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Mansfield
Mar 13, 2024 20:55:49 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 20:55:49 GMT
Mansfield
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Mansfield
May 3, 2024 18:11:42 GMT
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Post by stb12 on May 3, 2024 18:11:42 GMT
Presumably Ben Bradley will definitely stand again here now the Mayoral race is lost
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on May 3, 2024 20:23:55 GMT
Though being narrowly defeated even in his "own" patch maybe isn't that great an omen.
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Post by stb12 on May 4, 2024 9:16:32 GMT
Though being narrowly defeated even in his "own" patch maybe isn't that great an omen. Indeed, obviously it's different contest and he's built up a strong vote in the parliamentary seat over two elections. But you'd have thought that with his name on the ballot he should have been able to win Mansfield in the Mayoral election even if the national trend made it too hard overall
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Post by greenhert on Jun 8, 2024 10:11:23 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2024 19:25:13 GMT
Even if Bradley loses, this seat will still vote to the right of Broxtowe, Gedling and Rushcliffe. Nottinghamshire is ahead of the rest of the country with realignment since all the ex-mining areas flipped in the 2010s. The 2019 general election was aesthetically pleasing - Labour winning in the big city and the Tories winning everything else. This seat is more interesting than Ashfield because it changed hands earlier. If I still lived in the East Midlands, I'd vote for Reform since it feels like the right thing to do in these parts to put two fingers up to Sunak.
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Post by johnloony on Jun 8, 2024 19:26:49 GMT
Because the SOPN was being typed up by a dilly junior assistant to the assistant to the Deputy Acting Returning Officer
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Post by batman on Jun 8, 2024 19:37:31 GMT
Even if Bradley loses, this seat will still vote to the right of Broxtowe, Gedling and Rushcliffe. Nottinghamshire is ahead of the rest of the country with realignment since all the ex-mining areas flipped in the 2010s. The 2019 general election was aesthetically pleasing - Labour winning in the big city and the Tories winning everything else. This seat is more interesting than Ashfield because it changed hands earlier. If I still lived in the East Midlands, I'd vote for Reform since it feels like the right thing to do in these parts to put two fingers up to Sunak. why would that be the right thing to do? Labour are likelier to beat Bradley than Reform are. Although it's hypothetical
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 11, 2024 11:40:03 GMT
Potential Reform gain? UKIP got 25% here in 2015.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 22, 2024 20:11:28 GMT
Valuable endorsement
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jun 23, 2024 1:12:03 GMT
He was re-elected for his last term in 2011 by 67 votes over the man he is now endorsing.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 23, 2024 2:23:49 GMT
If Reform are getting 20% nationally (7% more than UKIP in 2015), then surely this is surely a three-way marginal with Labour slight favourites.
Something like LAB 35% RFM 32%, CON 30% OTH 3% wouldn't be too shocking here. The Tory campaign is going very B(r)adl(e)y here I think.
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Mansfield
Jun 23, 2024 6:01:54 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Jun 23, 2024 6:01:54 GMT
If Reform are getting 20% nationally (7% more than UKIP in 2015), then surely this is surely a three-way marginal with Labour slight favourites. Something like LAB 35% RFM 32%, CON 30% OTH 3% wouldn't be too shocking here. The Tory campaign is going very B(r)adl(e)y here I think. But Bradley is more Reform adjacent than the average Tory MP, so the Reform blow shouldn't land as hard as it would against a generic candidate in the same type of seat.
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Mansfield
Jun 23, 2024 6:05:32 GMT
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Post by batman on Jun 23, 2024 6:05:32 GMT
He is. There may be a question as to how much Labour’s attacks on him for having two jobs and standing for another hit home.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 23, 2024 6:23:54 GMT
If Reform are getting 20% nationally (7% more than UKIP in 2015), then surely this is surely a three-way marginal with Labour slight favourites. Something like LAB 35% RFM 32%, CON 30% OTH 3% wouldn't be too shocking here. The Tory campaign is going very B(r)adl(e)y here I think. But Bradley is more Reform adjacent than the average Tory MP, so the Reform blow shouldn't land as hard as it would against a generic candidate in the same type of seat. batman has a point about the double jobbing. If Bradley had his way, he would be three jobs Ben. Those sorts of attacks can cut through, just ask Bob Neill who almost lost the Bromley & Chiselhurst by-election in 2006 to the Lib Dems.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 3:38:30 GMT
Labour gain.
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
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Mansfield
Jul 14, 2024 13:29:55 GMT
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Post by Khunanup on Jul 14, 2024 13:29:55 GMT
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2024 3:25:38 GMT
Now that the woke left have seized this one back, will they rename it Wom*nsfield or something?
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jul 17, 2024 4:47:15 GMT
Now that the woke left have seized this one back, will they rename it Wom*nsfield or something? ....oh that's why there's very few right-wing comedians.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 17, 2024 5:18:46 GMT
Non-binary-field
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