The Undeclared War : General Election 2024 Mistake

[Pete Whitehead]

May 30, 2023 20:51:51 GMT nyx said:

Feb 7, 2023 16:32:05 GMT Harry Hayfield said:

In the Channel 4 drama "The Undeclared War" which focuses primarily on the BBC's exit poll being terribly wrong and pointing to a Lab win when a Russian sponsored channel is reporting the mass deletion of BAME voters in predominately BAME constituencies, the final election result is projected thus:

Con 331 seats (-34 on 2019)
Lab 214 seats (+12 on 2019)
SNP 55 seats (+ 7 on 2019)
Northern Ireland 18 seats (DUP 10 +2, SF 6 -1, SDLP 1 -1, Alliance 1 unchanged)
LDm 11 seats (unchanged on 2019)
Plaid 5 seats (+1 seat on 2019)
Greens 2 seats (+1 on 2019)
Speaker 1 seat (unchanged on 2019)

which leaves 13 seats won by "Other Parties". Even in the best case scenario the others would only win two (Ashfield and East Devon) so can people guess what 13 seats the Others could win based on 2019 and if they cannot find 13, did Channel 4 mess up their maths?

The minor parties are probably the hardest results to explain. It's easy enough for Plaid to get Dwyfor Meirionydd, Ceredigion Preseli, Carmarthen, and Ynys Mon, but the fifth is difficult to see. Llanelli?
Northern Ireland is similarly awkward as I don't see Sinn Fein losing any of their seven seats, especially if the UUP didn't gain so Fermanagh and South Tyrone didn't flip. I suppose the DUP must have gained Belfast North and North Down, with Alliance gaining Belfast South from the SDLP.
Also I suspect that predominately BAME constituencies would tend to be safe Labour so I'm not sure that plot point would actually lead to a lot of seats shifting...

As for the independents... I suppose suspended Labour leftists? Jeremy Corbyn, maybe Diane Abbott etc.

I suspect that the proposed boundary changes have not gone ahead and therefore Arfon is still in play for Plaid.

There are very few constituencies at all where Ethnic minority voters are actually predominant, but there are certainly plenty where they are influential and where the absence of their votes would change the election result (eg Halifax, Ilford North, Coventry South etc etc)

[The Bishop]

Having not watched this, what does "mass deletion of BAME voters" actually mean?

[Crimson King]

May 31, 2023 10:27:16 GMT The Bishop said:

Having not watched this, what does "mass deletion of BAME voters" actually mean?

they sent the cybermen in?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Spoiler alert but the Russian plot involves deleting large numbers of BAME people from the electoral register so they are unable to vote in the general election, in an attempt to provoke civil unrest and undermine the authority of the UK government.

[peterl]

On the subject of obvious mistakes in political thrillers, saw a series called Red Election a few days ago (it's on Disney+ if anyone's interested). On the whole pretty good. Except that a referendum on Scottish independence was being held as a "digital vote", something almost inconceivable in this country and not even presented as controversial or different to normal procedure. And television coverage of the referendum involved exit polls being released whilst the polls were still open, which anyone with a passing knowledge of elections knows is illegal. It really is a shame the writers of these problems can't do a little research.

[Sg1]

Does anybody know if a second season is in development? I hope so.