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Post by BossMan on Aug 9, 2023 18:04:27 GMT
Epping Forest
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Post by carolus on Sept 26, 2023 16:02:14 GMT
Current council: 34 Con, 13 Loughton Residents Association, 6 LD, 3 Ind, 2 Green Up in 2024: 11 Con, 7 LRA, 1 Green, 1 LD, 1 Ind
The Ind in Grange Hill (2024) was elected as Con.
Split wards (2023 result unless otherwise specified): Epping Lindsey & Thornwood Common - 2 Con, 1 LD. Con defend. LD gain by 15.7% from Con. Grange Hill - 1 Con, 1 Ind (ex-Con), 1 Ind. Ind (ex-Con) defend. Ind gain by 4.0% from Con. Loughton Roding - 1 LRA, 1 Ind. LRA defend. (2022) Ind hold by 73.4% over Lab. Theydon Bois - 1 LD, 1 Con. Con defend. (2022) LD gain by 1.0% from Con.
Chigwell Row, "High Ongar, Willingale & The Rodings", Moreton & Fyfield, and Passingford are single member wards which last elected in 2021. All four were safely Conservative at that election.
2023 Candidate totals (-3): 18 Con, 18 Lab, 13 LD, 3 Green, 3 TUSC, 2 Reform UK, 1 British Democrats, 1 English Democrats, 1 Shared Ground, 3 Ind 2021 Candidate totals (+2): 23 Con, 23 Lab, 11 LD, 7 Green, 7 LRA, 4 For Britain, 1 English Democrat, 1 Reform UK, 1 Young People, 1 Ind
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Post by finsobruce on Sept 26, 2023 16:04:51 GMT
Current council: 34 Con, 13 Loughton Residents Association, 6 LD, 3 Ind, 2 Green Up in 2024: 11 Con, 7 LRA, 1 Green, 1 LD, 1 Ind The Ind in Grange Hill (2024) was elected as Con.
Really? Ah, every day's a school day.
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Post by John Chanin on Sept 26, 2023 16:23:40 GMT
New wards in Epping Forest. Will be an all out on the new boundaries.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 26, 2023 17:08:12 GMT
New wards in Epping Forest. Will be an all out on the new boundaries. Interesting - I was not aware. Moved to all 3 member wards which is a big change as there were several single member wards previously. Presumably the intention is to return to voting by thirds from 2026 onwards. I will see if I can produce some kind of 'notional' results if you've not already got this in hand..
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 8, 2024 11:55:09 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 8, 2024 12:08:12 GMT
Con 48/54 (Missing 2/3 in Loughton Fairmead, Loughton Roding, Loughton St John's_ Lab 22 - 3/3 in Ongar, 2/3 in Loughton Fairmead, North Weald Bassett, 1/3 everywhere else LD 15 - 3/3 in Epping East, Epping West, Theydon Bois with Passingford, 2/3 in Rural East, 1./3 in Buckhurst Hill West, Grange Hill, Loughton Forest, Ongar Independent Loughton Residents 14 - 3/3 in Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge, Loughton Fairmead, Loughton Forest, Loughton St John's, 2/3 in Loughton Roding Independent 12 - 3/3 in Grange Hill, 2/3 in Theydon Bois with Passingford, 1/3 in Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge, Buckhurst Hill West, Chigwell with Lambourne, Epping East, Epping West and Rural, Loughton Roding*, North Weald Bassett Green 4 - 2/3 in Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge, Buckhurst Hill West TUSC 2 - 1/3 in Loughton Forest, Waltham Abbey North Reform UK 1 - Rural East UKIP 1 - Roydon & Lower Nazeing English Democrat 1 - Rural East British Democrat 1 - Waltham Abbey North
* Stephen Murray is de facto Loughton Residents
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Post by oldhamexile on Apr 8, 2024 12:09:30 GMT
Reform have only one candidate. Surprisingly weak, as are Labour who have only a single candidate in many of the (3 vacancy) wards.
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Post by oldhamexile on Apr 8, 2024 12:13:05 GMT
The British Democrat candidate (Waltham Abbey North) Julian Leppert is a former BNP councillor and London mayoral candidate, who was elected in the old Waltham Abbey Paternoster ward as a For Britain councillor in 2019.
