Post by John Chanin on Aug 28, 2023 16:00:29 GMT
This seat covers the west side of the borough of Haringey, with Southgate to the north, and Finchley to the west, and is very different from Tottenham in the east of the borough. This is very much a middle-class seat, with a highly educated population. While Hampstead has historically been seen as the intellectual centre of London, this seat would more appropriately take this title today, although the demographic data is very similar. The seat can be divided into four sections. In the first on the west are Muswell Hill and Fortis Green, the old middle-class section of the seat, once safely Conservative, in the days when class determined voting. On the east is Alexandra Park, with its famous pleasure palace in expansive grounds, formerly the BBC headquarters, and perhaps best known these days as the home of the World Darts Championship. It is something of a crumbling wreck, and plans to restore it to its former glory come and go without ever coming to fruition. These days the three wards here form the Liberal Democratic heartland in the seat and borough. This area is three-quarters white, majority owner-occupied, with very little social housing. The proportion of the population doing routine jobs is less than 10%, and two-thirds have degrees. There is also a significant Jewish population of 7%.
Added at the latest boundary review is the Friern Barnet ward to the north, which divides neatly into three parts. The Colney Hatch area south of the North Circular road is geographically a continuation of Fortis Green, with Edwardian housing, and some council housing, but is a little down market. Between the North Circular Road and Friern Barnet Road is an entirely new quarter, built on the site of the old Friern mental hospital, one of the largest institutions of its type. The main hospital building, renamed Princess Park Manor, has also been converted into up market housing. North of here, you are into traditional suburbia, with streets of inter-war semi-detached houses. Friern Barnet ward as a whole is decidedly down market of Hornsey, with much lower occupational and educational statistics, and fewer white households, and votes comfortably Labour at local level.
In the south is Hornsey proper, including Crouch End and Stroud Green. This is the intellectual heart of the seat, with a more recent middle-class population of a different nature in the Victorian housing. There is significantly more renting, including social housing, and a higher black population here, but it is equally high in managerial occupations and educational qualifications. Local elections see close contests between the Liberal Democrats and Labour. Harringay to the east across the barrier of the mainline railway into Kings Cross is rather different. North of the large Finsbury Park, long rows of Victorian housing extend between Green Lanes and Wightman Road, with no road connections between them and the area is known locally as “the ladder”. Owner-occupation is the lowest in the seat, and there is an enormous private rented sector. Demographically it is more similar to the other area coming into the seat, Friern Barnet, than to the rest of the seat, and like Friern Barnet it is normally Labour.
Politically this seat has an interesting history. Prior to 1983 the Hornsey seat was always Conservative. After this it was amalgamated with Wood Green and the new seat, now marginal, fell to Labour in 1992. This however was not the end of the story. The Liberal Democrats built up a large support locally, winning 5 of the 9 wards in the 2002 council elections, and then capturing the parliamentary seat in 2005. They consolidated this by winning all the Hornsey wards in 2006 and 2010, and defending the parliamentary seat comfortably. They continued to have considerable strength here at parliamentary level as well as local level, having co-opted most of the former Conservative vote in the old middle-class areas, while also gaining support from the strongly pro-EU population in the intellectual areas. Things changed in 2024. There were substantial boundary changes here, with Labour voting Wood Green being moved to a cross-borough seat with Enfield, while Liberal Democrat voting Highgate has been linked with Hampstead. However with both wards coming in to replace them voting Labour, the latter’s position should not have been weakened much, and nor should the Liberal Democrats. However while the Labour vote did indeed remain static, The Liberal Democrat vote deserted en masse to the Greens, as in similar well-educated urban seats elsewhere, leading to a substantial increase in the Labour majority. The present MP is Australian born Catherine West, former leader of Islington Council, who won the seat back for Labour in 2015 with a large post-coalition swing, and has subsequently consolidated her position.
Census data: Owner-occupied 50% (501/575 in England & Wales), private rented 34% (40th), social rented 16% (265th).
