Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 11, 2024 17:24:12 GMT
Featuring content from Merseymike and others
Wallasey is one of the seats covering the metropolitan part of the Wirral peninsula – the north-east of Wirral. It is one of the few seats where the boundaries have remained much the same throughout its existence, and since 1997, its results have indicated that it is a safe Labour seat. Yet it was only won by Labour in 1992, although marginal since the 1960’s, without ever having been lost by the Conservatives.
From Pete Whitehead
2019 Notional results on new boundaries (gains half of Upton ward)
Wallasey is one of the seats covering the metropolitan part of the Wirral peninsula – the north-east of Wirral. It is one of the few seats where the boundaries have remained much the same throughout its existence, and since 1997, its results have indicated that it is a safe Labour seat. Yet it was only won by Labour in 1992, although marginal since the 1960’s, without ever having been lost by the Conservatives.
It is also a seat where local results have often flattered to deceive for the Conservatives. The constituency consists of six whole wards and a part of another(Upton). Two of which have usually been Conservative, the middle class residential wards of Wallasey itself, which has been Labour in the odd very good year, and Moreton West and Saughall Massie, which the Conservatives have always held. There is a safe Labour ward, which has never been lost, Seacombe , socially similar to the inner city Liverpool and Bootle wards it faces across the Mersey. The other wards are all essentially Labour, but the Conservatives have sometimes performed better than expected – Liscard , Leasowe and Moreton East, and New Brighton have all managed to elect Conservative councillors since 2006, but in both 2015 where the national turnout influenced results, and the last local elections in 2019, all these wards returned healthy Labour majorities. Liscard is the more working class of the three, and New Brighton resembles the areas of Crosby which it faces across the river too – a formerly safe Tory area where Labour are now 40% ahead of their nearest competitors.
Demographic change is in many places largely a synonym for immigration, but not really here, unless we mean immigration from across the Mersey, or the four bridges from Birkenhead. That probably has been a factor in turning this constituency from Conservative to safe Labour.
Wirral Council has started to see Green Party successes in other areas, while Wallasey remains fairly stable, with Wallasey ward itself the only true Conservative outcrop. Whilst a map might suggest otherwise, Wallasey is not Birkenhead: between the tumbledown charm of New Brighton and the suburbia of Upton are grand houses on steep avenues, where a grand residential comfort overlooks the Mersey from on high. It's been a while, but you can see the Cheshire still seeping through.
From Robert Waller
Age 65+ 16.9% 308/650
Owner-occupied 64.7% 392/650
Private rented 19.9% 125/650
Social rented 14.1% 393/650
White 97.2% 203/650
Black 0.3% 486/650
Asian 1.3% 453/650
Managerial & professional 25.7%
Routine & Semi-routine 30.0%
Degree level 20.2% 506/650
No qualifications 25.3% 239/650[
[/i][/div]Demographic change is in many places largely a synonym for immigration, but not really here, unless we mean immigration from across the Mersey, or the four bridges from Birkenhead. That probably has been a factor in turning this constituency from Conservative to safe Labour.
Wirral Council has started to see Green Party successes in other areas, while Wallasey remains fairly stable, with Wallasey ward itself the only true Conservative outcrop. Whilst a map might suggest otherwise, Wallasey is not Birkenhead: between the tumbledown charm of New Brighton and the suburbia of Upton are grand houses on steep avenues, where a grand residential comfort overlooks the Mersey from on high. It's been a while, but you can see the Cheshire still seeping through.
From Robert Waller
Age 65+ 16.9% 308/650
Owner-occupied 64.7% 392/650
Private rented 19.9% 125/650
Social rented 14.1% 393/650
White 97.2% 203/650
Black 0.3% 486/650
Asian 1.3% 453/650
Managerial & professional 25.7%
Routine & Semi-routine 30.0%
Degree level 20.2% 506/650
No qualifications 25.3% 239/650[
Students 6.9% 317/650
2021 Census
Owner occupied 62.7% 355/573
Private rented 22.9% 145/573
Social rented 14.4% 316/573
White 95.7%
Black 0.4%
Asian 1.8
;Managerial & professional 27.9% 401/573
Routine
Semi-routine 27.8%
Degree level 26.7%
No qualifications 19.5% 218/573
Private rented 22.9% 145/573
Social rented 14.4% 316/573
White 95.7%
Black 0.4%
Asian 1.8
;Managerial & professional 27.9% 401/573
Routine
Semi-routine 27.8%
Degree level 26.7%
No qualifications 19.5% 218/573
General Election 2019: Wallasey
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Angela Eagle 29,901 64.3 -7.2
Conservative James Baker 11,579 24.9 +1.7
Brexit Party Martin York 2,037 4.4 New
Liberal Democrats Vicky Downie 1,843 4.0 +2.4
Green Lily Clough 1,132 2.4 +1.1
Lab Majority 18,322 39.4 -8.9
Turnout 46,492 70.1 -1.6
Labour hold
Swing 4.4 Lab to C
[/quote] From Pete Whitehead
2019 Notional results on new boundaries (gains half of Upton ward)
| Lab | 32957 | 64.7% |
| Con | 12559 | 24.7% |
| BxP | 2145 | 4.2% |
| LD | 2010 | 3.9% |
| Grn | 1229 | 2.4% |
| Majority | 20398 | 40.1% |
