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Post by BossMan on Aug 14, 2023 10:48:01 GMT
Incumbent- Alun Michael, Labour and Cooperative.
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Post by andrewp on Aug 14, 2023 10:54:11 GMT
It would perhaps be somewhat surprising if Alun Michael stood for re election. He celebrates his 80th birthday next week.
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neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
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Post by neilm on Aug 16, 2023 21:21:46 GMT
Perhaps now that he's found a job where people seem to like him he might not want to give it up.
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carolus
Lib Dem
Posts: 5,531
Member is Online
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Post by carolus on Sept 9, 2023 15:32:08 GMT
2021: Lab - 177,110 (41.0%) Con - 102,465 (23.7%) PC - 82,246 (19.0%) Ind - 37,110 (8.6%) LD - 19,907 (4.6%) Propel - 13,263 (3.1%)
Second round: Lab - 225,463 (63.8%) Con - 127,844 (36.2%)
In 2016 Lab won by 23% over Con in the first round and 36.2% in the second. In 2012 Lab won by 14.5% over Ind in the first round and 8.6% in the second.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,736
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Post by andrea on Nov 16, 2023 11:30:37 GMT
Emma Wools selected as Labour candidate. I guess it means that Alun Michael is retiring. Wools is the Deputy Police & Crime Commissioner since 2016.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 16, 2023 11:32:32 GMT
Emma Wools selected as Labour candidate. I guess it means that Alun Michael is retiring. He will be 80 in August so it's not a big surprise.
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Post by spirit on Dec 5, 2023 22:28:46 GMT
Emma Wools selected as Labour candidate. I guess it means that Alun Michael is retiring. Wools is the Deputy Police & Crime Commissioner since 2016. Some grumbling over the selection. www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-67614075
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Dec 6, 2023 7:46:31 GMT
Quite incredible senario. Well done (once again) to andrea for bringing us the selection news before the MSM.
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Post by timrollpickering on Dec 6, 2023 8:24:01 GMT
404 Page cannot be found
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Dec 6, 2023 9:14:32 GMT
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,762
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Post by johng on Apr 5, 2024 16:58:50 GMT
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Post by Dalek Prime on Apr 5, 2024 17:46:02 GMT
My polling card has arrived so a few people might notice this election will be happening...maybe
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,762
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Post by johng on Apr 5, 2024 22:08:18 GMT
My polling card has arrived so a few people might notice this election will be happening...maybe Turnout will be low.
PPC elections are ones which basically nobody cares about and even fewer understand.
Though postal ballots will make up a significant proportion of the total votes and the increase in the number of postal voters means the 14.7% turnout in 2012 should be beaten.
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Post by listener on Apr 24, 2024 21:03:23 GMT
SOUTH WALES 2021
2021 PARO – Vale of Glamorgan
Because the PCC elections in Wales coincided with the Senedd elections, the local results were announced by constituency, rather than by district
The PARO provided a very helpful analysis of the results both by constituency and by district.
Overall result (First Stage) (total valid ballots 432,101)
Labour were ahead in all districts, apart from Monmouthshire (Con).
