|
|
Post by andrewp on Jun 10, 2022 10:22:32 GMT
All hail Paul Plummer, the first Conservative by-election candidate to win a seat since March 31st. (Yes I know there were a load elected in by-elections alongside the elections on May 5th but that's just inconvenient data, and we all ignore data points we don't like.) True electoral dynamite. I still reckon he needed the split opposition to get over the line though. Indy would have clearly won as the only other candidate - probably a stretch to say that Labour could have won in a two horse race though. Yes the Indy would clearly have won. A Con hold in a straight Con/ Lab fight. |
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 36,540
|
Post by The Bishop on Jun 10, 2022 10:27:16 GMT
come on Crawley get on with it Whilst waiting for that result, I looked at andrewteale's preview and saw he had all the Southgate results going back to 1979 (!) Its remarkable how consistently close it has been in that time! |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jun 10, 2022 10:29:23 GMT
Breckland: Mattishall - Conservative hold | Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 539 | 41.9% | -4.7% | -4.2% | -8.4% | -9.9% | | Independent Oechsle | 486 | 37.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 260 | 20.2% | -5.2% | -5.5% | -7.3% | -4.9% | | Independent Dimoglou |
|
| -27.9% | -28.1% |
|
| | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -22.1% | -23.0% | | Total votes | 1,285 |
| 64% | 65% | 42% | 43% |
Swing: only meaningful if the 2 Independents are comparable then Conservative to Independent 7% since 2019 Council now: 36 Conservative, 6 Labour, 4 Independent Group, 2 Green, 1 vacancy Crawley: Southgate - Labour hold | Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Labour | 938 | 50.1% | +3.6% | +7.6% | +2.2% | +1.5% | | Conservative | 790 | 42.2% | +2.8% | -3.1% | +3.7% | +5.1% | | Green | 144 | 7.7% | +1.6% | +1.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
|
| -7.9% | -5.5% | -13.5% | -14.2% | | Total votes | 1,872 |
| 80% | 75% | 84% | 89% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour ½% since May, 5½% since 2021 but Labour to Conservative ¾% / 1¾% since 2019 Council now: 19 Labour, 17 Conservative Sevenoaks: Penshurst, Fordcombe & Chiddingstone - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | 2019 result | since 2017 B | since 2015 | | Liberal Democrat | 343 | 54.4% |
| +20.4% | +20.6% | | Conservative | 288 | 45.6% | unopposed | -13.2% | -7.7% | | Labour |
|
|
| -7.2% |
| | Green |
|
|
|
| -12.9% | | Total votes | 631 |
|
| 85% | 43% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 16¾% since 2017 by-election and 14¼% since 2015
Council now: 45 Conservative, 4 Liberal Democrat, 3 Independent, 1 Labour, 1 not specified
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on Jun 10, 2022 11:50:29 GMT
Breckland: Mattishall - Conservative hold | Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 539 | 41.9% | -4.7% | -4.2% | -8.4% | -9.9% | | Independent Oechsle | 486 | 37.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Row 4 column 1 | 260 | 20.2% | -5.2% | -5.5% | -7.3% | -4.9% | | Independent Dimoglou |
|
| -27.9% | -28.1% |
|
| | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -22.1% | -23.0% | | Total votes | 1,285 |
| 64% | 65% | 42% | 43% |
Swing: only meaningful if the 2 Independents are comparable then Conservative to Independent 7% since 2019 Council now: 36 Conservative, 6 Labour, 4 Independent Group, 2 Green, 1 vacancy Crawley: Southgate - Labour hold | Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Labour | 938 | 50.1% | +3.6% | +7.6% | +2.2% | +1.5% | | Conservative | 790 | 42.2% | +2.8% | -3.1% | +3.7% | +5.1% | | Green | 144 | 7.7% | +1.6% | +1.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
|
| -7.9% | -5.5% | -13.5% | -14.2% | | Total votes | 1,872 |
| 80% | 75% | 84% | 89% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour ½% since May, 5½% since 2021 but Labour to Conservative ¾% / 1¾% since 2019 Council now: 19 Labour, 17 Conservative Sevenoaks: Penshurst, Fordcombe & Chiddingstone - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | 2019 result | since 2017 B | since 2015 | | Liberal Democrat | 343 | 54.4% |
| +20.4% | +20.6% | | Conservative | 288 | 45.6% | unopposed | -13.2% | -7.7% | | Labour |
|
|
| -7.2% |
| | Green |
|
|
|
| -12.9% | | Total votes | 631 |
|
| 85% | 43% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 16¾% since 2017 by-election and 14¼% since 2015
Council now: 45 Conservative, 4 Liberal Democrat, 3 Independent, 1 Labour, 1 not specified
The missing party in Breckland should be Labour. These are such a valuable record it's important to have them complete, I guess. |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jun 10, 2022 13:13:42 GMT
Breckland: Mattishall - Conservative hold | Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 539 | 41.9% | -4.7% | -4.2% | -8.4% | -9.9% | | Independent Oechsle | 486 | 37.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Row 4 column 1 | 260 | 20.2% | -5.2% | -5.5% | -7.3% | -4.9% | | Independent Dimoglou |
|
| -27.9% | -28.1% |
|
| | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -22.1% | -23.0% | | Total votes | 1,285 |
| 64% | 65% | 42% | 43% |
Swing: only meaningful if the 2 Independents are comparable then Conservative to Independent 7% since 2019 Council now: 36 Conservative, 6 Labour, 4 Independent Group, 2 Green, 1 vacancy Crawley: Southgate - Labour hold | Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Labour | 938 | 50.1% | +3.6% | +7.6% | +2.2% | +1.5% | | Conservative | 790 | 42.2% | +2.8% | -3.1% | +3.7% | +5.1% | | Green | 144 | 7.7% | +1.6% | +1.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
|
| -7.9% | -5.5% | -13.5% | -14.2% | | Total votes | 1,872 |
| 80% | 75% | 84% | 89% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour ½% since May, 5½% since 2021 but Labour to Conservative ¾% / 1¾% since 2019 Council now: 19 Labour, 17 Conservative Sevenoaks: Penshurst, Fordcombe & Chiddingstone - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | 2019 result | since 2017 B | since 2015 | | Liberal Democrat | 343 | 54.4% |
| +20.4% | +20.6% | | Conservative | 288 | 45.6% | unopposed | -13.2% | -7.7% | | Labour |
|
|
| -7.2% |
| | Green |
|
|
|
| -12.9% | | Total votes | 631 |
|
| 85% | 43% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 16¾% since 2017 by-election and 14¼% since 2015
Council now: 45 Conservative, 4 Liberal Democrat, 3 Independent, 1 Labour, 1 not specified
The missing party in Breckland should be Labour. These are such a valuable record it's important to have them complete, I guess. Thanks, been toddler sitting this morning and that blows my mind. |
|
|
|
Post by andrewteale on Jun 12, 2022 9:11:53 GMT
come on Crawley get on with it Whilst waiting for that result, I looked at andrewteale's preview and saw he had all the Southgate results going back to 1979 (!) Its remarkable how consistently close it has been in that time! It's remarkable that the ward has had the same boundaries in all that time. I couldn't confirm whether the boundaries were the same even before 1979 but Wiki seems to think so. |
|
