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Post by BossMan on Aug 9, 2023 18:09:51 GMT
St Albans
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 12, 2023 6:42:21 GMT
Current composition LD 48 Con 4 Grn 3 Ind 1 Defending this year LD 15 Con 2 Grn 1
The Lib Dems look safe in most wards being defended and their majority is obviously secure regardless. The Conservatives should be safe in Harpenden South but will struggle to hold London Colney where they came third this year and Labour have a chance to return to the council (more likely though the Lib Dems gain) There are a few plausible Conservative targets should they be in a better position next year, namely Harpenden West, Sandridge & Wheathampstead, St Stephen - at a push Park Street, Marshalswick West, Marshalswick East & Jersey Farm. The last named is the vacant seat with a by-election pending next week.
The most interesting battleground will be in the central city wards of Clarence and St Peters which hae become a Lib Dem/Green battleground. St Peters is a Green defence, them having gained the seat at a by-election June 2023. This was not an overwhelming victory and the Greens would tend to struggle against the Lib Dems when their candidate is other than Simon Grover. On the other hand the Lib Dems are defending Clarence which the Greens gained suprisingly easily in May 2023. The defending councillor is Chris White who has been there since forever and is the leader of the council. Perhaps the Lib Dems will try and effect another pact whereby the Greens leave this seat alone in return for a free run in St Peters. However such pacts have not served the Lib Dems well here.
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St Albans
Aug 12, 2023 8:34:27 GMT
via mobile
Post by mattbewilson on Aug 12, 2023 8:34:27 GMT
Current composition LD 47 (plus 1 vacanct seat) Con 4 Grn 3 Ind 1 Defending this year LD 14 (plus 1 vacanct seat) Con 2 Grn 1 The Lib Dems look safe in most wards being defended and their majority is obviously secure regardless. The Conservatives should be safe in Harpenden South but will struggle to hold London Colney where they came third this year and Labour have a chance to return to the council (more likely though the Lib Dems gain) There are a few plausible Conservative targets should they be in a better position next year, namely Harpenden West, Sandridge & Wheathampstead, St Stephen - at a push Park Street, Marshalswick West, Marshalswick East & Jersey Farm. The last named is the vacant seat with a by-election pending next week. The most interesting battleground will be in the central city wards of Clarence and St Peters which hae become a Lib Dem/Green battleground. St Peters is a Green defence, them having gained the seat at a by-election June 2023. This was not an overwhelming victory and the Greens would tend to struggle against the Lib Dems when their candidate is other than Simon Grover. On the other hand the Lib Dems are defending Clarence which the Greens gained suprisingly easily in May 2023. The defending councillor is Chris White who has been there since forever and is the leader of the council. Perhaps the Lib Dems will try and effect another pact whereby the Greens leave this seat alone in return for a free run in St Peters. However such pacts have not served the Lib Dems well here. he's actually not been a district councillor for that long. I think about 15 years which does sound long but I think he's been a county councillor for 25 years. Recently the Lib Dems have shed councillors in Clarence like Snakes shed their skin. But when he joined his colleagues Sheila Burton and Joyce Lusby had been on for probably about 25 years each
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Aug 12, 2023 8:41:18 GMT
Current composition LD 47 (plus 1 vacanct seat) Con 4 Grn 3 Ind 1 Defending this year LD 14 (plus 1 vacanct seat) Con 2 Grn 1 The Lib Dems look safe in most wards being defended and their majority is obviously secure regardless. The Conservatives should be safe in Harpenden South but will struggle to hold London Colney where they came third this year and Labour have a chance to return to the council (more likely though the Lib Dems gain) There are a few plausible Conservative targets should they be in a better position next year, namely Harpenden West, Sandridge & Wheathampstead, St Stephen - at a push Park Street, Marshalswick West, Marshalswick East & Jersey Farm. The last named is the vacant seat with a by-election pending next week. The most interesting battleground will be in the central city wards of Clarence and St Peters which hae become a Lib Dem/Green battleground. St Peters is a Green