Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,305
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 1, 2022 20:03:12 GMT
COLCHESTER DC; Lexden & Braiswick (Con resigned)
Candidates:
BICKERSTETH, Catherine (Labour)
FRANKS, Kieron Anthony (Liberal Democrat)
NAYLOR, Sara Jane (Conservative)
2022: Con 1416; LD 607; Lab 406; Grn 302
2021: Con 1941, 1597; LD 594; Grn 532; Lab 396, 333
2019: Con 1745; LD 442; Grn 403; Lab 209
2018: Con 1812; LD 407; Lab 338; Grn 181
2016: Con 1712, 1704, 1609; LD 515, 410, 367; Grn 386, 247, 219; Lab 335, 321, 284
Current Council: Con 18; LD 14; Lab 13; Grn 3; Highwoods Grp 2; 1 vacancy
NORTH EAST DERBYSHIRE DC; Pilsey & Morton (Lab died)
Candidates:
DART, Nadine (Liberal Democrat)
GILLOTT, Kevin (Labour)
KESTEVEN, David John (Green)
SANKEY, Dave (Conservative)
2019: Ind 692, 496; Lab 504, 460; Con 243, 189, 162; LD 173, 111
Kevin Gillott (Lab) has been county councillor for Clay Cross South (which includes this ward) since 2013.
Current Council: Con 30; Lab 17; LD 3; Ind 2; 1 vacancy
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,529
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Post by iang on Jul 1, 2022 22:17:21 GMT
Is the LD figure for the 2021 result in Colchester correct?
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,176
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 1, 2022 22:41:50 GMT
Is the LD figure for the 2021 result in Colchester correct? It looks credible compared with previous years. |
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carolus
Lib Dem
Posts: 4,584
Member is Online
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Post by carolus on Jul 1, 2022 23:20:01 GMT
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,529
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Post by iang on Jul 2, 2022 5:37:00 GMT
I'd misread it as the second Tory, thanks for clarifying
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Post by froome on Jul 2, 2022 5:42:26 GMT
It looks a tall order, but I assume the Lib Dems will be going all out to win the Colchester seat. I wonder if that explains the strange absence of a Green candidate this time.
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Post by cuthbertbede on Jul 2, 2022 7:54:07 GMT
It looks a tall order, but I assume the Lib Dems will be going all out to win the Colchester seat. I wonder if that explains the strange absence of a Green candidate this time. Well, so far my parents have received two Lib Dem leaflets plus a knock and drop survey, compared to one Conservative survey and one Labour leaflet, so a Lib Dem victory on quantity of literature currently. The Labour leaflet was a bit odd - just a very unsubtle direct attack on one of the Tory councillors over his vote against the Local Plan, nothing about Labour or their candidate at all. If it wasn't for a small logo at the bottom and the imprint, you wouldn't know who it was from. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 4, 2022 10:10:53 GMT
Saw some rumours on Twitter about unhappiness in the Tories about the selection vote. Shouldn't make a difference in that ward, but worth noting.
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shadsy
Non-Aligned
Smarkets' Head of Politics
Posts: 96 
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Post by shadsy on Jul 22, 2022 15:28:55 GMT
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Post by phil156 on Jul 28, 2022 4:58:48 GMT
They both count tonight
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Post by carlton43 on Jul 28, 2022 8:50:41 GMT
Sounds like an early title by Daphne du Maurier. |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,176
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 28, 2022 12:23:17 GMT
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,529
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Post by iang on Jul 28, 2022 14:57:47 GMT
Sounds like an early title by Daphne du Maurier. Surely more of the sort of racy thriller sold on railway stations - "Vic the Vote is behind this one", thought the hard bitten Elections Officer, stubbing out his third cigarette on the ledge beside him, as he waited in the pale lamp-light for the first of the ballot boxes to arrive at the municipal swimming baths, to which the count has unexpectedly - and mysteriously - been switched. |
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Post by carlton43 on Jul 28, 2022 15:05:09 GMT
Sounds like an early title by Daphne du Maurier. Surely more of the sort of racy thriller sold on railway stations - "Vic the Vote is behind this one", thought the hard bitten Elections Officer, stubbing out his third cigarette on the ledge beside him, as he waited in the pale lamp-light for the first of the ballot boxes to arrive at the municipal swimming baths, to which the count has unexpectedly - and mysteriously - been switched. That is a cracking start. Shall we work it up together and pitch it to Channel 4? I could do the story boards. |
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peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,056
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Post by peterl on Jul 28, 2022 15:14:16 GMT
Surely more of the sort of racy thriller sold on railway stations - "Vic the Vote is behind this one", thought the hard bitten Elections Officer, stubbing out his third cigarette on the ledge beside him, as he waited in the pale lamp-light for the first of the ballot boxes to arrive at the municipal swimming baths, to which the count has unexpectedly - and mysteriously - been switched. That is a cracking start. Shall we work it up together and pitch it to Channel 4? I could do the story boards. A psephologically accurate drama about an election would be refreshing. |
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Post by agbutler on Jul 28, 2022 22:33:05 GMT
Labour hold Pilsley and Morton
Lab 806
Con 361
Greens 34
Lib 22
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Post by batman on Jul 28, 2022 22:38:29 GMT
this is an occasion when I am delighted to have egg on my face. I thought logically that given the territory it would at least be close, but it really wasn't.
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Post by cuthbertbede on Jul 28, 2022 22:39:34 GMT
Lexden & Braiswick - Con hold
Lab 161
LD 621
Con 1372
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 28, 2022 23:02:26 GMT
Colchester: Lexden & Braiswick - Conservative hold | Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | since 2019 | since 2018 | | Conservative | 1,372 | 63.7% | +11.8% | +7.6% | +9.4% | +1.4% | -2.5% | | Liberal Democrat | 621 | 28.8% | +6.6% | +11.7% | +10.6% | +13.0% | +14.0% | | Labour | 161 | 7.5% | -7.4% | -4.0% | -3.7% | = | -4.9% | | Green |
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| -11.1% | -15.4% | -16.3% | -14.4% | -6.6% | | Total votes | 2,154 |
| 79% | 62% | 66% | 77% | 79% |
Swing: Liberal Democrat to Conservative 2½% since May but Conservative to Liberal Democrat 2% / ½% since 2021, 5¾% since 2019 and 8¼% since 2018 Council now: 19 Conservative, 14 Liberal Democrat, 13 Labour, 3 Green, 2 The Highwoods Group North East Derbyshire: Pilsey & Morton - Labour hold | Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Labour | 806 | 65.9% | +34.6% | +31.9% | +27.0% | +31.4% | | Conservative | 361 | 29.5% | +14.4% | +15.5% | +7.8% | +7.0% | | Green | 34 | 2.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 22 | 1.8% | -8.9% | -8.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent(s) |
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| -42.9% | -41.9% | -31.2% | -34.1% | | Patriotic Socialist |
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| -8.1% | -8.8% | | Total votes | 1,223 |
| 76% | 86% | 37% | 41% |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 30 Conservative, 18 Labour, 3 Liberal Democrat, 2 Independent
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Post by andrewp on Jul 28, 2022 23:17:08 GMT
Only 2 wards but this weeks results are Labour doing a bit better than expected in a ‘red wall’ type ward and the Conservatives doing a bit better than expected in a Lib Dem facing southern ward.
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