Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 7, 2021 20:50:58 GMT
Not all governor-races are already decided:   |
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 8, 2021 14:27:13 GMT
Governors are only up for election in 15 states: According to your map, the results could be: Baja California: Morena => Morena Baja California Sur: PAN => Morena Chihuahua: PAN => PAN Colima: PRI => Morena Guerrero: PRI => Morena Michoacán: PRD => Morena Nayarit: PAN => Morena Nuevo León: Independent => MC Sinaloa: PRI => Morena Sonora: PRI => Morena Campeche: PRI => Morena Querétaro: PAN => PAN San Luis Potosí: PRI => is light pink for the FXM candidate ? Tlaxcala: PRI => Morena Zacatecas: PRI => Morena
It seems to me like a crushing defeat for the opposition parties with only two PAN governors being reelected and two other governors not belonging to Morena.
Morena would keep their one governorship of the series and win 10 of the other 14, 2 from PAN, 7 from PRI and 1 from PRD.
The new equilibrium would be:
Morena: 16 PAN: 7
PRI: 5 MC: 2
PRD: 1 FXM: 1 PES: 1
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 8, 2021 14:54:03 GMT
For the federal parliamentary elections, the quick count seems to indicate: Morena: 34,9 - 35,8% => 190 - 203 seats PAN: 18,5 - 19,3% => 106 - 117 seats PRI: 17,8 - 18,5% => 63 - 75 PVEM: 5,5 - 6% => 40 - 48 PT: 3,1 - 3,5% => 35 - 41 MC: 7,1 - 7,5% => 20 - 27 PRD: 3,5 - 3,9% => 12 - 21 PES: 2,7 - 3% => 0 - 6 PAN, PRI and PRD were allied in some constituencies while Morena, PVEM and PT were also in a coalition in some constituencies. Morena would lose their absolute majority but the coalition would probably keep it.They had 311/500 seats, and they would get 265 - 292 seats apparently. The good results for PVEM and PT would probably be because Morena supports them in 45 and 50 constituencies respectively.
PAN would go up from 79 seats, PRI up from 49 and PRD up from 11. MC would stay stable from 25.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 8, 2021 14:54:57 GMT
Yes, MoReNa has clearly conquered the rural areas, another important step of them to become a new PRI.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 16, 2021 11:38:42 GMT
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relique
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Post by relique on Jun 16, 2021 15:00:36 GMT
Governors are only up for election in 15 states: According to your map, the results could be: Baja California: Morena => Morena Baja California Sur: PAN => Morena Chihuahua: PAN => PAN Colima: PRI => Morena Guerrero: PRI => Morena Michoacán: PRD => Morena Nayarit: PAN => Morena Nuevo León: Independent => MC Sinaloa: PRI => Morena Sonora: PRI => Morena Campeche: PRI => Morena Querétaro: PAN => PAN San Luis Potosí: PRI => is light pink for the FXM candidate ? Tlaxcala: PRI => Morena Zacatecas: PRI => Morena
It seems to me like a crushing defeat for the opposition parties with only two PAN governors being reelected and two other governors not belonging to Morena.
Morena would keep their one governorship of the series and win 10 of the other 14, 2 from PAN, 7 from PRI and 1 from PRD.
The new equilibrium would be:
Morena: 16 PAN: 7
PRI: 5 MC: 2
PRD: 1 FXM: 1 PES: 1
In San Luis Potosi, it's the PVEM candidate (supported by PT but not by Morena) who won against the PAN candidate (supported by incumbent PRI and PRD).
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 16, 2021 19:57:22 GMT
San Luis Potosí: PRI => is light pink for the FXM candidate ? In San Luis Potosi, it's the PVEM candidate (supported by PT but not by Morena) who won against the PAN candidate (supported by incumbent PRI and PRD).
Yes, MoReNa had its own candidate, but this was rather tactical (due to its toxic brand there). |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Dec 9, 2021 12:43:42 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 6, 2022 16:33:44 GMT
Governors before:  ...and after the election:  Number and % of population:  The states (% of Mexico's population on the left):  |
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Post by redvers on Jun 6, 2022 23:58:07 GMT
RIP PRD
Doesn't seem it will be missed...
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 7, 2022 13:57:38 GMT
RIP PRD Doesn't seem it will be missed... Well, their continued antiPRIcoalition with PAN paved the way for AMLO. But if they hadn't done so, the leftWingers would have become even more hostile to them. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 8, 2022 14:54:35 GMT
Maps of governorRaces 2016 & 2022: Durango: 2016:  2022:  Hidalgo: 2016:  2022:  Oaxaca: 2016:  2022:  Quintana Roo: 2016:  2022:  Tamaulipas: 2016:  2022:  |
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Post by matureleft on Jun 2, 2024 7:34:43 GMT
Surprised to note that Presidential, Congress and gubernatorial elections are happening today.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 3, 2024 0:50:18 GMT
Surprised to note that Presidential, Congress and gubernatorial elections are happening today. Results are to be expected in our morning. Close are anyWay just some governorElections: - The capital could turn to PAN (for the first time), also Puebla. - PRI should gain from MoReNa Morelos & VeraCruz (unless the federal election rescues the MoReNa-candidates). - MC is not entirely safe in Jalisco. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 3, 2024 2:50:12 GMT
The exitPollsters have immediately called it for Mrs.SheinBaum. First numbers are 60:30:10.
The (un)funny thing is, that while coram publico she had to back AMLO's authoritarian antics and her main opPonent had to appeal to the conservatives of PAN&PRI, both woMen are in pectore certainly leftLiberals like the third candidate...
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Post by rcronald on Jun 3, 2024 3:36:40 GMT
The exitPollsters have immediately called it for Mrs.SheinBaum. First numbers are 60:30:10. The (un)funny thing is, that while coram publico she had to back AMLO's authoritarian antics and her main opPonent had to appeal to the conservatives of PAN&PRI, both woMen are in pectore certainly leftLiberals like the third candidate... Galvez was a really weird candidate for the opposition to choose, almost certainly alienated persuadable socially-conservative voters. |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 3, 2024 15:52:02 GMT
In Jalisco MC is not safe yet (42% counted; 40.45% vs. 37.79% for MoReNa), but i guess, they will hold on; meaning only 1 switch: Yucatan from PAN to MoReNa, what means, that the latter will govern now the whole poor South:  1999-2025 (on January 1st, obviously not my work):  More than 70% of Mexicans will be ruled by MoReNa-governors:  |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 21, 2024 0:49:07 GMT
Presidential elections since 1964, stateResults: - 1st:  PRI: - votes & vote-%:  - deViations of states' vote-% from national average:  PAN:   FDN->PRD->MoReNa:  |
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on Jun 21, 2024 0:49:27 GMT
Development of the states' population:  Map of the states:  |
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