Prediction Competition - March 2024

[batman]

LANCASTER, Castle : Green 54 Lab 34 C 7 LD 5

WILTSHIRE, Cricklade & Latton : LD 60 C 25 Green 8 Lab 7

[johnloony]

Lancaster: Grn 50 Lab 32 Con 10 LD 8
Wiltshire: LD 50 Con 32 Lab 10 Grn 8

[Tony Otim]

Mar 13, 2024 11:06:32 GMT johnloony said:

Lancaster: Grn 50 Lab 32 Con 10 LD 8
Wiltshire: LD 50 Con 32 Lab 10 Grn 8

Liking the nice symmetry there...

[johnloony]

Mar 13, 2024 17:58:29 GMT Tony Otim said:

Mar 13, 2024 11:06:32 GMT johnloony said:

Lancaster: Grn 50 Lab 32 Con 10 LD 8
Wiltshire: LD 50 Con 32 Lab 10 Grn 8

Liking the nice symmetry there...

I was initially tempted to make it so that the numbers would add up to the same for each party (like 40 30 20 10 and 10 20 30 40 frig zumple) but I thought that would be less likely to be an accurate predikshun.

[Robert Waller]

Lancaster: Grn 59 Lab 30 Con 6 LD 5

Wiltshire: LD 54 Con 28 Lab 11 Grn 7

[johnloony]

Mar 13, 2024 21:28:03 GMT Robert Waller said:

Lancaster: Grn 59 Lab 30 Con 6 LD 5

Wiltshire: LD 59 Con 29 Lab 13 Grn 9

That adds up to 110

[andrewp]

Lancaster. Green 60 Lab 30 Con 5 LD 5
Wiltshire. LD 56 Con 30 Green 8 Lab 6

[carolus]

Lancaster, Castle:
Green 58, Lab 30, Con 7, LD 5

Wiltshire, Cricklade & Latton:
LD 58, Con 30, Green 7, Lab 5

[Robert Waller]

I won't quote as it would only confuse things further, but I'd like to thank johnloony and say how sporting it was of him to let me know I had originally submitted a predickshun that had added up to 110!

That was very confuddled of me ....

[peterl]

Lancaster, Castle: Green 60, Lab 28, LD 7, Con 5

Wiltshire, Cricklade & Latton: LD 62, Con 22, Green 10, Lab 6

[iainbhx]

Lancaster DC, Castle : Grn 60, Lab 28 Con 7, lDm 5
Wiltshire UA, Cricklade and Latton: LDm 54, Con 28, Grn 12, Lab 6

[rightleaning]

Lancaster DC, Castle : Grn 57, Lab 30, Con 9, LDm 4
Wiltshire UA, Cricklade and Latton: LDm 51, Con 30, Grn 14, Lab 5

[corradino]

Confound it! I now find I omitted to press'post quick reply'last night. For the record these were my predictions:-


Lancaster, Castle: Green 57, Lab 33, Con 6, LD 4.

Wiltshire, Cricklade & Latton: 53, Con 25, Lab 12, Green 10.

[robbienicoll]

11 entries this week, all correct but with corradino picking up 2x30 faults for posting three hours late.

Castle, Lancaster: 100% Green hold, with majorities ranging from 18% (johnloony) to 32% (iainbhx and peterl).

Cricklade and Latton, Wiltshire: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 18% (johnloony) to 40% (peterl).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uet4GdX1Fd9ibLBSwM7ASsbNk2WPv0ssjIbtp6oFsh0/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[Robert Waller]

After two swiftly counted results, I think peterl wins the week convincingly - well done!

I am less confident about who may be in the lead for the month now. I think it may be very close between Tony Otim, andrewp and iainbhx

[peterl]

Wow, I think that's twice I've won in the last year or so. I'd like to thanks all the voters in Lancaster and Wiltshire for making this victory possible!

[Tony Otim]

Still very close at the top and next week looks considerably more challenging than this...

[johnloony]

Cambs: Con 33 LD 29 Ind 16 Lab 12 Grn 10
Flint: Lab 36.1 Con 35.9 LD 7 Grn 7 Ind 7 Ind 7
Knowsley: Lab 53 Ind 47
North Kesteven: Ind 46 Con 31 Lab 14 LD 9

[peterl]

Cambs: LD 37 Con 29 Ind 13 Grn 12 Lab 9
Flint: Lab 38 Con 34 Grn 9 LD 7 Ind 6 Ind 6
Knowsley: Lab 57 Ind 43
North Kesteven: Ind 44 Con 35 Lab 11 LD 10

[batman]

CAMBRIDGESHIRE, Yaxley & Farcet : Ind 29 LD 28 C 27 Lab 12 Green 4

FLINTSHIRE, Brynford & Halkin : Lab 43 C 26 Ind Johnson 17 Ind Dickin 6 LD 5 Green 3

KNOWSLEY, Whitefield : Lab 56 Ind 44

N.KESTEVEN, Heckington Rural : C 44 Lab 30 Lincs Ind 21 LD 5