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Post by samdwebber on Jul 2, 2021 10:35:32 GMT
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Post by andrewp on Jul 2, 2021 10:48:40 GMT
Chelmsford, Writtle
Con 716
LD 572
Green 78
Lab 67
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 2, 2021 10:56:51 GMT
Thank you, David! I was about to post the following link and comment that it was not very helpful www.newarkadvertiser.co.uk/news/results-of-newark-and-sherwood-by-elections-announced-9205701/However, I am still putting it up as it mentions a town council result, also from yesterday. Conservative win in Devon ward at the other, southern, end of Newark on Trent town Even more than Bridge, Devon ward (pronounced Deevon like Newark's 'second' river) is strongly working class, social housing heavy, and traditionally Labour's strongest area in the town. Devon has been won by the Conservatives before recently, but yet more evidence of the class realignment in voting we have been seeing. Though Devon is actually rather a ward of strong contrasts, the the northern part of the ward very comfortably middle class (the area where my family members live). I'd imagine most of the Green vote will have come out of there, with Labour getting nothing outside the estates and the Tories possibly marginally behind on the estates but comfortably winning the middle class area. Have the ward boundaries changed? In the Devon I knew (and my aunt/uncle who I stayed with a lot, as upthread, moved from Bridge ward to its borders) I wouldn't say there was a substantial middle class area, just a few roads around Windsor Avenue (and I suppose the east side of Hawton Road, the rather odd ward boundary with the south end of Castle). In the 2011 census, Devon was under 16% professional.managerial, over 45% routine/semi routine, under 11% with degrees and 39.7% 'no qualifications', 38.5% social rented ... all that sounds pretty working class to me. As I said, though, there may have been some change of ward boundaries. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 2, 2021 11:02:32 GMT
Chelmsford: Writtle - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 716 | 50.0% | -10.7% | -11.2% | -2.6% | -2.1% | | Liberal Democrat | 572 | 39.9% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +10.7% | +11.5% | | Green | 78 | 5.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 67 | 4.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -18.2% | -19.5% | | Total votes | 1,433 |
| 105% | 118% | 47% | 51% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 5¾% / 6¼% since 2019 and 6¾% since 2015 Council now: 30 Liberal Democrat, 22 Conservative, 4 Chelmsford Independent Group, 1 Independent Elmbridge: Cobham & Downside - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative| Party | 2021 B votes | 2021 B share | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 890 | 49.8% | +28.1% | +18.4% | +35.9% | +26.0% | +25.7% | | Conservative | 778 | 43.5% | -21.0% | -3.9% | -22.8% | -2.8% | -2.0% | | Green | 54 | 3.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 47 | 2.6% | -5.8% | -6.1% | -10.5% | -12.2% | -12.4% | | Reform | 19 | 1.1% | -1.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -2.9% | -12.5% | -6.6% | -15.1% | -15.4% | | Total votes | 1,788 |
| 81% | 94% | 93% | 72% | 73% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 24½% since May, 11¼% since 2019, 29½% since 2018 and 14½% / 13¾% since 2016 Council now: 21 Conservative, 17 various Resident Associations, 9 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent Enfield: Bush Hill Park - Conservative hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2018 B | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | since 2014 "top" | since 201e "average" | | Conservative | 1,694 | 55.2% | +2.8% | +15.7% | +15.4% | +22.7% | +23.9% | | Labour | 875 | 28.5% | +0.3% | -8.7% | -8.0% | -0.9% | +0.7% | | Green | 233 | 7.6% | +3.3% | -3.2% | -3.4% | -4.4% | -5.3% | | Liberal Democrat | 225 | 7.3% | -3.3% | -2.3% | -2.5% | -1.4% | -2.1% | | TUSC | 27 | 0.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Taking the Initiative | 15 | 0.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Women's Equality |
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| -2.7% |
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| -1.7% |
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| -2.9% | -2.9% | -17.3% | -18.6% | | Total votes | 3,069 |