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ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,585
Member is Online
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Post by ricmk on Apr 8, 2024 12:34:55 GMT
A number of guaranteed seats here:
Chigwell with Lambourne: Tories have 3 of the 5 candidates Loughton St John's: Independent Loughton Residents Association have 3 of the 5 candidates. Roydon and Lower Nazeing: Tories have 3 of the 5 candidates Waltham Abbey South and Rural: Tories have 3 of the 4 candidates Waltham Abbey West: Tories have 3 of the 4 candidates
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,256
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Post by maxque on Apr 8, 2024 18:55:22 GMT
Con 48/54 (Missing 2/3 in Loughton Fairmead, Loughton Roding, Loughton St John's_ Lab 22 - 3/3 in Ongar, 2/3 in Loughton Fairmead, North Weald Bassett, 1/3 everywhere else LD 15 - 3/3 in Epping East, Epping West, Theydon Bois with Passingford, 2/3 in Rural East, 1./3 in Buckhurst Hill West, Grange Hill, Loughton Forest, Ongar Independent Loughton Residents 14 - 3/3 in Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge, Loughton Fairmead, Loughton Forest, Loughton St John's, 2/3 in Loughton Roding Independent 12 - 3/3 in Grange Hill, 2/3 in Theydon Bois with Passingford, 1/3 in Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge, Buckhurst Hill West, Chigwell with Lambourne, Epping East, Epping West and Rural, Loughton Roding*, North Weald Bassett Green 4 - 2/3 in Buckhurst Hill East & Whitebridge, Buckhurst Hill West TUSC 2 - 1/3 in Loughton Forest, Waltham Abbey North Reform UK 1 - Rural East UKIP 1 - Roydon & Lower Nazeing English Democrat 1 - Rural East British Democrat 1 - Waltham Abbey North * Stephen Murray is de facto Loughton Residents 13 Independents, as there is 2 in Loughton Roding.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 8:49:42 GMT
So far we have 13 Loughton Residents - 2 in Buckhusrt Hill East & Whitebridge the rest in the usual Loughton wards (plus 1 Independent Stephen Murray there) 11 Conservative - 3 in Buckhurst Hill West, 3 in Chigwell, 2 in Grange Hill, 2 in North Weald Bassett, 1 in Epping West 5 LD 3 in Epping East 2 in Epping West Independents have 1 in each of Grange Hill and North weald Bassett (and Loughton Forest mentioned above)
The so far undeclared wards I'd expect to breeak quite heavily for the Conservatives
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 9:06:37 GMT
I'd guess the principle threats are from the Lib Dems in Theydon Bois & Passingford and possibly Labour in Ongar (longshot). The Tories are guaranteed four of the nine in Waltham Abbey but how the others go could be fairly random. I think this will be touch and go for a majority. If they do then three of the four councils in the whole of Southern England which returned a Conservative majority on Thursday will be the contiguous boroughs of Broxbourne, Epping Forest and Harlow
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 9:32:02 GMT
Theys eem to have gone for a very long mid-morning break wtf
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,824
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Post by Tony Otim on May 4, 2024 9:39:35 GMT
So far we have 13 Loughton Residents - 2 in Buckhusrt Hill East & Whitebridge the rest in the usual Loughton wards (plus 1 Independent Stephen Murray there) 11 Conservative - 3 in Buckhurst Hill West, 3 in Chigwell, 2 in Grange Hill, 2 in North Weald Bassett, 1 in Epping West 5 LD 3 in Epping East 2 in Epping West Independents have 1 in each of Grange Hill and North weald Bassett (and Loughton Forest mentioned above) The so far undeclared wards I'd expect to breeak quite heavily for the Conservatives The BBC have 1 Green as well - I assume the 3rd seat in Buckhurst hill east & Whitebridge?
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Post by carolus on May 4, 2024 9:40:10 GMT
Theys eem to have gone for a very long mid-morning break wtf Wouldn't want them to wear themselves out...
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,824
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Post by Tony Otim on May 4, 2024 9:41:16 GMT
Theys eem to have gone for a very long mid-morning break wtf Wouldn't want them to wear themselves out... I think they counted this lot yesterday and haven't actually started again
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 10:12:33 GMT
Theydon Bois etc 2 LD 1 Con. Ongar 3 Con - wasn't remotely close. Waltham Abbeys South and West 3 Con each (Lab quite close in the latter). Puts Conservatives on 24 with 4 more needed for a majority just Rural East and Waltham Abbey North to declare
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 10:37:03 GMT
Conservatives now on 27 winning all three seats in Rural East (incumbent Lib dem councillor for Sheering was close for the third seat) The Conservatives now just need 1 seat out of Waltham Abbey North for the majority. If they fail even to add one we will be seeing Labour, TUSC and the British Democrats winning seats
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 4, 2024 10:38:42 GMT
The BBC are showing 29 COn and 1 Lab so Waltham Abbey North must have broken 2 Con 1Lab. Not on the council website yet. Terrible undernomination by Labour there
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