clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765 
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Post by clyde1998 on Dec 1, 2022 21:26:52 GMT
| Jeanie Barton | Reform UK | 3.5% | | Paul Bowers | Green | 4.0% | | Samantha Dixon | Labour | 55.6% | | Cain Griffiths | UKIP | 1.1% | | Ron Herd | Liberal Democrats | 8.9% | | Richard Hewison | Rejoin EU | 0.7% | | Howling Hope | Official Monster Raving Loony Party | 0.6% | | Chris Quartermaine | Freedom Alliance | 0.4% | | Liz Wardlaw | Conservative | 25.2% |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,908
Member is Online
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Post by YL on Dec 1, 2022 21:43:10 GMT
Reform UK 3.2%
Green 4.1%
Lab 56.8%
UKIP 0.9%
Lib Dem 9.7%
Rejoin EU 0.7%
OMRLP 0.6%
Freedom Alliance 0.5%
Con 23.5%
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Dec 1, 2022 22:14:28 GMT
Competition Closed
12 Entries, all add up to 100% and all accepted.
12 out of 12 predict a Labour win over Conservatives ranging from 21.80% by Batman to 43.30% by agbutler a range of 21.50%
Reform UK Jeanie Barton - prediction low to high - 0.80% by RichardCromwell to 5.00% by kevinf a range of 4.20%
Green Paul Bowers - prediction low to high - 2.00% by DHAA to 7.90% by Batman a range of 5.90%
Labour Samantha Dixon - prediction low to high - 43.50% by Batman to 65.90% by RichardCromwell a range of 22.40%
UKIP Cain Griffiths - prediction low to high - 0.00% by RichardCromwell to 3.00% by kevinf a range of 3.00%
Liberal Democrats - prediction low to high - Rob Herd 5.10% by RichardCromwell to 13.40% by Batman a range of 8.30%
Rejoin EU Richard Hewison - prediction low to high - 0.00% by RichardCromwell to 2.80% by Batman a range of 2.80%
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope - prediction low to high - 0.00% by RichardCromwell to 1.70% by Batman a range of 1.70%
Freedom Alliance Chris Quartermaine - prediction low to high - 0.00% by RichardCromwell to 2.40% by Batman a range of 2.40%
Conservative Liz Wardlaw - prediction low to high - 18.80% by Johnloony to 29.80% by DHAA a range of 11.00%
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Post by johnloony on Dec 2, 2022 2:09:53 GMT
I think I have been gazumped at the last minute by YL
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Dec 2, 2022 6:39:55 GMT
I think I have been gazumped at the last minute by YL
Full result YL 9.4
johnloony 10.2
clyde1998 11.8
Pete Whitehead 13.4
Richard Cromwell 13.6
peterl 14.8
DHAA 15
Andrew_S 16
Tony Otim 16.6
bjornhatten 16.8
kevinf 21.4
Batman 35.8
No penalties issued.
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,908
Member is Online
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Post by YL on Dec 2, 2022 8:07:12 GMT
That was unexpected!
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Post by johnloony on Dec 2, 2022 11:33:10 GMT
Lab 62.1 Con 18.8 LD 11.8 Grn 3.5 RefUK 1.9 UKIP 0.7 OMRLP 0.5 Rejoin EU 0.4 FrAll 0.3 Corrected figures are: Lab 60.8 Con 22.2 LD 8.3 Green 3.5 RefUK 2.7 UKIP 0.6 OMRLP 0.5 Rejoin EU 1.0 FrAll 0.3 which means my errors are 1.3 3.4 3.5 0.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.0 = 9.7 instead of 10.2 |
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Post by johnloony on Dec 2, 2022 11:37:16 GMT
Reform UK 3.2% Green 4.1% Lab 56.8% UKIP 0.9% Lib Dem 9.7% Rejoin EU 0.7% OMRLP 0.6% Freedom Alliance 0.5% Con 23.5% prediction result error Reform UK 3.2% 2.7 0.5 Green 4.1% 3.5 0.6 Lab 56.8% 60.8 4.0 UKIP 0.9% 0.6 0.3 Lib Dem 9.7% 8.3 1.4 Rejoin EU 0.7% 1.0 0.3 OMRLP 0.6% 0.5 0.1 Freedom Alliance 0.5% 0.3 0.2 Con 23.5% 22.2 1.3 total error 8.7 instead of 9.4 which means you still win anyway |
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Dec 2, 2022 12:07:47 GMT
Full result YL 9.4
johnloony 10.2
clyde1998 11.9
Pete Whitehead 13.4
Richard Cromwell 13.6
peterl 14.8
DHAA 15
Andrew_S 16
Tony Otim 16.6
bjornhatten 16.8
kevinf 21.4
Batman 35.8 No penalties issued.
Have you seen David Boothroyd's Twitter post on the correct figures? Greens on 987 not 787 for example.
It changes the percentages,
New percentages, excluding spoilt ballots.
Reform UK Jeanie Barton 2.7
Green Paul Bowers 3.5
Labour Samantha Dixon 60.8
UKIP Cain Griffiths 0.6
Liberal Democrats Rob Herd 8.3
Rejoin EU Richard Hewison 1
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 0.5
Freedom Alliance Chris Quartermaine 0.3
Conservative Liz Wardlaw 22.3
but not much else. Top 3 are unchanged, actually I think I'm the only one to slip back.  
Meaning result now is
YL 8.4
johnloony 9.8
clyde1998 11
Pete Whitehead 13.6
Richard Cromwell 13.6
peterl 13.8
Andrew_S 15
DHAA 15.4
Tony Otim 15.6
bjornhatten 15.8
kevinf 20.2
Batman 35.8
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batman
Labour
Posts: 12,399
Member is Online
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Post by batman on Dec 2, 2022 13:48:12 GMT
Rather appropriately after a slight kitchen accident I have just put the wooden spoons back in their container.
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