ComRes Local Election Poll

[Pimpernal]

Health Warning - Commissioned by Coalition for Marriage

Conservatives 31%
Labour on 24%
UKIP 22%
Lib Dems 12%.

[woollyliberal]

That's going to upset a few on Thursday if it's accurate. If true, there's a reasonable chance of UKIP pipping Labour to 2nd place in terms of vote share. The three big questions are how many councillors will that give UKIP, how many Conservatives will lose to another party because of it and how will the Tories react to the UKIP threat?

[Devonian]

That's the second poll I've seen showing UKIP outpolling the Conservatives in the North East. The other was the Opinium General election poll the other day. Of course in both polls the regional sample size was small so it would be wrong to read too much into that. However it's striking than in both polls UKIP had overtaken the Conservatives in only one region and in both cases that region was the North East. Both polls also showed UKIP nearly catching up with the Conservatives in the South West region.

[Devonian]

Another striking thing is the class breakdown

AB - Con 35, UKIP 23, Lab 21, Lib Dem 13
C1 -  Con 34, Lab 20, Lib Dem 20, UKIP 14
C2 - Lab 30, Con 28, UKIP 24, Lib Dem 8
DE - UKIP 29, Con 27, Lab 26, Lib Dem 8

This shows UKIP as being first amongst DE voters which is extraordinary.

[The Bishop]

To add to Pimp's original health warning, its by ComRes. Nuff said

[erlend]

Of course is this the opinion poll shares here or is it the expected vote in the local elections in those areas.

[Andrew_S]

Apr 30, 2013 21:15:51 GMT Pimpernal said:

Health Warning - Commissioned by Coalition for Marriage

Conservatives 31%
Labour on 24%
UKIP 22%
Lib Dems 12%.

I take it this poll is just for areas voting in the local elections this year, so the projected national share would be very different.