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Post by BossMan on Aug 9, 2023 18:09:38 GMT
Rushmoor
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 9, 2023 19:42:33 GMT
I think this is in the wrong sub-board, BossMan
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Tony Otim
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Rushmoor
Aug 9, 2023 20:02:27 GMT
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 9, 2023 20:02:27 GMT
yes, it is. Should be in the South-East It was originally in East of England, so it's migrating, just not in the right direction Calling BossMan again - sorry, and thanks for all the hard work putting these up.
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Post by carolus on Aug 9, 2023 20:10:09 GMT
I quite like the idea of pairing areas that sound similar for administration purposes - Rushcliffe & Rushmoor, or Waves (encompassing Waverley, Waveney, Wavertree, and Edinburgh Waverley Station) for example.
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on Aug 9, 2023 20:25:27 GMT
Broxtowe, Broxbourne, Broxburn in the Lothians, and Zaphod Beeblebrox.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
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Post by Chris from Brum on Aug 9, 2023 20:27:10 GMT
I quite like the idea of pairing areas that sound similar for administration purposes - Rushcliffe & Rushmoor, or Waves (encompassing Waverley, Waveney, Wavertree, and Edinburgh Waverley Station) for example. There are also Wyre and Wyre Forest, Rother and Rotherham, there used to be Wansdyke and Wansbeck, and it would be easy to place Swale in North Yorkshire. Oh, Stockton and Stockport.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
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Post by Chris from Brum on Aug 9, 2023 20:28:04 GMT
Broxtowe, Broxbourne, Broxburn in the Lothians, and Zaphod Beeblebrox. Uttlesford and Ford Prefect?
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Post by finsobruce on Aug 9, 2023 20:58:01 GMT
Broxtowe, Broxbourne, Broxburn in the Lothians, and Zaphod Beeblebrox. Uttlesford and Ford Prefect? Reddish and Denton and Arthur Dent.
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Rushmoor
Aug 9, 2023 21:36:03 GMT
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Post by BossMan on Aug 9, 2023 21:36:03 GMT
yes, it is. Should be in the South-East It was originally in East of England, so it's migrating, just not in the right direction Calling BossMan again - sorry, and thanks for all the hard work putting these up. Ffs my end this is showing up in the right place.
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Tony Otim
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Rushmoor
Aug 9, 2023 21:53:07 GMT
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 9, 2023 21:53:07 GMT
I quite like the idea of pairing areas that sound similar for administration purposes - Rushcliffe & Rushmoor, or Waves (encompassing Waverley, Waveney, Wavertree, and Edinburgh Waverley Station) for example. There are also Wyre and Wyre Forest, Rother and Rotherham, there used to be Wansdyke and Wansbeck, and it would be easy to place Swale in North Yorkshire. Oh, Stockton and Stockport. Sedgemoor and Sedgefield? Bishop Auckland, Bishops Stortford and Bishopbriggs
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Post by carolus on Aug 9, 2023 22:04:21 GMT
There are also Wyre and Wyre Forest, Rother and Rotherham, there used to be Wansdyke and Wansbeck, and it would be easy to place Swale in North Yorkshire. Oh, Stockton and Stockport. Sedgemoor and Sedgefield? Bishop Auckland, Bishops Stortford and Bishopbriggs Add King's Lynn to that last one.
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Tony Otim
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Rushmoor
Aug 9, 2023 22:19:16 GMT
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 9, 2023 22:19:16 GMT
Sedgemoor and Sedgefield? Bishop Auckland, Bishops Stortford and Bishopbriggs Add King's Lynn to that last one. Surely that goes with Kingston?
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Post by carolus on Aug 9, 2023 22:20:36 GMT
Add King's Lynn to that last one. Surely that goes with Kingston? Formerly Bishop's Lynn
Kingston-upon would be a constituency in its own right.
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Post by redvers on Aug 22, 2023 18:54:18 GMT
Still in the wrong sub-board
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Sg1
Conservative
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Rushmoor
Aug 23, 2023 7:40:55 GMT
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Post by Sg1 on Aug 23, 2023 7:40:55 GMT
Surely that goes with Kingston? Formerly Bishop's Lynn
Kingston-upon would be a constituency in its own right.
I read this in Alan Partridge's voice
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Post by mattb on Aug 25, 2023 10:26:43 GMT
Still in the wrong sub-board BossMan
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Post by BossMan on Aug 25, 2023 11:51:27 GMT
Done!
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Aug 25, 2023 12:49:01 GMT
And the Tyne and Wear Mets, please...
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Nov 13, 2023 12:48:50 GMT
Current council: Con 23 Lab 14 LD 2 Up in 2021: Con 11 Lab 2
Split wards: Cherrywood: Lab 2, Con 1. Con defending. Lab hold by 35.8% in 2023. Empress: Con 2, Lab 1. Con defending. Lab gain by 6.5% in 2023. Fernhill: Con 2, Lab 1. Con defending. Lab gain by 15.3% in 2023. Manor Park: Con 2, Lab 1. Con defending. Lab gain by 9.0% in 2023. Rowhill: Con 2, Lab 1. Con defending. Lab gain by 11.6% in 2023. St. Mark's: LD 2, Con 1. Con defending. LD hold by 13.8% in 2023. Wellington: Lab 2, Con 1. Con defending. Lab gain by 20.6% in 2023.
Other close seats in 2023: St. John's: Con maj 0.8% over Lab. West Heath: Con maj 1.8% over Lab.
A repeat of 2023 would see the Conservatives lose 7 seats, Labour gain 6 and the Lib Dems one, giving Labour a one-seat majority. That said, several of the gains this year came out of nowhere, whereas swings in wards that had been close in 2022 were much more muted. That suggests to me that the Tories ran a good defensive campaign, they just miscalculated where the line was and hence worked the wrong wards.
The Tories can afford to lose three wards and still retain control. That suggests one plausible strategy for them would be to abandon the three wards where they're defending their last seat, to concentrate their efforts on the other four wards they lost in 2023 and the two where they had a close call.
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Post by carolus on Apr 8, 2024 14:05:55 GMT
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