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Post by BossMan on Aug 9, 2023 18:10:44 GMT
Three Rivers
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 12, 2023 7:00:11 GMT
Current council LD 22 Con 12 Lab 3 Grn 2 Defending this year LD 8 Con 4 Lab 1
Elections have mostly become boring here with almost all wards safe for their respective parties. The Conservatives are safe in their four wards with the possible exception of Rickmansworth Town and Labour are safe in South Oxhey. The only split ward now is Dickinsons (Croxley Green) which the Greens have won in the last two cycles and will be hoping for the final seat there. They made some advance in the other Croxley ward, Durrants this year but remained a long way behind. The other Lib Dem wards are all safe to ultra-safe. A concurrent general election could bring one or two wards into play for the Conservatives (eg Chorleywood South) but even then the circumstances are likely to be far less auspicious than in 2015 (the last time this happened, when the Conservatives gained numerous 'safe' Lib Dem wards)
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 8, 2024 9:16:54 GMT
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 2,120
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Post by ColinJ on Apr 8, 2024 20:50:53 GMT
Well, nominations for 13 wards to induce a big yawn. The same dynamics in each ward, no sight of Reform, TUSC, Inds etc. My prediction is that 12 no changes are certain, the only jeopardy in my opinion is Dickinsons ward where the Greens will try to snatch the third seat from the Lib Dems.
The resignation from the Lib Dems of long-standing and retiring councillor Roger Seabourne (Penn and Mill End) may create some ripples. A local magazine, Abbots News, has printed some significant accusations of bullying as the reason for Seabourne's resignation. The magazine says a council meeting on 20 February dissolved "into chaos" when Cllr Seabourne announced his resignation from the Lib Dems (and predecessor parties) after 50 years of membership. Seabourne claimed he had been sacked as a lead member of the Lib Dems because he had "the affrontery to challenge a member who bullied and harassed and asked aggressive questions."
Conservative councillor Ciaran Reed alleged that at a previous meeting, the councillor in question "walked over to councillors Stephen Giles-Medhurst and Sarah Nelmes [the council leader] and ordered them to 'get Roger f***ing sorted'. Cllr Reed says he complained that this was inappropriate behaviour and alleges that the councillor concerned responded with 'wash your ears out'." Cllr Reed also said that "five Lib Dem councillors walked out" of the 20 February meeting "in protest" at the way Seabourne was being treated. The meeting was then suspended for several minutes while another councillor retrieved the objectors, knowing that, without them, the Lib Dems did not have a majority.
Such unhappiness and clear splits and disagreements within a ruling group might have electoral consequences elsewhere. But..... this is Three Rivers. So probably not.
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 2,120
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Post by ColinJ on Apr 15, 2024 12:03:35 GMT
Oh, I forgot to mention that Mrs ColinJ is a candidate, in Leavesden ward. Such is the high quality of the Labour candidates that my services weren't required this year 😉.
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Post by mattb on Apr 15, 2024 18:07:56 GMT
I suppose I ought to mention I am defending my seat in Abbots Langley & Bedmond ...
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Post by Yaffles on Apr 15, 2024 18:33:00 GMT
I suppose I ought to mention I am defending my seat in Abbots Langley & Bedmond ... I randomly had cause to visit your ward a few weeks ago, seemed very pleasant
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Post by mattb on Apr 15, 2024 19:01:28 GMT
I randomly had cause to visit your ward a few weeks ago, seemed very pleasant It is a great place to live, with still a genuine sense of community - though tbf there's not that much to draw tourists, did you come to see the church?
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Post by Yaffles on Apr 15, 2024 19:27:26 GMT
I randomly had cause to visit your ward a few weeks ago, seemed very pleasant It is a great place to live, with still a genuine sense of community - though tbf there's not that much to draw tourists, did you come to see the church? Just needed a park to have a picnic on to break up a long car journey and let the dog have a run around. Think it was called Leavesden or some such - very nice
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Post by mattb on Apr 15, 2024 19:52:16 GMT
Just needed a park to have a picnic on to break up a long car journey and let the dog have a run around. Think it was called Leavesden or some such - very nice Ah - in Abbots Langley parish, but just outside the ward - in Leavesden ward (the park is on the site of the former Leavesden Asylum). www.leavesdenhospital.org/
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Post by No Offence Alan on Apr 29, 2024 20:18:16 GMT
For the purposes of approximating total election votes across certain constituencies, I have allocated the wards here as follows -
South West Hertfordshire: All wards in Three Rivers, also Kings Langley ward from Dacorum (no election).
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 12:49:07 GMT
Gade Valley Lib Dem hold
LD 668 Con 352 Lab 226 Green 84
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 13:09:09 GMT
South Oxhey Labour hold Lab 788 Con 568 Green 112 LD 104
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 3, 2024 13:14:27 GMT
ooh Ricky Town was close
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Post by mattb on May 3, 2024 13:33:55 GMT
Several wards closer than they've been recently. But only change will be Green gain of third seat in Dickinsons.
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 16:00:28 GMT
Dickinsons GREEN GAIN
GREEN 1045 LD 803 CON 163 LAB 97
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 16:02:54 GMT
Congratulations to mattb of this parish
Abbots Langley & Bedmond:
LD 939 CON 322 LAB 222 GREEN 121
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Post by batman on May 3, 2024 19:16:45 GMT
well that's pretty conclusive.
It wasn't a certainty we would hold S Oxhey, it's becoming a bit less straightforward again after a period of total safety for Labour
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 5, 2024 12:55:01 GMT
I have aggregated the votes across Three Rivers council as follows -
LD 9,826 Con 7,487 Lab 3,082 Grn 2,804
Apart from 1 ward in Dacorum district with no election this year, this also comprises South West Hertfordshire constituency.
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Post by johnloony on May 5, 2024 13:35:38 GMT
I have aggregated the votes across Three Rivers council as follows - LD 9,826 Con 7,487 Lab 3,082 Grn 2,804 Apart from 1 ward in Dacorum district with no election this year, this also comprises South West Hertfordshire constituency. A psephopotamologist would want subtotals for each of the three rivers. Perhaps the Boundary Commission could draw the watershed between the three river basins for the purpose?
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