Lab 177,110 – 41.0% Con 102,465 – 23.7% Plaid Cymru 82,246 – 19.0% Independent 37,110 – 8.6% Lib Dem 19,907 – 4.6% Propel 13,263 – 3.1%
Bridgend (total valid ballots 51,590)
Lab 20,475 – 39.7% Con 14,030 – 27.2% Plaid Cymru 8,355 – 16.2% Independent 5,766 – 11.2% Lib Dem 1,657 – 3.2% Propel 1,307 – 2.5%
Cardiff (total valid ballots 134,070)
Lab 55,107 – 41.1% Con 31,098 – 23.2% Plaid Cymru 22,920 – 17.1% Independent 10,464 – 7.8% Lib Dem 9,553 – 7.1% Propel 4,928 – 3.7%
Merthyr Tydfil (total valid ballots 15,855)
Lab 7,631 – 48.1% Con 2,697 – 17.0% Plaid Cymru 3,038 – 19.2% Independent 1,590 – 10.0% Lib Dem 419 – 2.6% Propel 480 – 3.0%
Neath Port Talbot (total valid ballots 47,492)
Lab 19,271 – 40.6% Con 9,218 – 19.4% Plaid Cymru 11,711 – 24.7% Independent 4,445 – 9.4% Lib Dem 1,364 – 2.9% Propel 1,483 – 3.1%
Rhondda Cynon Taff (total valid ballots 67,467)
Lab 29,363 – 43.5% Con 12,207 – 18.1% Plaid Cymru 16,266 – 24.1% Independent 5,729 – 8.5% Lib Dem 1,685 – 2.5% Propel 2,217 – 3.3%
Swansea (total valid ballots 74,831)
Lab 31,977 – 42.7% Con 18,506 – 24.7% Plaid Cymru 13,214 – 17.7% Independent 5,347 – 7.1% Lib Dem 3,879 – 5.2% Propel 1,908 – 2.5%
Vale of Glamorgan (total valid ballots 40,796)
Lab 13,286 – 32.6% Con 14,709 – 36.1% Plaid Cymru 6,742 – 16.5% Independent 3,769 – 9.2% Lib Dem 1,350 – 3.3% Propel 940 – 2.3%
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Post by listener on Apr 24, 2024 21:03:58 GMT
SOUTH WALES 2021
2021 PARO – Vale of Glamorgan
For the record, here are the raw results by constituency
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney constituency is split between Gwent and South Wales police areas.
Labour were ahead in all constituencies, apart from Vale of Glamorgan (Con).
Overall result (First Stage) (total valid ballots 432,101)
Lab 177,110 – 41.0% Con 102,465 – 23.7% Plaid Cymru 82,246 – 19.0% Independent 37,110 – 8.6% Lib Dem 19,907 – 4.6% Propel 13,263 – 3.1%
Aberavon (total valid ballots 21,116)
Lab 9,035 – 42.8% Con 3,929 – 18.6% Plaid Cymru 4,838 – 22.9% Independent 1,953 – 9.2% Lib Dem 677 – 3.2% Propel 684 – 3.2%
Bridgend (total valid ballots 28,217)
Lab 10,260 – 36.4% Con 8,927 – 31.6% Plaid Cymru 3,781 – 13.4% Independent 3,653 – 12.9% Lib Dem 994 – 3.5% Propel 602 – 2.1%
Cardiff Central (total valid ballots 26,900)
Lab 11,416 – 42.4% Con 4,501 – 16.7% Plaid Cymru 4,615 – 17.2% Independent 1,659 – 6.2% Lib Dem 3,997 – 14.9% Propel 712 – 2.6%
Cardiff North (total valid ballots 38,224)
Lab 14,905 – 39.0% Con 11,487 – 30.1% Plaid Cymru 5,174 – 13.5% Independent 3,613 – 9.5% Lib Dem 2,219 – 5.8% Propel 826 – 2.2%
Cardiff South (total valid ballots 34,546)
Lab 14,960 – 43.3% Con 8,119 – 23.5% Plaid Cymru 5,994 – 17.4% Independent 2,514 – 7.3% Lib Dem 1,854 – 5.4% Propel 1,105 – 3.2%
Cardiff West (total valid ballots 34,400)
Lab 13,826 – 40.2% Con 6,991 – 20.3% Plaid Cymru 7,137 – 20.7% Independent 2,678 – 7.8% Lib Dem 1,483 – 4.3% Propel 2,285 – 6.6%
Cynon Valley (total valid ballots 19,331)
Lab 8,986 – 46.5% Con 3,626 – 18.8% Plaid Cymru 4,046 – 20.9% Independent 1,537 – 8.0% Lib Dem 428 – 2.2% Propel 708 – 3.7%
Gower (total valid ballots 31,574)