| 104% | 61% | 62% | 59% | 64% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 1¼% since May 2018 byelection, 12¼% / 11¾% since 2018 and 11% / 11½% since 2014 Council now: 38 Labour, 18 Conservative, 7 Community First Islington: Tollington - Labour hold | Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | | Labour | 1,243 | 56.7% | -12.8% | -16.1% | -6.0% | -8.0% | | Green | 730 | 33.3% | +16.3% | +19.9% | +6.5% | +8.2% | | Conservative | 127 | 5.8% | +0.4% | +0.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 94 | 4.4% | -4.0% | -4.0% | -6.4% | -6.0% | | Total votes | 2,194 |
| 55% | 58% | 58% | 61% |
Swing: Labour to Green 14½% / 18% since 2018 and 6¼% / 8% since 2014 Council now: 45 Labour, 1 Conservative, 1 Green, 1 Independent Newark & Sherwood: Bridge - 2 Conservative gains from Independent| Party | 2021 votes
1st | 2021 votes
2nd | 2021 votes
total | 2021 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Conservative | 310 | 257 | 577 | 35.3% | +13.6% | +14.7% | +14.3% | +13.7% | | Independent | 236 | 181 | 417 | 25.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 177 | 162 | 339 | 20.7% | -3.4% | -4.1% | +2.0% | +1.5% | | Liberal Democrat | 104 | 59 | 163 | 10.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 81 | 57 | 138 | 8.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Previous Independents |
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| -54.1% | -54.5% | -41.9% | -40.2% | | UKIP |
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| -18.4% | -18.9% | | Total votes | 908 | 726 | 1,634 |
| 66% | 68% | 37% | 38% |
Swing: Not particularly meaningful Council now: 29 Conservative, 7 Labour, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent North East Lincolnshire: Heneage - Conservative gain from Labour| Party | 2021 B votes | 2021 B share | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | since 2016 | | Conservative | 507 | 41.9% | -8.2% | +11.3% | +8.6% | +24.6% | | Labou | 344 | 28.4% | -11.1% | -12.7% | -20.3% | -18.9% | | Liberal Democrat | 336 | 27.7% | +23.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | +19.9% | | TUSC | 24 | 2.0% | -1.5% | from nowhere | -0.3% | -0.6% | | Freedom |
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| -3.1% |
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| -28.4% | -15.7% | -25.0% | | Total votes | 1,211 |
| 65% | 62% | 59% | 60% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 1½% since May, 12% since 2019, 14½% since 2018 and 21¾% since 2016 Council now: 32 Conservative, 7 Labour, 3 Liberal Democrat Stoke: Penkhull & Stoke - Conservative gain from City Independent| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | since 2011 | | Conservative | 582 | 40.6% | +34.1% | +22.2% | +31.7% | | Labour | 572 | 39.9% | -0.7% | +13.6% | +7.5% | | City Independent | 171 | 11.9% | -32.5% | -30.8% | -29.7% ^ | | Green | 109 | 7.6% | -0.8% | -2.2% | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -2.8% | -7.3% | | UKIP |
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| -6.9% | | Community Voice |
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| -2.9% | | Total votes | 1,434 |
| 94% | 51% | 82% |
^ Previous councillor elected as City Independent in 2019 and 2015 but Independent in 2011 Swing if meaningful: Labour to Conservative 17½% since 2019, 4¼% since 2015 and 12% since 2011 Council now: 22 Conservative, 13 Labour, 6 City Independent, 3 Independent So 7 by-elections for 8 seats: Conservatives win 6 seats - retaining 2, gaining 4 (3 from Independents and 1 from Labour) and losing 1 to a Liberal Democrat Labour win 1 seat - retaining 1 and losing 1 to a Conservative Liberal Democrats gain 1 seat from a Conservative
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Post by evergreenadam on Jul 2, 2021 11:05:49 GMT
The Lib Dems certainly seem to be doing well in the most middle class parts of the Home Counties at the moment. In Esher and Walton there was always a risk that the Tory position would slip as people in the Lib Dem heartlands in SW London moved further out and took their voting preferences with them. The children of Lib Dem voters in SW London who can’t afford to buy their own property in SW London are probably moving further out too.That gave me a chuckle - unable to afford London so moving to Cobham. I was referring to Esher and Walton more generally, especially the two Moleseys. |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,012
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Post by Khunanup on Jul 2, 2021 12:20:51 GMT
