Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Jan 4, 2024 11:51:30 GMT
This contains content from Merseymike and Pete Whitehead and my own.
Boundary changes here involve three existing seats: Wavertree, West Derby, and Knowsley. As with other seats in Liverpool during this process, it feels that wards have been switched around in a rotating fashion, moving from seat to seat like a logic puzzle. The West Derby constituency gives up the peripheral council estate wards of Croxteth and Norris Green to Walton, and adds Old Swan from Wavertree, and Page Moss and Swanside from the town of Huyton in Knowsley. Page Moss is another peripheral estate while Swanside is owner occupied.
Like its neighbouring Walton seat, the original West Derby constituency was mostly Conservative until 1964 and two of its subsequent Labour MPs have defected. First Eric Ogden to the SDP in the early 1980's and Bob Wareing to Independence after being deselected by a CLP who felt the need for an MP more interested in West Derby than Serbia. However this is now a very safe Labour seat. Ian Byrne, community activist and left wing MP got 77.6% of the vote. The seat consists of six of the previous Liverpool city council wards, and a couple of Liverpool's largest council estates (and also one of the city's largest private housing developments) The voting patterns of both is the same - overwhelmingly Labour. And the same is true for all the wards in the seat, at least at national level. This includes the West Derby ward, which was once one of the city's safe Conservative wards.
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2021 Census, new boundaries
Age 65+ 15.0% 460/650
Owner occupied 57.6% 431/575
Private rented 21.0% 179/575
Social rented 21.4% 123/575
White 90.1% 292/575
Black 1.9% 241/575
Asian 3.8% 307/575
Christian 65.8% 4/575
Managerial & professional 24.6% 492/575
Routine & Semi-routine 28.3% 122/575
Degree level 26.3% 461/575
No qualifications 25.0% 49/575
Students 6.9% 197/575
Boundary Changes
Liverpool West Derby consists of
66.0% of Liverpool West Derby
18.8% of Knowsley
17.8% of Liverpool Wavertree
Map
boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/north-west/North%20West_246_Liverpool%20West%20Derby_Landscape.pdf
2019 Notional result
Boundary changes here involve three existing seats: Wavertree, West Derby, and Knowsley. As with other seats in Liverpool during this process, it feels that wards have been switched around in a rotating fashion, moving from seat to seat like a logic puzzle. The West Derby constituency gives up the peripheral council estate wards of Croxteth and Norris Green to Walton, and adds Old Swan from Wavertree, and Page Moss and Swanside from the town of Huyton in Knowsley. Page Moss is another peripheral estate while Swanside is owner occupied.
Like its neighbouring Walton seat, the original West Derby constituency was mostly Conservative until 1964 and two of its subsequent Labour MPs have defected. First Eric Ogden to the SDP in the early 1980's and Bob Wareing to Independence after being deselected by a CLP who felt the need for an MP more interested in West Derby than Serbia. However this is now a very safe Labour seat. Ian Byrne, community activist and left wing MP got 77.6% of the vote. The seat consists of six of the previous Liverpool city council wards, and a couple of Liverpool's largest council estates (and also one of the city's largest private housing developments) The voting patterns of both is the same - overwhelmingly Labour. And the same is true for all the wards in the seat, at least at national level. This includes the West Derby ward, which was once one of the city's safe Conservative wards.
The previous Tuebrook and Stoneycroft ward is the base of Steve Radford and the Liberal Party, and while attempts to establish a base in other wards did not take hold, at a local election the Liberals hold the seat comfortably, except in 2015 when, held on the same day as the General election, Labour took the ward, but the Liberals still managed 35% of the vote. This strength also saw Steve Radford manage a second place in 1997 and 2001 general elections, albeit far behind Labour.
The Conservatives fell to fourth in 2001 but now come a distant second. The Liberal Democrats held Knotty Ash ward (how tickled they are!) from 2004-2010 at local level but it returned to Labour. Such is the strength of Labour in this seat that even it's middle class areas of West Derby Village and the private Barratts style housing of Croxteth Country Park, which would attract Tory sales reps in other seats, are solidly Labour.