Lab 12,530 – 39.7% Con 8,600 – 27.2% Plaid Cymru 6,243 – 19.8% Independent 2,322 – 7.4% Lib Dem 1,146 – 3.6% Propel 733 – 2.3%
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney (part) (total valid ballots 15,855)
Lab 7,631 – 48.1% Con 2,697 – 17.0% Plaid Cymru 3,038 – 19.2% Independent 1,590 – 10.0% Lib Dem 419 – 2.6% Propel 480 – 3.0%
Neath (total valid ballots 26,376)
Lab 10,236 – 38.8% Con 5,289 – 20.1% Plaid Cymru 6,873 – 26.1% Independent 2,492 – 9.4% Lib Dem 687 – 2.6% Propel 799 – 3.0%
Ogmore (total valid ballots 23,373)
Lab 10,215 – 43.7% Con 5,103 – 21.8% Plaid Cymru 4,574 – 19.6% Independent 2,113 – 9.0% Lib Dem 663 – 2.8% Propel 705 – 3.0%
Pontypridd (total valid ballots 26,076)
Lab 9,494 – 36.4% Con 6,052 – 23.2% Plaid Cymru 6,152 – 23.6% Independent 2,782 – 10.7% Lib Dem 894 – 3.4% Propel 702 – 2.7%
Rhondda (total valid ballots 22,060)
Lab 10,883 – 49.3% Con 2,529 – 11.5% Plaid Cymru 6,068 – 27.5% Independent 1,410 – 6.4% Lib Dem 363 – 1.6% Propel 807 – 3.7%
Swansea East (total valid ballots 20,561)
Lab 10,050 – 48.9% Con 4,223 – 20.5% Plaid Cymru 3,295 – 16.0% Independent 1,418 – 6.9% Lib Dem 974 – 4.7% Propel 601 – 2.9%
Swansea West (total valid ballots 22,696)
Lab 9,397 – 41.4% Con 5,683 – 25.0% Plaid Cymru 3,676 – 16.2% Independent 1,607 – 7.1% Lib Dem 1,759 – 7.8% Propel 574 – 2.5%
Vale of Glamorgan (total valid ballots 40,796)
Lab 13,286 – 32.6% Con 14,709 – 36.1% Plaid Cymru 6,742 – 16.5% Independent 3,769 – 9.2% Lib Dem 1,350 – 3.3% Propel 940 – 2.3%
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Post by srijan on May 1, 2024 0:44:39 GMT
Yeah, South Wales is at least looking like a pretty solid Labour hold. Turnout will be low, but we've not seen anyone else even bothering to put up a real fight on the PCC front.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,762
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Post by johng on May 1, 2024 15:09:43 GMT
It will be pretty solid IMO. Though getting above 50% will be a tough ask. Turnout will be low. Probably a touch higher than the 14.7% in 2012 as there are lots of other elections elsewhere and lots on the news about the elections. Though we'll see. I've done a bit of campaigning recently, but not in the SWP area.
I only sent my own postal ballot last Friday. Of course I want an emphatic Labour win, but, like most, my enthusiasm to vote is close to zero.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,762
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Post by johng on May 3, 2024 12:35:16 GMT
SWP PCC - Emma Wools (Lab) elected.
Wools (Lab) - 73,128 Carroll (Con) - 43,344 Clarke (PC) - 27,410 Bennett (Lib Dem) - 17,908
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,762
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Post by johng on May 3, 2024 12:37:26 GMT
Wools (Lab) - 73,128 Carroll (Con) - 43,344 Clarke (PC) - 27,410 Bennett (Lib Dem) - 17,908
Turnout 16.58%.
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Post by LDCaerdydd on May 3, 2024 13:45:01 GMT
As a percentage (with changes from 2021 1st preferences)
Lab: 45.2% (+6.01) Con: 26.79% (+3.08) PC: 16.94% (-2.09) LD: 11.07% (+6.46)
No Indi (8.59%) or Propel (3.07%)
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