Though Devon is actually rather a ward of strong contrasts, the the northern part of the ward very comfortably middle class (the area where my family members live). I'd imagine most of the Green vote will have come out of there, with Labour getting nothing outside the estates and the Tories possibly marginally behind on the estates but comfortably winning the middle class area. Have the ward boundaries changed? In the Devon I knew (and my aunt/uncle who I stayed with a lot, as upthread, moved from Bridge ward to its borders) I wouldn't say there was a substantial middle class area, just a few roads around Windsor Avenue (and I suppose the east side of Hawton Road, the rather odd ward boundary with the south end of Castle). In the 2011 census, Devon was under 16% professional.managerial, over 45% routine/semi routine, under 11% with degrees and 39.7% 'no qualifications', 38.5% social rented ... all that sounds pretty working class to me. As I said, though, there may have been some change of ward boundaries. I'm not saying that the middle class area is a huge part of the ward, just that it's a distinct contrast from the rest of the ward. Having said that, since 2015 boundary changes it has gone further north (now going up as far as Lime Grove) so it's non-estate element is larger than before, and you would expect that that area would have a substantial turnout advantage too. |
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J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,772 
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Post by J.G.Harston on Jul 2, 2021 12:21:36 GMT
Still waiting for Writtle, Chelmsford result. According to LD tweets there were at least 3 Tory MPs out campaigning in this ward yesterday.... Members of one party trying to stop members of another party getting elected. Shock! Whatever next! |
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ilerda
Conservative
Posts: 1,098
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Post by ilerda on Jul 2, 2021 13:07:39 GMT
She's probably never met anyone who doesn't want the Lib Dems to win in her life before.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jul 2, 2021 19:14:59 GMT
Labour have a Green problem in London....WE have a Green "problem" in London... ;-/
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 3, 2021 21:13:25 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 3, 2021 21:14:59 GMT
Town, parish and community councils have their own thread - this one was reported there.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2021 15:12:18 GMT
The Tories are only two seats away from having a majority on Stoke-on-Trent Council - they had 0 seats at some point in the 90s iirc.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 4, 2021 15:13:47 GMT
They are on exactly half the seats at the moment (22 out of 44).
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 4, 2021 15:14:30 GMT
They are on exactly half the seats at the moment (22 out of 44). My mistake. |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Jul 4, 2021 16:52:48 GMT
The Tories are only two seats away from having a majority on Stoke-on-Trent Council - they had 0 seats at some point in the 90s iirc. It was 60-0 at one point wasn't it? |
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Post by gwynthegriff on Jul 4, 2021 16:53:27 GMT
The Tories are only two seats away from having a majority on Stoke-on-Trent Council - they had 0 seats at some point in the 90s iirc. It was 60-0 at one point wasn't it? |
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,814
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Post by iang on Jul 4, 2021 17:54:32 GMT
Isn't that where all the problems began? With no formal opposition, Labour became its own informal opposition, and splits emerged in the group, and that opened the way to the rise of the City Independents etc? Perhaps someone who knows more about Stoke politics could comment on whether that is broadly true as a summary
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sirbenjamin
IFP
True fame is reading your name written in graffiti, but without the words 'is a wanker' after it.
Posts: 4,979
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Post by sirbenjamin on Jul 4, 2021 20:00:20 GMT
Isn't that where all the problems began? With no formal opposition, Labour became its own informal opposition, and splits emerged in the group, and that opened the way to the rise of the City Independents etc? Perhaps someone who knows more about Stoke politics could comment on whether that is broadly true as a summary
That's a Blueprint we can all enjoy. Looking forward to Con gaining overall control of Newham in a few years time...
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 5, 2021 11:01:13 GMT
Though given it has been all-Labour since 2010, they are taking their time  |
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Post by londonseal80 on Jul 26, 2021 8:08:32 GMT
Though given it has been all-Labour since 2010, they are taking their time It won’t be Lab 60 next election due to more councillors being added. Whenever Newham is mentioned I just think Labour 60, it has such a ring to it. |
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