Wakefield - 23rd June 2022

[froome]

Labour 50.0
Conservative 31.1
Yorkshire 4.5
Ind (Akbar) 4.2
Reform UK 3.1
Liberal Democrats 2.5
Green 2.0
CPA 0.7
Eng Democrats 0.6
UKIP 0.5
N.I.P. 0.3
Britain First 0.2
Freedom Alliance 0.1
OMRL 0.1
Ind (Fransen) 0.1

[wallington]

It's tempting to look at the predictions of others, but I don't really have the time for that, instead I am going to come up with something blind. I would be very disappointed to not be at the bottom of the pack, as I haven't really followed the goings on in Wakefield, mostly as it's a pretty much sewn up Labour gain and I found the Wakefield thread pretty tedious... If I manage to make 100% as my total, then I've done well. If I have missed off anyone... then that's on purpose, they will get zero votes

Labour - 50.6
Conservative - 32
Liberal Democrat - 6.1
Reform - 3.3
Yorkshire - 2.4
Green - 2.1
UKIP - 0.8
Akbar - 0.8
CPA - 0.6
English Democrat - 0.3
Northern Independence - 0.3
OMRLP - 0.2
Britain First - 0.2
Freedom Alliance - 0.2
Fransen - 0.1

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Jun 23, 2022 8:12:49 GMT Smartie said:

Lab - 46.3
Con -31.8
LD 5.1
YP - 4.3
AA - 4.0
Grn - 3.1
RU - 2.8
NIP - 0.9
UKIP - 0.7
CPA - 0.5
OMRLP - 0.5
ED - 0.4
FA - 0.2
JF - 0.2
BF - 0.2

Smartie

This is accepted as stands, however it adds up to 101%, so will attract penealties if not adjusted.

DHAA

[dibs]

Simon Lightwood (Labour) 50%
Nadeem Ahmed (Conservative) 31.2%
David Herdson (Yorkshire Party) 3%
Akef Akbar (Independent) 3%
Ashley Routh (Green Party) 4%
Chris Walsh (Reform UK) 2%
Jamie Needle (Liberal Democrats) 5%
Christopher Jones (Northern Independence Party) 0.5%
Jordan Gaskell (UKIP) 0.4%
Therese Hirst (English Democrats) 0.3%
Ashlea Simon (Britain First) 0.2%
Mick Dodgson (Freedom Alliance) 0.1%
Paul Bickerdike (CPA) 0.1
Archibald Earl Stanton (OMRLP) 0.1%
Jayda Fransen (Independent) 0.1%

[haribo]

Lab: 49.0
Con: 30.4
Akef: 6.1
YP: 5.2
REFUK 2.7
Grn: 2.6
Lib: 2.2
UKIP 0.6
MRLP: 0.2
ED 0.2
NIP 0.2
BF 0.2

FA 0.2
CPA 0.1
Jayda Fransen 0.1

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Jun 23, 2022 8:12:49 GMT Smartie said:

Lab - 46.3
Con -30.8, LD 5.1
YP - 4.3
AA - 4.0
Grn - 3.1
RU - 2.8
NIP - 0.9
UKIP - 0.7
CPA - 0.5
OMRLP - 0.5
ED - 0.4
FA - 0.2
JF - 0.2
BF - 0.2

Adjusted

Confirming adjusted total = 100% and is accepted

[agbutler]

Lab: 55.2
Con: 28.4
YP: 5.1
Akef: 3.1
REFUK 2.5
Grn: 2.5
Lib: 2.1
UKIP 0.4
MRLP: 0.1
ED 0.1
NIP 0.1
BF 0.1
FA 0.1
CPA 0.1
Jayda Fransen 0.1

[clyde1998]

Lab - 49.2%
Con - 31.9%
Yrk - 4.2%
Akbar - 3.2%
LDm - 3.1%
Grn - 2.9%
RUK - 2.2%
UKIP - 0.8%
NIP - 0.6%
ED - 0.5%
OMRLP - 0.4%
CPA - 0.3%
BF - 0.3%
FA - 0.3%
Fransen - 0.1%

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Competition Closed

23 entries

23 out of 23 predict a Labour win over Conservatives ranging from 10.00% by kevinf to 26.80% by agbutler range of 16.80%

Nadeem Ahmed (Conservative) 28.40% by agbutler to 35.50% by greenhert a range of 7.10%
Akef Akbar (Ind) 0.10% by owainsutton to 6.10% by haribo a range of 6.00%
Paul Bickerdike (Christian People's Alliance) 0.10% by 4 posters to 0.70% by froome a range of 0.60%
Mick Dodgson (Freedom Alliance) 0.10% by 78posters to 0.70% by Tony Otim a range of 0.60%
Sir Archibald Stanton Earl 'Eaton (Official Monster Raving Loony) 0.10% by 5 posters to 1.00% by mysticrobin a range of 0.90%
Jayda Fransen (Ind) 0.10% by 19 posters to 0.30% by sirbenjamin a range of 0.20%
Jordan Gaskell (UKIP) 0.40% by 4 posters to 1.90% by Tony Otim a range of 1.50%
David Herdson (Yorkshire Party) 2.40% by wallington to 6.00% by kevinf a range of 3.60%
Therese Hirst (English Democrats) 0.10% by agbutler to 0.90% by thejedi a range of 0.80%
Christopher Jones (Northern Independence Party) 0.10% by agbutler to 1.80% by thejedi a range of 1.70%
Simon Lightwood (Labour) 44.00% by kevinf to 55.20% by agbutler a range of 11.20%
Jamie Needle (Lib Dem) 1.60% by YL to 6.10% by wallington a range of 4.50%
Ashley Routh (Green) 1.70% by YL to 5.10% by owainsutton a range of 3.40%
Ashlea Simon (Britain First) 0.10% by agbutler to 0.60% by thejedi a range of 0.50%
Chris Walsh (Reform UK) 0.80% by DHAA to 3.30% by wallington a range of 2.50%

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Wakefield - 23rd June 2022 - Result

Congratulations to haribo who wins with a score of 8.3; also scoring under 10 is bigfatron who finishes 2nd; we have a joint third place finish with both thejedi and froome scoring 11.1 

Well done to all

The result

haribo 8.3
bigfatron 9.1
thejedi 11.1
froome 11.1
jm 12.3
YL 12.3
clyde1998 12.3
Tony Otim 12.7
DHAA 13.7
Smartie 13.7
Andrew_S 14.1
aargauer 14.3
mysticrobin 14.5
peterl 16.5
batman 16.7
greenhert 17.1
dibs 17.3
sirbenjamin 17.9
agbutler 18.7
johnloony 20.3
kevinf 21.5
wallington 21.5
owainsutton 25.7

NB: Please note winning percentages used nly add up to 99.9% due to rounding.

[wallington]

Not bottom of the pack, so met expectations! and spot on with the Green percentage.