Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 31, 2022 10:44:01 GMT
SPELTHORNE DC; Stanwell North (Con resigned)
Candidates:
BUTTON, Jon (Labour)
COUCHMAN, Paul Dennis (TUSC)
ZENONOS, Michael (Conservatives)
2019: Lab 729, 689, 594; Con 649, 521, 427; UKIP 326
2015: Con 1183, 1177, 1026; Lab 1149, 985, 804; UKIP 1040, 1031; Grn 409
2011: Con 759, 689, 667; Lab 622, 594, 594; Ind 413, 344; LD 359, 320
2007: Con 700, 675, 669; Lab 555, 530, 498; LD 541
2003: Con 618, 609, 570; Lab 478, 442, 425; LD 213, 210
Jon Button was the unsuccessful Labour candidate in 2019. Michael Zenonos was the Conservative candidate in the Staines by-election last year.
Current Council: Con 17; LD 7; United Spelthorne 4; Ind Lab 2; Ind Spelthorne 2; Lab 2; Unaffiliated Ind 2; Grn 2; 1 vacancy
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Post by phil156 on Feb 23, 2022 10:16:14 GMT
They count on this one tonight
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 23, 2022 15:32:52 GMT
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Post by jm on Feb 23, 2022 23:25:41 GMT
Turnout 21.1%
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2022 23:28:47 GMT
Incidentally the outgoing councillor Jim McIlroy is Chair of Stanwell Moor Residents' Association, so it's no surprise he polled many more than the other Conservative candidates. He must have had a substantial personal vote even though not an incumbent.
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 23, 2022 23:36:02 GMT
Circa 1,250 votes against average vote in 2019 1,529 |
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Post by johnloony on Feb 23, 2022 23:48:52 GMT
Only just noticed this Wednesday election. Me too… I hope I don’t get a penalty for my late prediction |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 23, 2022 23:53:39 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2022 23:55:32 GMT
An odd tweet since I would have regarded Robert Evans as being the number one Labour source in Spelthorne ... perhaps he's up to something.
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Post by batman on Feb 23, 2022 23:57:46 GMT
Robert isn't in the count.
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Post by bjornhattan on Feb 23, 2022 23:58:14 GMT
An odd tweet since I would have regarded Robert Evans as being the number one Labour source in Spelthorne ... perhaps he's up to something. Perhaps he likes talking about himself in the third person? |
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Post by batman on Feb 24, 2022 0:00:03 GMT
the Labour majority is 38 votes.
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Post by batman on Feb 24, 2022 0:01:35 GMT
So, just as well I did plenty of knocking up then. Although not as much so as the Bedford ward by-election in Wandsworth a couple of months ago.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 24, 2022 0:07:21 GMT
SPELTHORNE Stanwell North
Button, Jon (Labour Party) 605
Zenonos, Michael (Local Conservatives) 567
Couchman, Paul Dennis (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 69
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,887
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Feb 24, 2022 0:09:44 GMT
SPELTHORNE Stanwell North Button, Jon (Labour Party) 605 Zenonos, Michael (Local Conservatives) 567 Couchman, Paul Dennis (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 69 A proper English name starting A-G and they would have held this. It is not a good result for Conservatives but looks hard fought and is at least respectable. Frankly this should have been a cinch win for any decent main opposition party after all this time and with the problems the Conservatives have caused themselves. Conservatives still utter crap at candidate selection for tight contests. See Shropshire! |
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Post by batman on Feb 24, 2022 0:14:36 GMT
no. I've been there all day and know the area well enough to say that you are not correct. The Tory candidate was not poor. What was and remains poor is the Conservatives' failure to canvass the ward properly. That possibly has cost them dear although they probably did quite a bit of phone canvassing. But we know that they were working off very weak data. Possibly because the parliamentary seat is not marginal.
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 24, 2022 0:15:03 GMT
Stanwell North (Spelthorne) council by-election result:
LAB: 48.8% (+6.0)
CON: 45.7% (+7.6)
TUSC: 5.6% (+5.6)
Labour GAIN from Conservative.
Votes cast: 1,241
No UKIP (-19.1) as prev.
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Post by batman on Feb 24, 2022 0:18:10 GMT
the absence of UKIP has probably helped the Tories reduce the swing, too.
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Post by middleenglander on Feb 24, 2022 0:18:21 GMT
Spelthorne: Stanwell North - Labour gain from Conservative| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | Labour | 605 | 48.9% | +6.1% | +5.1% | +18.5% | +21.3% | | Conservative | 567 | 45.5% | +7.5% | +10.7% | +14.3% | +13.8% | | TUSC | 69 | 5.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -19.1% | -21.3% | -27.5% | -29.1% | | Green |
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| -10.8% | -11.5% | | Total votes | 1,241 |
| 73% | 81% | 33% | 35% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative ¾% / 2¾% since 2019 despite Conservative losing seat but Conservative to Labour 2% / 3¾% since 2015
Council now: 17 Conservative, 7 Liberal Democrat, 4 United Spelthorne ^, 3 Independent Spelthorne ^^, 3 Labour, 2 Independent Labour ^^^, 2 Green, 1 Unaffiliated Independent
^ all 4 elected as Conservative
^^ 2 of the 3 elected as Conservative
^^^ both elected as Labour
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Feb 24, 2022 0:20:42 GMT
SPELTHORNE Stanwell North Button, Jon (Labour Party) 605 Zenonos, Michael (Local Conservatives) 567 Couchman, Paul Dennis (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 69 A proper English name starting A-G and they would have held this. It is not a good result for Conservatives but looks hard fought and is at least respectable. Frankly this should have been a cinch win for any decent main opposition party after all this time and with the problems the Conservatives have caused themselves. Conservatives still utter crap at candidate selection for tight contests. See Shropshire! If you read the preview, you would know that the area has a significant South Asian minority and is bang next to one of the UK's biggest ports of entry. It's effectively an extension of Hounslow and the ethnic origin of the candidate will have had no impact here. If anything, a candidate who wasn't too keen on lockdown maybe would have been a better fit, given the area's heavy reliance on Heathrow as a source of employment. |
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