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Dorset
Aug 11, 2023 17:47:14 GMT
Post by BossMan on Aug 11, 2023 17:47:14 GMT
Incumbent- David Sidwick, Conservative.
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peterl
Green
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Post by peterl on Aug 11, 2023 21:20:54 GMT
2021 Result
Round 1
David Sidwick Conservative 64,071 42.5% Dan Hardy Independent 31,112 20.6% Claire Seymour Green 21,283 14.1% Mark Robson Liberal Democrats 17,837 11.8% Patrick Canavan Labour 16,379 10.9%
Round 2
David Sidwick Conservative 2nd Preference 6,282 Total 70,353 61.83% Dan Hardy Independent 2nd Preference 12,315 Total 43,427 38.17%
The change in the election system will clearly change the dynamics of these elections, but if a credible independent stands they would probably have a good chance in the current climate, an independent having won in both 2012 and 2016.
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on Aug 11, 2023 21:52:37 GMT
these polls could do with an Independent option
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Dorset
Aug 11, 2023 22:44:54 GMT
Post by BossMan on Aug 11, 2023 22:44:54 GMT
these polls could do with an Independent option I considered it, and although I added an independent option to one of the mayorals (North East) I didn't think it was a realistic possibility for the police commissioners: the 'retired copper take-the-politics-out-of-policing' lot had their day some time ago. I'd need to delete and re-add the polls and don't want people to have to vote again so I will only do that if it looks like there is a realistic prospect of it happening.
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maxque
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Dorset
Aug 11, 2023 22:54:24 GMT
Post by maxque on Aug 11, 2023 22:54:24 GMT
these polls could do with an Independent option I considered it, and although I added an independent option to one of the mayorals (North East) I didn't think it was a realistic possibility for the police commissioners: the 'retired copper take-the-politics-out-of-policing' lot had their day some time ago. I'd need to delete and re-add the polls and don't want people to have to vote again so I will only do that if it looks like there is a realistic prospect of it happening. I looked at last time results and they only reached one run-off (here in Dorset).
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Dorset
Aug 11, 2023 22:57:46 GMT
Post by BossMan on Aug 11, 2023 22:57:46 GMT
I considered it, and although I added an independent option to one of the mayorals (North East) I didn't think it was a realistic possibility for the police commissioners: the 'retired copper take-the-politics-out-of-policing' lot had their day some time ago. I'd need to delete and re-add the polls and don't want people to have to vote again so I will only do that if it looks like there is a realistic prospect of it happening. I looked at last time results and they only reached one run-off (here in Dorset). Indeed, and a couple of them crashed and burned completely.
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peterl
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Posts: 8,256
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Dorset
Aug 11, 2023 23:25:31 GMT
Post by peterl on Aug 11, 2023 23:25:31 GMT
I looked at last time results and they only reached one run-off (here in Dorset). Indeed, and a couple of them crashed and burned completely. There really should be an independent option at least for Dorset though. Two out of three elections so far won by independents, and a strong challenge in 2021. Only 1 existing vote would be lost, and frankly Dorset is Con v Ind so the poll is worthless as it stands.
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Dorset
Aug 11, 2023 23:46:03 GMT
via mobile
peterl likes this
Post by BossMan on Aug 11, 2023 23:46:03 GMT
I've added it now.
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It used to be Vote 2006
Guest
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Dorset
Aug 15, 2023 10:53:49 GMT
Post by It used to be Vote 2006 on Aug 15, 2023 10:53:49 GMT
Indeed, and a couple of them crashed and burned completely. There really should be an independent option at least for Dorset though. Two out of three elections so far won by independents, and a strong challenge in 2021. Only 1 existing vote would be lost, and frankly Dorset is Con v Ind so the poll is worthless as it stands. I'm not sure that's an accurate discription of a c. 60-40 second round margin to be fair. The retiring incumbent had something of a national profile prior to his first election; I don't think the independent this time had anything like that.
