MP for Bexleyheath & Crayford)
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iain
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Post by iain on Jul 7, 2024 21:22:06 GMT
I tend to think Strathern would have held if he’d stuck with the majority of the seat and Labour had resourced it accordingly.
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Post by johnloony on Jul 21, 2024 12:13:41 GMT
Belatedly I have only just realised that
(a) Bedfordshire Mid is a seat which the opposition gained in a by-election but then did not hold in the general election
(b) the by-election winner skedaddled elsewhere anyway, so didn’t lose his seat
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Post by where2travel on Jul 21, 2024 12:32:40 GMT
Belatedly I have only just realised that (a) Bedfordshire Mid is a seat which the opposition gained in a by-election but then did not hold in the general election (b) the by-election winner skedaddled elsewhere anyway, so didn’t lose his seat With boundary changes it's not directly comparable, but the Tory vote share (34.1%) is identical to the Labour by-election winner's share in 2023. The second places were very close too (Labour with 31.4% now and the Tories with 31.1% last year). |
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