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Post by BossMan on Aug 9, 2023 18:10:06 GMT
Stevenage
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 12, 2023 8:36:19 GMT
Current composition: Lab 24 Con 9 LD 6 Defending this year Lab 6 Con 5 LD 2
So the Conservatives are defending more than half their seats here and will lose the majority of them. Only Woodfield is safe although Longmeadow has been moving their way and they managed to hold on there in the far less favourable circumstances of 2022 and 2023. The others - Bandley Hill, Old Town and Roebuck - are wards they can only win in a very good year and we are not expecting one of those. Manor is ultra-safe for the Lib Dems and Chells appears to be sewn up now too.
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Post by carolus on Sept 26, 2023 18:42:10 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 26, 2023 18:57:04 GMT
Looks like its the same basic structure of wards with 'Almond Hill' replacing Pin Green. The new boundaries might help the Conservatives a bit in Old Town and/or Roebuck but I don't know the areas well enough. Clearly helps the Lib Dems in Chells. The Conservatives could be reduced to just the 3 in Woodfield but I'd fancy them to hold at least one seat in Longmeadow as well
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,330
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Post by iain on Apr 8, 2024 9:15:07 GMT
Individual SOPNs: www.stevenage.gov.uk/2024-elections/statement-of-persons-nominatedLabour - 39 Conservative - 21 Lib Dem - 20 Green - 14 TUSC - 9 Reform UK - 7 Almond Hill: 3xLab, 1xCon, 1xLD, 1xGrn Bandley Hill & Poplars: 3xLab, 3xCon, 3xLD, 1xGrn, 1xRUK, 1xTUSC Bedwell: 3xLab, 1xCon, 1xLD, 1xGrn, 1xTUSC Chells: 3xLab, 3xLD, 1xCon, 1xGrn Longmeadow: 3xLab, 3xCon, 3xRUK, 1xLD, 1xGrn, 1xTUSC Manor: 3xLab, 3xLD, 1xCon, 1xGrn Martins Wood: 3xLab, 2xGrn, 2xRUK, 1xCon, 1xLD, 1xTUSC Old Town: 3xLab, 3xCon, 1xLD, 1xGrn, 1xTUSC Roebuck: 3xLab, 1xCon, 1xLD, 1xGrn, 1xTUSC Shephall: 3xLab, 1xCon, 1xLD, 1xGrn, 1xTUSC St Nicholas: 3xLab, 1xCon, 1xLD, 1xGrn, 1xTUSC Symonds Green: 3xLab, 1xCon, 1xLD, 1xGrn, 1xTUSC Woodfield: 3xLab, 3xCon, 2xLD, 1xGrn, 1xRUK
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 8, 2024 13:22:18 GMT
Only one Tory in Roebuck in surprising, given they won two seats there in 2021 and weren't that far off there in 2023.
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Post by johnloony on May 1, 2024 16:27:02 GMT
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 1, 2024 20:32:18 GMT
For the purposes of approximating total local election votes across constituencies,
all the wards* in Stevenage district are in Stevenage constituency.
* I have assumed Almond Hill is a new name for Pin Green ward.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 3, 2024 14:13:02 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 3, 2024 14:50:23 GMT
Labour take all three in Longmeadow (that's three gains) - close as per..
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Post by carolus on May 3, 2024 15:13:37 GMT
Bandley & Poplars - 3 Lab Chells - 3 LD St Nicholas - 3 Lab
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 3, 2024 19:31:39 GMT
Woodfield broke 2 Lab 1 Con - looks like one Labour seat as won on drawing of lots. SO that's just 1 Conservative seat here - 32 Lab 6 LD Labour have never won in Woodfield before
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 5, 2024 11:38:23 GMT
I have aggregated the votes across Stevenage Borough as follows -
Lab 9,512 Con 5,764 LD 4,752 Grn 3,721 Reform 872 TUSC 770
All the wards are within Stevenage constituency.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 5, 2024 12:29:26 GMT
As I've obersved elsewhere, the undernomination in a large number of ward leads to a flattering of parties other than Labour here. If you take a ward like Almond Hill for example Labour had a full slate who won 834, 814 and 783 votes and one candidate each from Conservatives, Lib Dems and Greens who 3won 469, 356 and 447 votes respectively. Using the top vote method puts Labour on less than 40% in this ward whereas it is clear that many of the Con/Lib Dem/Gren voters were interchangeable and Labour actually won the votes of close to two thirds of those who cast a ballot. The same pattern can be seen in a number of other wards.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,256
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Post by maxque on May 13, 2024 19:38:44 GMT
Woodfield broke 2 Lab 1 Con - looks like one Labour seat as won on drawing of lots. SO that's just 1 Conservative seat here - 32 Lab 6 LD Labour have never won in Woodfield before Lab +8, Con -8 Almond Hill: 3 Lab Bandley Hill and Poplar: 3 Lab (Con 169/193 votes away from seats) Bedwell: 3 Lab Chells: 3 LD (Lab 189 votes away from a seat) Longmeadow: 3 Lab (by 3/92/132 votes over Con; Grn 102 votes away from a seat) Manor: 3 LD Martins Wood: 3 Lab Old Town: 3 Lab (Con 138/161 votes from a seat) Roebuck: 3 Lab Shephall: 3 Lab St Nicholas: 3 Lab Symonds Green: 3 Lab (Con 127 votes away from a seat) Woodfield: 2 Lab, 1 Con ( Con 624, Lab 602/571, Con 571/559, Lab 520; on lots)
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