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Post by middleenglander on Feb 11, 2022 10:39:12 GMT
Dont think the WEALDEN figures so here they are LD 304 Con 254 SDP 12 LD figure was 394, see tabulation above.
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 11, 2022 10:39:51 GMT
Dont think the WEALDEN figures so here they are LD 304 Con 254 SDP 12 They are in Middleenglander's table above, and it says LD 394 there, not 304, which I think fits with the percentages.
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Post by jamesdoyle on Feb 11, 2022 10:55:17 GMT
So, how does the GWBWI look this week? LDm +143 Grn +18 Con -80 Lab -96 Daniel (Elton John) 4 Tom's Diner(Suzanne Vega) 58 Eloise (The Damned) 3
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 11, 2022 11:28:47 GMT
So, how does the GWBWI look this week? LDm +143 Grn +18 Con -80 Lab -96 Daniel (Elton John) 4 Tom's Diner(Suzanne Vega) 58 Eloise (The Damned) 3 Would that be the original version of Tom’s Diner or the dance version with DNA?
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Post by jamesdoyle on Feb 11, 2022 11:57:28 GMT
LDm +143 Grn +18 Con -80 Lab -96 Daniel (Elton John) 4 Tom's Diner(Suzanne Vega) 58 Eloise (The Damned) 3 Would that be the original version of Tom’s Diner or the dance version with DNA? Original, of course. The DNA remix has, iirc, a different title, and would have scored differently.
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Feb 11, 2022 12:37:06 GMT
Would that be the original version of Tom’s Diner or the dance version with DNA? Original, of course. The DNA remix has, iirc, a different title, and would have scored differently. The “Official Video” calls it Tom’s Diner, and, annoyingly, it’s what keeps piling up hits on a YouTube search:
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 11, 2022 13:03:54 GMT
The resigning councillor in Eastleigh has made a stinging denunciation of the Liberal Democrats and endorsed the Labour candidate, which might shake things up. Labour last won a seat on the council in 2007. If it made any difference, it wasn't in the way intended by this intervention. As pointed out at the time, postal votes mean any effect would have been diluted anyway. You do sometimes get the impression some haven't fully caught on to this.
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Post by jamesdoyle on Feb 11, 2022 13:26:45 GMT
Original, of course. The DNA remix has, iirc, a different title, and would have scored differently. The “Official Video” calls it Tom’s Diner, and, annoyingly, it’s what keeps piling up hits on a YouTube search: Just checked, and what I had recalled (incorrectly) was that it had a different title (O Suzanne) while they were waiting for copyright permission, but was Tom's Diner by the time they released it. Funny what sticks in the memory and what doesn't
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,005
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Post by Khunanup on Feb 11, 2022 13:38:26 GMT
I suppose the fact that the entire Eastleigh Lib Dem machine could focus on the one ward helped them to pull further ahead of Labour. See my post upthread, it unfolded exactly the way I expected (as did Hailsham).
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Post by jamesdoyle on Feb 11, 2022 22:37:20 GMT
I suppose the fact that the entire Eastleigh Lib Dem machine could focus on the one ward helped them to pull further ahead of Labour. See my post upthread, it unfolded exactly the way I expected (as did Hailsham). Good call
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Post by tonyhill on Feb 12, 2022 12:11:42 GMT
The cumulative totals since the beginning of September 2021 are now: Con -231.0; Lab -228.4; LibDem +362.6; Green +182.4. The LibDems lagged behind the Greens for most of the Autumn, and the Conservatives were doing less badly than Labour up until early December.
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Post by evergreenadam on Mar 5, 2022 21:45:56 GMT
They will be interesting for a variety of reasons. Will Labour fancy their chances of making a breakthrough in Eastleigh? They weren't that far behind in this ward earlier this year, a distinct improvement from 2019. Do we know if the disqualified Independent is backing the new Independent in Alcombe? Rather odd to see a Social Democratic Party candidate in Wealden, but no Labour or Green. Will it make a difference? I doubt it, but the Lib Dems ought to win that one with ease. Two problems for Labour in Eastleigh Central. The Greens are standing and that will hurt them here more than any other party and the Tory vote will likely collapse with everything that's going on and little of that will go Labour. And Labour have been close but no cigar here (and predecessor seats) many, many times since they got wiped off the council but have never followed up. It's obviously not impossible but something would have to go very wrong for the Lib Dems to lose this one. I concur that Hailsham should be a turkey shoot for the Lib Dems (though Hailsham's a more Johnsonian demographic place compared to most of Wealden so I wouldn't expect a catastrophic result for the Tories compared to an Uckfield/Crowborough by-election at the moment for example). I’m thinking of moving to Hailsham so very interested in your comments about it being a Johnsonian place, what are its characteristics!
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 5, 2022 22:21:08 GMT
Two problems for Labour in Eastleigh Central. The Greens are standing and that will hurt them here more than any other party and the Tory vote will likely collapse with everything that's going on and little of that will go Labour. And Labour have been close but no cigar here (and predecessor seats) many, many times since they got wiped off the council but have never followed up. It's obviously not impossible but something would have to go very wrong for the Lib Dems to lose this one. I concur that Hailsham should be a turkey shoot for the Lib Dems (though Hailsham's a more Johnsonian demographic place compared to most of Wealden so I wouldn't expect a catastrophic result for the Tories compared to an Uckfield/Crowborough by-election at the moment for example). I’m thinking of moving to Hailsham so very interested in your comments about it being a Johnsonian place, what are its characteristics! I think this is a polite way of saying its a bit of a dump
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Post by batman on Mar 6, 2022 20:16:39 GMT
I was surprised by how rundown the town centre was not having been before.
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,886
Member is Online
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 6, 2022 22:29:10 GMT
Two problems for Labour in Eastleigh Central. The Greens are standing and that will hurt them here more than any other party and the Tory vote will likely collapse with everything that's going on and little of that will go Labour. And Labour have been close but no cigar here (and predecessor seats) many, many times since they got wiped off the council but have never followed up. It's obviously not impossible but something would have to go very wrong for the Lib Dems to lose this one. I concur that Hailsham should be a turkey shoot for the Lib Dems (though Hailsham's a more Johnsonian demographic place compared to most of Wealden so I wouldn't expect a catastrophic result for the Tories compared to an Uckfield/Crowborough by-election at the moment for example). I’m thinking of moving to Hailsham so very interested in your comments about it being a Johnsonian place, what are its characteristics! Known to we assets in the firm as the Hinchingbrooke manoeuvre.
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