stb12
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:15:33 GMT
Harwich and North Essex
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Post by markgoodair on May 28, 2024 20:25:50 GMT
Alex Diner is the Labour party candidate.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 30, 2024 20:04:55 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 45.1% | 28.6% | 26.3% | | | | 1974 | 46.3% | 31.7% | 22.0% | | | | 1979 | 54.9% | 27.3% | 17.3% | | | | 1983 | 53.9% | 17.4% | 27.4% | | | | 1987 | 53.8% | 18.4% | 27.8% | | | | 1992 | 51.9% | 24.7% | 22.4% | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn |
| | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 38.7% | 37.6% | 18.7% | 3.7% | | | | 2001 | 41.6% | 37.4% | 17.2% | 3.6% | | | | 2005 | 41.5% | 32.6% | 19.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | | | 2010 | 45.6% | 19.7% | 25.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| | 2015 | 49.9% | 19.9% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 4.4% | | | 2017 | 56.8% | 32.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | | | 2019 | 58.6% | 25.9% | 10.7% | | 3.6% | |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 7, 2024 20:25:25 GMT
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 6, 2024 10:05:14 GMT
Bernard Jenkin did quite well to hang on in the circumstances. This was a Labour gain in most of the MRP polls.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 6, 2024 10:13:10 GMT
Bernard Jenkin did quite well to hang on in the circumstances. This was a Labour gain in most of the MRP polls. In contests in England, where Labour started 2nd, this in the top 10 ‘best’ holds Of Con seats in England where Labour started 2nd the lowest majorities held by the Cons were 1. Chingford & Woodford Green 2. Keighley & Ilkley 3. Harrow East 4. Stockton West 5. Croydon South 6. Bromley & Biggin Hill 7. Harborough, Oadby & Wigston 8. Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner 9. Central Devon 10 Harwich & N Essex |
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Post by johnloony on Jul 6, 2024 11:05:08 GMT
Bernard Jenkin did quite well to hang on in the circumstances. This was a Labour gain in most of the MRP polls. In contests in England, where Labour started 2nd, this in the top 10 ‘best’ holds Of Con seats in England where Labour started 2nd the lowest majorities held by the Cons were 1. Chingford & Woodford Green 2. Keighley & Ilkley 3. Harrow East 4. Stockton West 5. Croydon South 6. Bromley & Biggin Hill 7. Harborough, Oadby & Wigston 8. Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner 9. Central Devon 10 Harwich & N Essex It is a bit alarming (but not surprising, in the circumstances) that my constituency is only 5th 9n the list, despite a notional majority of 13k in 2019. |
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right
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Post by right on Jul 6, 2024 13:41:57 GMT
Bernard Jenkin did quite well to hang on in the circumstances. This was a Labour gain in most of the MRP polls. In contests in England, where Labour started 2nd, this in the top 10 ‘best’ holds Of Con seats in England where Labour started 2nd the lowest majorities held by the Cons were 1. Chingford & Woodford Green 2. Keighley & Ilkley 3. Harrow East 4. Stockton West 5. Croydon South 6. Bromley & Biggin Hill 7. Harborough, Oadby & Wigston 8. Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner 9. Central Devon 10 Harwich & N Essex Lots of Outer London seats there |
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rcronald
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Post by rcronald on Jul 6, 2024 15:16:01 GMT
Bernard Jenkin did quite well to hang on in the circumstances. This was a Labour gain in most of the MRP polls. In contests in England, where Labour started 2nd, this in the top 10 ‘best’ holds Of Con seats in England where Labour started 2nd the lowest majorities held by the Cons were 1. Chingford & Woodford Green 2. Keighley & Ilkley 3. Harrow East 4. Stockton West 5. Croydon South 6. Bromley & Biggin Hill 7. Harborough, Oadby & Wigston 8. Ruislip, Northwood & Pinner 9. Central Devon 10 Harwich & N Essex The amount of London seats here is quite high, and it would have probably been 7 instead of 5 if not for very narrow losses in Chelsea&Fulham, Hendon, and Uxbridge. |
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 6, 2024 19:30:45 GMT
Yes, this result suggest Bernard is perhaps a bit smarter than the Richard Curtis caricature.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Jul 6, 2024 19:33:48 GMT
One of the worst results of night. Jenkin did more than most to cause the loss of 200+ Conservative seats. He could have a least had the decency to be among them.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 6, 2024 19:51:38 GMT
This was one of the first seats where Labour HQ locked the local CLP out of the canvassing system to try to force them to campaign in target seats. Given how comfortably we took Colchester, that doesn't look like a great decision in retrospect.
I'm less convinced that the result has that much to do with Jenkin's campaign. It did pick up a bit at the end, but it wasn't really visible until the final week.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Jul 6, 2024 19:53:49 GMT
This was one of the first seats where Labour HQ locked the local CLP out of the canvassing system to try to force them to campaign in target seats. Given how comfortably we took Colchester, that doesn't look like a great decision in retrospect. I'm less convinced that the result has that much to do with Jenkin's campaign. It did pick up a bit at the end, but it wasn't really visible until the final week. Of course it was good decision. Jenkin's survival was clearly in your best interests. |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 15, 2024 22:20:21 GMT
This was one of the first seats where Labour HQ locked the local CLP out of the canvassing system to try to force them to campaign in target seats. Given how comfortably we took Colchester, that doesn't look like a great decision in retrospect. I'm less convinced that the result has that much to do with Jenkin's campaign. It did pick up a bit at the end, but it wasn't really visible until the final week. Sadly, the PLP is too obediant and the Leader too weak to get the sacking of that person at Labour HQ. |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Jul 15, 2024 23:08:03 GMT
This was one of the first seats where Labour HQ locked the local CLP out of the canvassing system to try to force them to campaign in target seats. Given how comfortably we took Colchester, that doesn't look like a great decision in retrospect. I'm less convinced that the result has that much to do with Jenkin's campaign. It did pick up a bit at the end, but it wasn't really visible until the final week. Sadly, the PLP is too obediant and the Leader too weak to get the sacking of that person at Labour HQ. That would possibly be a bit of an overreaction anyway, these things are easy to criticise with hindsight and the seat was hardly needed to get the majority over the line |
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Post by batman on Jul 16, 2024 5:53:14 GMT
yes it's a typically hysterical & over-the-top comment made from a fount of, shall we say, limited knowledge. The Labour Party's targetting strategy can hardly, in the light of the results, be derided as a failure in general terms.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 16, 2024 13:33:58 GMT
Especially since the person who will have made that decision doesn't work at party HQ.
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