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Post by BossMan on Aug 11, 2023 17:30:01 GMT
Incumbent- Darryl Preston, Conservative
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Post by carolus on Aug 14, 2023 22:46:12 GMT
2021:
Con - 99,034 (42.9%) Lab - 72,313 (31.3%) LD - 51,490 (22.3%) Reform UK - 8,031 (3.5%)
Second Round: Con 114,053 (52.7%) Lab 102,195 (47.3%)
In 2016 the winner was Con by 5.2% over Lab in the first round and 6% in the second.
In 2012 the winner was Con by 7% over Lab in the first round and 11.4% in the second.
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Post by Phil Rodgers on Feb 23, 2024 22:04:17 GMT
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Mar 25, 2024 14:55:59 GMT
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Post by Phil Rodgers on Mar 25, 2024 17:34:10 GMT
It was a bit surprising to me as well, to be honest!
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Post by carolus on Apr 5, 2024 16:07:01 GMT
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Post by listener on Apr 22, 2024 22:41:32 GMT
CAMBRIDGESHIRE RESULT 2021
2021 PARO – East Cambridgeshire
Overall result (First Stage) (total valid ballots 230,868)
Conservatives ahead in all districts, except Cambridge (Lab)
Con 99,034 – 42.9% Lab 72,313 – 31.3% Lib Dem 51,490 – 22.3% Reform UK 8,031 – 3.5%
Peterborough (total valid ballots 47,121)
Con 22,349 – 47.4% Lab 18,087 – 38.4% Lib Dem 4,806 – 10.2% Reform UK 1,879 – 4.0%
Cambridge (total valid ballots 38,451)
Con 6,389 – 16.6% Lab 20,776 – 54.0% Lib Dem 10,486 – 27.3% Reform UK 800 – 2.1%
East Cambridgeshire (total valid ballots 23,265)
Con 10,738 – 46.2% Lab 5,300 – 22.8% Lib Dem 6,433 – 27.7% Reform UK 794 – 3.4%
Fenland (total valid ballots 22,238)
Con 14,437 – 64.9% Lab 4,553 – 20.5% Lib Dem 2,100 – 9.4% Reform UK 1,148 – 5.2%
Huntingdonshire (total valid ballots 45,912)
Con 24,385 – 53.1% Lab 11,204 – 24.4% Lib Dem 8,330 – 18.1% Reform UK 1,993 – 4.3%
South Cambridgeshire (total valid ballots 53,881)
Con 20,736 – 38.5% Lab 12,393 – 23.0% Lib Dem 19,335 – 35.9% Reform UK 1,417 – 2.6%
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Post by Phil Rodgers on Apr 25, 2024 22:44:51 GMT
CAMBRIDGESHIRE RESULT 2021 2021 PARO – East Cambridgeshire Overall result (First Stage) (total valid ballots 230,868) Conservatives ahead in all districts, except Cambridge (Lab) Con 99,034 – 42.9% Lab 72,313 – 31.3% Lib Dem 51,490 – 22.3% Reform UK 8,031 – 3.5% Peterborough (total valid ballots 47,121) Con 22,349 – 47.4% Lab 18,087 – 38.4% Lib Dem 4,806 – 10.2% Reform UK 1,879 – 4.0% Cambridge (total valid ballots 38,451) Con 6,389 – 16.6% Lab 20,776 – 54.0% Lib Dem 10,486 – 27.3% Reform UK 800 – 2.1% East Cambridgeshire (total valid ballots 23,265) Con 10,738 – 46.2% Lab 5,300 – 22.8% Lib Dem 6,433 – 27.7% Reform UK 794 – 3.4% Fenland (total valid ballots 22,238) Con 14,437 – 64.9% Lab 4,553 – 20.5% Lib Dem 2,100 – 9.4% Reform UK 1,148 – 5.2% Huntingdonshire (total valid ballots 45,912) Con 24,385 – 53.1% Lab 11,204 – 24.4% Lib Dem 8,330 – 18.1% Reform UK 1,993 – 4.3% South Cambridgeshire (total valid ballots 53,881) Con 20,736 – 38.5% Lab 12,393 – 23.0% Lib Dem 19,335 – 35.9% Reform UK 1,417 – 2.6% Here's a graph for each of the districts
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Post by listener on Apr 26, 2024 11:55:34 GMT
I love the graphs - very clear. Any chance of some more?
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hempie
Forum Regular
Posts: 903
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Post by hempie on May 1, 2024 21:24:23 GMT
I think the result will be seriously skewed by the fact that most of the area doesn't have local elections on the same day (unlike in 2021). Turnout in those areas without elections will be extremely low. This should benefit Labour as Cambridge and Peterborough will have elections.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,236
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Post by andrea on May 3, 2024 10:40:49 GMT
East Cambridgeshire
Con 5688 LD 4367 Lab 4127
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 3, 2024 10:47:36 GMT
Fenland Con 7044 Lab 3861 LD 2280
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 3, 2024 10:50:25 GMT
Hunts Con 12487 Lab 7950 LD 6985
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 3, 2024 11:03:36 GMT
South Cambs Con 11262 LD 11091 Lab 9141
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,630
Member is Online
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Post by European Lefty on May 3, 2024 11:04:53 GMT
South Cambs Con 11262 LD 11091 Lab 9141 Looks like a decent result. We've kept in touch even where we've finished 3rd, so Cambridge and Peterborough should be enough for us to nick it?
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 3, 2024 11:10:42 GMT
Tory lead over Labour with the two cities to report is 12302. Labour netted 10125 votes out out of Cambridge (a lead of 14387) and Peterborough (a deficit of 4262) last time. So it looks like Labour will take this, but it's tight enough that a poor result out of either city might change that.
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,236
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Post by andrea on May 3, 2024 11:48:13 GMT
Tory lead over Labour with the two cities to report is 12302. Labour netted 10125 votes out out of Cambridge (a lead of 14387) and Peterborough (a deficit of 4262) last time. So it looks like Labour will take this, but it's tight enough that a poor result out of either city might change that. Cambridge Anna Smith (Lab) 16, 341 Edna Murphy (Lib Dem) 8,468 Darryl Preston (Con) 7,847
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 3, 2024 11:52:20 GMT
Peterborough has also just come through:
Con 17360 Lab 16884 LD 8793
Conservative hold - swing to the Tories in Cambridge and we didn't squeeze the LD vote enough in the rural districts.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 3, 2024 11:54:53 GMT
Con 62588 Lab 58804 LD 41984
On the one hand, I'm a little disappointed as I like Anna and think she'd have done a good job. On the other hand, nearly beating the Conservatives in Cambridgeshire in a FPTP election is legitimately insane.
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Post by carlton43 on May 3, 2024 12:58:48 GMT
Con 62588 Lab 58804 LD 41984 On the one hand, I'm a little disappointed as I like Anna and think she'd have done a good job. On the other hand, nearly beating the Conservatives in Cambridgeshire in a FPTP election is legitimately insane. What does 'legitimately insane' mean? Or is it itself legitimately insane?
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