The wards brought in from Huyton are almost seamlessly joined to the built up residential areas of this part of Liverpool: Dovecot and Knotty Ash into the estates of Huyton Farm, Page Moss, and Swanside, as though some Metropolitan Borough boundaries aren't as sacred as others. Certainly local election results point to similarities: the new Knotty Ash ward results had Labour winning with 84% of the vote in a four -candidate battle, while neighbouring Swanside saw Labour beat a sole Green opponent by a ratio of about 3:1.
What's in a name? The new boundaries swing the centre of gravity around and yet West Derby is a very recognised identity. Whatever the make-up, this is a solid Labour seat by any measure.
2011 Census
The wards brought in from Huyton are almost seamlessly joined to the built up residential areas of this part of Liverpool: Dovecot and Knotty Ash into the estates of Huyton Farm, Page Moss, and Swanside, as though some Metropolitan Borough boundaries aren't as sacred as others. Certainly local election results point to similarities: the new Knotty Ash ward results had Labour winning with 84% of the vote in a four -candidate battle, while neighbouring Swanside saw Labour beat a sole Green opponent by a ratio of about 3:1.
What's in a name? The new boundaries swing the centre of gravity around and yet West Derby is a very recognised identity. Whatever the make-up, this is a solid Labour seat by any measure.
Age 65+ 15.0% 460/650
Owner-occupied 54.7% 544/650
Private rented 15.5% 252/650
Social rented 28.0% 73/650
White 94.1% 342/650
Black 1.4% 220/650
Asian 2.6% 326/650
Christian 79.6% 4/650
Managerial & professional 21.8%
Routine & Semi-routine 31.7%
Degree level 17.2% 584/650
No qualifications 32.8% 43/650
Students 8.6% 193/650
2021 Census
[/b][/div]Owner occupied 54.0% 465/573
Private rented 19.2% 235/573
Social rented 26.8% 56/573
White 89.5%
Black 2.5%
Asian 4.1%
Christian 67.2% 4/650
Managerial & professional 23.5% 506/573
Routine & Semi-routine 29.1% 114/573
Degree level 25.6% 465/573
No qualifications 25.9% 38/573
General Election 2019: Liverpool West Derby
[/b][/div]Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Ian Byrne 34,117 77.6 -5.2
Conservative Tom Bradley 4,133 9.4 -0.5
Brexit Party Ray Pearson 2,012 4.6
Liberal Steve Radford 1,826 4.2 -0.6
Liberal Democrats Paul Parr 1,296 2.9 +1.7
Green Will Ward 605 1.4 +0.7
Lab Majority 29,984 68.2 -4.7
[/i][/div]Turnout 43,989 67.0 -2.0
Labour hold
Swing 2.3 Lab to C
[/quote]
2021 Census, new boundaries
Age 65+ 15.0% 460/650
Owner occupied 57.6% 431/575
Private rented 21.0% 179/575
Social rented 21.4% 123/575
White 90.1% 292/575
Black 1.9% 241/575
Asian 3.8% 307/575
Christian 65.8% 4/575
Managerial & professional 24.6% 492/575
Routine & Semi-routine 28.3% 122/575
Degree level 26.3% 461/575
No qualifications 25.0% 49/575
Students 6.9% 197/575
Boundary Changes
Liverpool West Derby consists of
66.0% of Liverpool West Derby
18.8% of Knowsley
17.8% of Liverpool Wavertree
Map
boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/north-west/North%20West_246_Liverpool%20West%20Derby_Landscape.pdf
| Lab | 34765 | 77.7% |
| Con | 3855 | 8.6% |
| BxP | 2168 | 4.8% |
| Lib | 1884 | 4.2% |
| LD | 1334 | 3.0% |
| Grn | 729 | 1.6% |
| Majority | 30910 | 69.1% |