: White 70%(465th), Black 8%(77th), South Asian 5%(207th), Mixed 7%(11th), Other 10%(62nd)
: Managerial & professional 58% (15th), Routine & Semi-routine 15% (563rd)
: Degree 60% (11th), Minimal qualifications 16% (556th)
: Students 7% (184th), Over 65: 12% (507th)
Boundaries : The new seat is made up of 72% from Hornsey & Wood Green, 16% from Chipping Barnet, and 12% from Tottenham
60% of the old seat is in the new one, with 28% going to Southgate & Wood Green, and 11% to Hampstead & Highgate
Added at the latest boundary review is the Friern Barnet ward to the north, which divides neatly into three parts. The Colney Hatch area south of the North Circular road is geographically a continuation of Fortis Green, with Edwardian housing, and some council housing, but is a little down market. Between the North Circular Road and Friern Barnet Road is an entirely new quarter, built on the site of the old Friern mental hospital, one of the largest institutions of its type. The main hospital building, renamed Princess Park Manor, has also been converted into up market housing. North of here, you are into traditional suburbia, with streets of inter-war semi-detached houses. Friern Barnet ward as a whole is decidedly down market of Hornsey, with much lower occupational and educational statistics, and fewer white households, and votes comfortably Labour at local level.
In the south is Hornsey proper, including Crouch End and Stroud Green. This is the intellectual heart of the seat, with a more recent middle-class population of a different nature in the Victorian housing. There is significantly more renting, including social housing, and a higher black population here, but it is equally high in managerial occupations and educational qualifications. Local elections see close contests between the Liberal Democrats and Labour. Harringay to the east across the barrier of the mainline railway into Kings Cross is rather different. North of the large Finsbury Park, long rows of Victorian housing extend between Green Lanes and Wightman Road, with no road connections between them and the area is known locally as “the ladder”. Owner-occupation is the lowest in the seat, and there is an enormous private rented sector. Demographically it is more similar to the other area coming into the seat, Friern Barnet, than to the rest of the seat, and like Friern Barnet it is normally Labour.
Politically this seat has an interesting history. Prior to 1983 the Hornsey seat was always Conservative. After this it was amalgamated with Wood Green and the new seat, now marginal, fell to Labour in 1992. This however was not the end of the story. The Liberal Democrats built up a large support locally, winning 5 of the 9 wards in the 2002 council elections, and then capturing the parliamentary seat in 2005. They consolidated this by winning all the Hornsey wards in 2006 and 2010, and defending the parliamentary seat comfortably. They continued to have considerable strength here at parliamentary level as well as local level, having co-opted most of the former Conservative vote in the old middle-class areas, while also gaining support from the strongly pro-EU population in the intellectual areas. Things changed in 2024. There were substantial boundary changes here, with Labour voting Wood Green being moved to a cross-borough seat with Enfield, while Liberal Democrat voting Highgate has been linked with Hampstead. However with both wards coming in to replace them voting Labour, the latter’s position should not have been weakened much, and nor should the Liberal Democrats. However while the Labour vote did indeed remain static, The Liberal Democrat vote deserted en masse to the Greens, as in similar well-educated urban seats elsewhere, leading to a substantial increase in the Labour majority. The present MP is Australian born Catherine West, former leader of Islington Council, who won the seat back for Labour in 2015 with a large post-coalition swing, and has subsequently consolidated her position.
Census data: Owner-occupied 50% (501/575 in England & Wales), private rented 34% (40th), social rented 16% (265th).
: White 70%(465th), Black 8%(77th), South Asian 5%(207th), Mixed 7%(11th), Other 10%(62nd)
: Managerial & professional 58% (15th), Routine & Semi-routine 15% (563rd)
: Degree 60% (11th), Minimal qualifications 16% (556th)
: Students 7% (184th), Over 65: 12% (507th)
Boundaries : The new seat is made up of 72% from Hornsey & Wood Green, 16% from Chipping Barnet, and 12% from Tottenham
60% of the old seat is in the new one, with 28% going to Southgate & Wood Green, and 11% to Hampstead & Highgate
2017 | % | 2019 | % | Notional | % | 2024 | % | |
Labour | 40,738 | 65.4 | 35,126 | 57.5 | 30,007 | 57.3 | 28,535 | 58.7 |
Conservative | 9,246 | 14.8 | 6,829 | 11.2 | 6,200 | 11.8 | 4,011 | 8.2 |
Liberal Democrat | 10,000 | 16.1 | 15,884 | 26.0 | 13,470 | 25.6 | 6,099 | 12.5 |
UKIP/Brexit/Reform | 429 | 0.7 | 763 | 1.2 | 494 | 0.9 | 1,989 | 4.1 |
Green | 1,181 | 1.9 | 2,192 | 3.6 | 1,983 | 3.8 | 7,060 | 14.5 |
Other | 699 | 1.1 | 311 | 0.5 | 311 | 0.6 | 948 | 2.0 |
Majority | 30,738 | 49.3 | 19,242 | 31.5 | 16,607 | 31.6 | 21,475 | 44.1 |