stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:11:47 GMT
Chelmsford
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Post by markgoodair on Apr 17, 2024 10:32:51 GMT
Reform have selected Darren Ingrouille as their PPC.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 30, 2024 7:56:47 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 36.6% | 27.3% | 36.2% | | | | 1974 | 35.5% | 26.8% | 37.7% | | | | 1979 | 44.5% | 10.9% | 44.7% | | | | 1983 | 43.9% | 5.3% | 50.7% | | | | 1987 | 48.5% | 7.1% | 43.6% | | | | 1992 | 52.4% | 14.7% | 31.8% | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 38.4% | 27.3% | 30.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | | 2001 | 40.0% | 30.8% | 25.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | | 2005 | 40.3% | 27.2% | 29.4% | 3.0% | | | 2010 | 45.2% | 10.9% | 37.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | | 2015 | 51.3% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | | 2017 | 53.3% | 29.9% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | | 2019 | 55.3% | 17.9% | 25.7% | | |
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Post by evergreenadam on Jun 4, 2024 11:16:14 GMT
Chelmsford seems to be on a knife edge according the MRP polls.
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Post by carolus on Jun 7, 2024 15:44:05 GMT
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essexman
Reform Party
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Posts: 10
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Post by essexman on Jun 22, 2024 11:54:07 GMT
Lib Dems working this seat hard as you’d expect.
In the seat we’ve had 4 leaflets and 2 or 3 letters from them so far. Two from the Conservatives and the first Labour one only yesterday.
Lib Dems are well embedded as the go to opposition vote in local and county council elections here for some time, too. Chelmsford had the biggest councillor swing in the country in 2019 just before the Tory’s low point in the EU elections, and the Lib Dems retained the council in 2023.
Reform will have a respectable vote share, this being Essex, and the candidate being reasonably well organised (in place since Jan/Feb) and a local.
Though it’s probably one of the least favourable seats in Essex for them considering people moving in from London and rapid city centre flat building meaning the boundaries get tighter and tighter each time. This also takes a couple of % from the notional Tory vote last time.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Jul 5, 2024 2:00:12 GMT
Lib Dem gain.
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,005
Member is Online
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Post by Khunanup on Jul 5, 2024 17:49:54 GMT
This comes in the 'about bloody time' bracket for people active in Liberal/Lib Dem circles for a while... |
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Post by tonyhil on Jul 6, 2024 5:34:41 GMT
Stuart Mole.
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 547
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Post by steve on Jul 6, 2024 17:22:18 GMT
1983 - 378 votes from memory. Can you imagine how out of place hyper "wet" Norman St John Stevas would be in today's Conservative party. |
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