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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 27, 2024 22:55:26 GMT
The Famous Neath East. Finn 32 Lab 31 PC 31 Harris 6
Somerset. LD 60 Con 27 Green 7 Lab 6
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Post by iainbhx on Mar 27, 2024 23:34:11 GMT
Neath & Port Talbot UA, Neath "East": Lab 32 Ind Finn 29 PC 25 Ind Harris 14
Somerset UA, Somerton: LDm 52 Con 32 Grn 10 Lab 6
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Post by kevinf on Mar 27, 2024 23:58:15 GMT
Neath PT
PC 32, Labour 30, Ind Finn 28, Ind Harris 10
Somerset
LD 50, Con 25, Green 15, Lab 19
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Post by corradino on Mar 27, 2024 23:59:58 GMT
Neath and Port Talbot, Neath East: PC 33, Lab 32, Finn (Ind) 25, Harris (Ind) 10.
Somerset, Somerton: LD 51, Con 30, Lab 10, Green 9.
I guess pure Indy contests don't count for the competition, but, just in case, this fool will rush in where even Ballot Box Scotland fears to tread:-
Park 60
Thomson 40.
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Post by carolus on Mar 28, 2024 0:00:05 GMT
Neath Port Talbot, Neath East:
Ind (Finn) 35, PC 30, Lab 30, Ind (Harris) 5
Somerset, Somerton:
LD 55, Con 30, Green 10, Lab 5
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Post by rightleaning on Mar 28, 2024 1:58:38 GMT
Neath & Port Talbot UA, Neath East: Finn 34, Lab 32 PC 23, Ind Harris 11
Somerset UA, Somerton: LD 56, Con 30, Grn 10, Lab 4
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,468 
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Post by peterl on Mar 28, 2024 5:26:28 GMT
Neath & Port Talbot UA, Neath East: Finn 37, Lab 35, PC 16, Ind Harris 12
Somerset UA, Somerton: LD 52, Con 32, Grn 12, Lab 4
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 28, 2024 7:17:03 GMT
Neath PT PC 32, Labour 30, Ind Finn 28, Ind Harris 10 Somerset LD 50, Con 25, Green 15, Lab 19 Your Somerset prediction adds up to 110 if you have time to revise before the deadline... |
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Post by carolus on Mar 28, 2024 7:30:52 GMT
Neath PT PC 32, Labour 30, Ind Finn 28, Ind Harris 10 Somerset LD 50, Con 25, Green 15, Lab 19 Your Somerset prediction adds up to 110 if you have time to revise before the deadline... Do prediction competition rules on fault penalties apply to corrections?  |
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Post by johnloony on Mar 28, 2024 10:41:18 GMT
Neath PT PC 32, Labour 30, Ind Finn 28, Ind Harris 10 Somerset LD 50, Con 25, Green 15, Lab 19 Your Somerset prediction adds up to 110 if you have time to revise before the deadline... 109 not 110 |
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Post by johnloony on Mar 28, 2024 10:44:12 GMT
Er… is Orkney not included in this week’s competition? I demand that it should be! Unless my prediction for it makes my results worse, in which case I demand that it not be!
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Post by robbienicoll on Mar 29, 2024 0:05:48 GMT
11 entries to close the month, all on time but with kevinf picking up 9 faults for going over in Somerset. Neath East, Neath Port Talbot: 6 Independent (Finn) gain from Labour, with batman, corradino and kevinf Plaid Cymru gain, and iainbhx and johnloony Labour hold. Somerton, Somerset: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 20% (iainbhx and peterl) to 50% (johnloony). Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BvUPxR7vpmAGn9rgcjGf5I5T08yrAHZdh_yRvg2_Lt4/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all! And the bonus episode: Stromness and South Isles, Orkney: 100% (4) Independent (Park) win, with majorities ranging from 14% (batman) to 52% (johnloony). |
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Post by kevinf on Mar 29, 2024 0:06:52 GMT
Thanks for pointing out folks, Lab in Somerset should have been 10! Luckily I am not troubling the leader board…
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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 29, 2024 0:32:58 GMT
I think iainbhx wins the week and the month. Double congratulations! |
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Post by iainbhx on Mar 29, 2024 10:10:56 GMT
I think iainbhx wins the week and the month. Double congratulations! I‘m beginning to think I should retire whilst the going is good. I think my research into Neath helped a bit there. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Mar 29, 2024 10:27:44 GMT
I know it doesn't actually count, but johnloony was commendably close in Orkney. |
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Post by batman on Mar 29, 2024 10:59:50 GMT
that Indy's result are pretty piss-poor. Perhaps he is actually actively unpopular but hasn't quite realised it? Or maybe it's just he's not from mainland Orkney.
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Post by iainbhx on Mar 29, 2024 11:12:35 GMT
that Indy's result are pretty piss-poor. Perhaps he is actually actively unpopular but hasn't quite realised it? Or maybe it's just he's not from mainland Orkney. Well, he's from Hoy, which is a big island with a small population, he was elected unopposed in 2017 but did badly in 2022. |
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Post by johnloony on Mar 29, 2024 13:20:57 GMT
I know it doesn't actually count, but johnloony was commendably close in Orkney. I was conscious of the fact that in remote rural areas like that, with Independent candidates only (or perhaps something like Ind vs. Plaid Cymru), there can often / sometimes be overwhelming results like 90-10 or 85-15, so I wanted to stretch it a bit. But I didn't want to exaggerate to much, just in case. Now I am thinking that I should have stuck with my original instinct which was to say 85-15. |
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