defence, them having gained the seat at a by-election June 2023. This was not an overwhelming victory and the Greens would tend to struggle against the Lib Dems when their candidate is other than Simon Grover. On the other hand the Lib Dems are defending Clarence which the Greens gained suprisingly easily in May 2023. The defending councillor is Chris White who has been there since forever and is the leader of the council. Perhaps the Lib Dems will try and effect another pact whereby the Greens leave this seat alone in return for a free run in St Peters. However such pacts have not served the Lib Dems well here. he's actually not been a district councillor for that long. I think about 15 years which does sound long but I think he's been a county councillor for 25 years. Recently the Lib Dems have shed councillors in Clarence like Snakes shed their skin. But when he joined his colleagues Sheila Burton and Joyce Lusby had been on for probably about 25 years each Yes you're right. He's actually been the county councillor for St Albans Central since 1993 - I actually thought he'd been around since the 80s but I'm surprised to see he's only been a district councillor since 2008. He's a positive newbie compared to Robert Donald
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 28, 2024 19:22:45 GMT
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St Albans
Mar 28, 2024 19:24:40 GMT
via mobile
Post by mattbewilson on Mar 28, 2024 19:24:40 GMT
he's afraid he's going to lose. Tbf he's been involved since the 90s. I understand one of the batchwood lib Dems is moving to London Colney. Risky
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Post by heslingtonian on Mar 29, 2024 10:59:29 GMT
he's afraid he's going to lose. Tbf he's been involved since the 90s. I understand one of the batchwood lib Dems is moving to London Colney. Risky In fairness to Chris White he's recently had serious health issues which have influenced his reason to retire.
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Post by mattbewilson on Mar 29, 2024 15:26:42 GMT
he's afraid he's going to lose. Tbf he's been involved since the 90s. I understand one of the batchwood lib Dems is moving to London Colney. Risky In fairness to Chris White he's recently had serious health issues which have influenced his reason to retire. oh I'm sorry to hear that
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,330
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Post by iain on Apr 5, 2024 15:25:37 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 5, 2024 16:11:08 GMT
Can't believe the Tories have undernominated in Sandridge & Wheathampstead - don't know if that's a cock-up or a weird tactic. London Colney is going to be fascinating
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Post by No Offence Alan on Apr 30, 2024 19:33:27 GMT
For the purposes of approximating total local election votes across constituencies, I have allocated the wards here as follows:
St Albans: Batchwood, Bernards Heath, Clarence, Cunningham, Hill End, London Colney, Marshalswick East & Jersey Farm (it was about 60:40), Marshalswick West, Park Street, Sopwell, St Peters, St Stephen, Verulam plus Colney Heath (no election)
Harpenden & Berkhamstead: Harpenden East, Harpenden North & Rural, Harpenden South, Harpenden West, Sandridge & Wheathampstead plus Redbourn (no election)
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 14:16:33 GMT
St Peters: Green Hold Green 918 LD 758 Lab 225 Con 190
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 14:22:35 GMT
St Stephen LD hold
LD 1066 Con 866 Lab 216 Reform UK 163 Green 145
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 14:41:48 GMT
Sopwell LD hold LD 968 LAB 376 GREEN 226 CON 203 REF 125 COMM 17
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 14:49:48 GMT
Marshalswick West LD HOLD
LD 1035 CON 342 GREEN 158 LAB 108
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 14:55:07 GMT
Cunningham LD HOLD
LD 1189 CON 284 LAB 281 GREEN 220 REF 123
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 14:58:07 GMT
Verulam LD HOLD
LD 1606 CON 555 GREEN 231 LAB 191
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 15:06:14 GMT
Harpenden South
Narrow Con hold
CON 1097 LD 1039 LAB 146 GREEN 94
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,330
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Post by iain on May 3, 2024 15:12:31 GMT
Lib Dems hold on to Clarence over the Greens. Good result.
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Post by hempie on May 3, 2024 15:14:34 GMT
Clarence:
LD 1347 GREEN 1211 CON 166 LAB 164
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