Prediction Competition - January 2024

[robbienicoll]

12 full entries and a partial one from mattbewilson for this week, all on time and correct.

Cazenove, Hackney: 6 Labour hold and 6 Liberal Democrat gain.

Hampton North, Richmond upon Thames: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 6% (batman) to 38% (peterl).

Teddington, Richmond upon Thames: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 34% (batman) to 52% (peterl).

Stannington, Sheffield: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 10% (iainbhx) to 37% (peterl).

Tooting Broadway, Wandsworth: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 14% (kevinf) to 54% (peterl).

Warwick All Saints and Woodloes, Warwick: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 4% (corradino) to 37% (johnloony).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1QPHoZI2EgNvTEXN0fBVSwFOKDbX5TLgiaTrNTdvEekA/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[kevinf]

Jan 14, 2024 16:42:19 GMT kevinf said:

Casenove on Hackney is going to ‘fun’ for predictors this week….

Well that was about all I got right this week!

[andrewp]

Congratulation to carolus for the week and to iainbhx for his monthly lead. All to play for in Stirling next week

A couple of 100 and outs in Hackney. I narrowly avoided it, but comfortably got more faults in Hackney than in the other 5 contests combined.

[kevinf]

I’ll start off Stirling:
Con 34
SNP31
Lab 18
Green 9
LibDem 7.6
SFP 0.4
(Con win)

[batman]

STIRLING, Dunblane & Bridge of Allan : C 33 SNP 30 Lab 19 LD 9 Green 8 SFP 1. C win

[Tony Otim]

Stirling: Con 37.8; SNP 26.5; Lab 16.1; LD 9.7; Grn 8.4; SFP 1.5 (Con win)

[iainbhx]

Stirling SUA, Dunblane & Bridge of Allan: Con 38, SNP 26, Lab 17, Grn 9.5, LDm 9, SFam 0.5 (Con win on Transfers)

[andrewp]

Stirling. Dunblane and Bridge of Allan. Con 39. SNP 26 Lab 17 LD 9 Green 8 SFP 1. Con win

[johnloony]

Con 41 SNP 25 Lab 18 LD 8 Grn 7 SFP 1

[corradino]

Stirling, Dunblane & Bridge of Allan: Con 42, SNP 24, Lab 18, LD 8, Green 7, SFP 1. Con win after transfers.

[manchesterman]

Stirling. Dunblane and Bridge of Allan. Con 39. SNP 25, Lab 18, LD 9 Green 8, SFP 1. [Con win]

[carolus]

Stirling, Dunblane & Bridge of Allan:
Con 40, SNP 25, Lab 20, LD 9, Grn 5, SFP 1. Con win

[Robert Waller]

Stirling, Dunblane & Bridge of Allan: Con 39, SNP 27, Lab 15, LD 9, Green 9, SFP 1. Con win after transfers.

[rightleaning]

Stirling, Dunblane & Bridge of Allan: Con 37, SNP 24, Lab 16, LD 11, Green 11, SFP 1. Con win after transfers.

[robbienicoll]

11 entries to finish the month, with no peterl, all on time and correct.

Dunblane and Bridge of Allan, Stirling: 100% Conservative ahead on first preference and hold after transfers, first preference majorities ranging from 3% (batman and kevinf) to 18% (corradino).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1u14pnWSxdnsT8zmPwDelYv0zQykrghhVbyBQ6MNBmSQ/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[corradino]

I was banking on a much lower turnout in heavy weather and unwisely fell for the notion of Tories willing to get out and vote however cold and wet. Looks like Labour and the Greens were more than willing to get their wellies on.

[Robert Waller]

Congratulations to iainbhx on the month win, but also of course to manchesterman and andrewp for filling the podium in an extremely tight three way photo finish!

I shall update the form guide during the day Friday.