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andrea
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Dorset
Sept 7, 2023 10:51:28 GMT
Post by andrea on Sept 7, 2023 10:51:28 GMT
Labour candidate is David Stokes. He stood in Bournemouth West in 2017 and 2019 GE
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peterl
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Dorset
Feb 22, 2024 4:44:23 GMT
Post by peterl on Feb 22, 2024 4:44:23 GMT
Dorset PCC election will count on the Saturday, with the count taking place at the BIC in Bournemouth.
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peterl
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Dorset
Mar 23, 2024 23:16:21 GMT
Post by peterl on Mar 23, 2024 23:16:21 GMT
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Dorset
Mar 23, 2024 23:31:07 GMT
Post by carolus on Mar 23, 2024 23:31:07 GMT
I think this is the first time that the PCC election in Dorset has coincided with county council elections - I'd guess that's going to mean any Independent candidate has a tough time.
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Dorset
Mar 24, 2024 15:26:49 GMT
Post by greenchristian on Mar 24, 2024 15:26:49 GMT
I think this is the first time that the PCC election in Dorset has coincided with county council elections - I'd guess that's going to mean any Independent candidate has a tough time. Are you sure about that? County council elections everywhere else are next year.
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maxque
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Dorset
Mar 24, 2024 15:42:08 GMT
Post by maxque on Mar 24, 2024 15:42:08 GMT
I think this is the first time that the PCC election in Dorset has coincided with county council elections - I'd guess that's going to mean any Independent candidate has a tough time. Are you sure about that? County council elections everywhere else are next year. Technically, Dorset isn't a county, but an unitary authority, and those have wierd schedules.
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Dorset
Mar 24, 2024 16:05:51 GMT
via mobile
Post by carolus on Mar 24, 2024 16:05:51 GMT
I think this is the first time that the PCC election in Dorset has coincided with county council elections - I'd guess that's going to mean any Independent candidate has a tough time. Are you sure about that? County council elections everywhere else are next year. Yes.
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Dorset
Mar 24, 2024 19:46:49 GMT
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 24, 2024 19:46:49 GMT
Are you sure about that? County council elections everywhere else are next year. Technically, Dorset isn't a county, but an unitary authority, and those have wierd schedules. For some reason, Dorset council isn't a 'county unitary', but its election is happening in 2024 for a five year term, to bring it in line with the county election cycle.
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Dorset
Apr 1, 2024 9:08:48 GMT
Post by dp1811 on Apr 1, 2024 9:08:48 GMT
I think the Conservative incumbent, David Sidwick, should be the favourite to win.
He is a bit of a chalk and cheese character, with many people locally suggesting he’s not very good, including a friend who works for Dorset Police as a 999 call handler. However many others say he’s doing a good job and that they intend to vote for him.
This is mostly splitting across party lines, but some of my more liberal acquaintances are the ones saying they’ll vote for him. The Dorset Council elections being at the same time may scupper Sidwick’s chances, but I don’t think he should be too concerned about that. That being said, things currently look a bit like a repeat of Somerset 2022 for the Dorset Council elections. Perhaps if we still had the Supplementary Vote system he’d really be in trouble, but I think there will be enough down-ballot vote splitting to save him. There’s also the votes to come out of the BCP Council area, where it seems the LDs aren’t the flavour of the month anymore. Turnout will be abysmal in this part of the county, but if the Dorset Council area proves a close enough fight between the Cons and the LDs, the more Con vs Lab fights in most of BCP might be what tips it.
I expect the Lib Dems will come second, although I haven’t heard anything about a candidate yet. Their focus seems to be entirely on Dorset Council, and the General Election where I live. If the Lib Dems don’t stand a candidate I’d be interested to see who takes that second place.
My call is currently Likely Conservative, but I think it’s one worth keeping an eye on.
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Post by lackeroftalent on Apr 8, 2024 9:13:27 GMT
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peterl
Green
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Posts: 8,256
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Dorset
Apr 16, 2024 18:22:39 GMT
Post by peterl on Apr 16, 2024 18:22:39 GMT
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