Scottish By-election Results Ahead of 06 May 2021
Mar 12, 2021 16:01:41 GMT
November_Rain likes this
Post by middleenglander on Mar 12, 2021 16:01:41 GMT
1. North Lanarkshire: Fortissat - Labour gain from SNP
based on first preference votes
* relatively minor boundary changes
Swing: Labour to SNP 7% since 2017 by-election, 1¾% since 2017 and less meaningful ~7% since 2012 and ~10% since 2007
- Conservative actual vote over 50% up on 2017 by-election and just 2% down since 2017 main elections on much lower overall turnout.
Council now: 32 Labour, 29 SNP, 8 Conservative, 8 Independent
2. North Lanarkshire: Thorniewood - Labour gain from SNP
based on first preference votes
Swing: Labour to SNP 1¾% since 2019 by-election and 4¾% since 2017
Council now: 32 Labour, 29 SNP, 8 Conservative, 8 Independent
3. Highland: Aird & Loch Ness - Independent gain from Conservative
based on first preference votes
* boundary changes increased size of ward with electorate increasing by ~ 8% between 2012 and 2017
Swing: not very meaningful
Council now: 27 Independent, 18 SNP, 10 Conservative, 9 Liberal Democrat, 3 Labour, 3 Non-aligned, 3 assorted Other Independent, 1 Green
4. Scottish Borders: Leaderdale & Melrose - Conservative gain from SNP
based on first preference votes
based on first preference votes
| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 B | since 2017 | since 2012 * | since 2007 * | |
| Labour | 1,071 | 38.4% | -0.1% | +1.9% | -7.5% | -9.8% | |
| SNP | 965 | 34.6% | +13.9% | +5.5% | +6.0% | +9.8% | |
| Conservative | 656 | 23.5% | +12.0% | +10.2% | +20.9% | from nowhere | |
| Green | 69 | 2.5% | +1.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | |
| UKIP | 31 | 1.1% | +0.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | |
| Better Britain | -23.3% | ||||||
| Independent | -5.0% | -10.1% | -22.9% | -27.1% | |||
| Maintain Union | -11.1% | ||||||
| Total votes | 2,792 | 76% | 55% | 65% | 49% |
* relatively minor boundary changes
Swing: Labour to SNP 7% since 2017 by-election, 1¾% since 2017 and less meaningful ~7% since 2012 and ~10% since 2007
- Conservative actual vote over 50% up on 2017 by-election and just 2% down since 2017 main elections on much lower overall turnout.
Council now: 32 Labour, 29 SNP, 8 Conservative, 8 Independent
2. North Lanarkshire: Thorniewood - Labour gain from SNP
based on first preference votes
| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2019 B | since 2017 |
| Labour | 998 | 36.4% | -7.9% | -13.8% |
| SNP | 944 | 34.5% | -4.6% | -4.2% |
| Independent | 518 | 18.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Conservative | 212 | 7.7% | -1.9% | -3.3% |
| Green | 53 | 1.9% | +0.4% | from nowhere |
| UKIP | 15 | 0.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Liberal Democrat | -5.5% | |||
| Total votes | 2,740 | 89% | 58% |
Council now: 32 Labour, 29 SNP, 8 Conservative, 8 Independent
3. Highland: Aird & Loch Ness - Independent gain from Conservative
based on first preference votes
| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | since 2015 B * | since 2012 * | since 2007 * | |
| Independent Fraser | 997 | 28.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | |
| SNP | 994 | 28.2% | +5.9% | -4.3% | +0.4% | +10.2% | |
| Conservative | 824 | 23.4% | +3.7% | +8.2% | +16.5% | +16.2% | |
| Liberal Democrat | 300 | 8.5% | -1.7% | -24.9% | -3.8% | -2.6% | |
| Green | 272 | 7.7% | +0.1% | -1.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | |
| Labour | 133 | 3.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -1.7% | -2.1% | |
| Independent Davidson | -27.8% | -29.5% | -24.6% | ||||
| Independent Carmichael | -12.4% | -16.3% | -22.8% | ||||
| Other Independents | -9.5% | -10.4% | |||||
| UKIP | -1.6% | ||||||
| Total votes | 3,520 | 72% | 114% | 87% | 71% |
* boundary changes increased size of ward with electorate increasing by ~ 8% between 2012 and 2017
Swing: not very meaningful
Council now: 27 Independent, 18 SNP, 10 Conservative, 9 Liberal Democrat, 3 Labour, 3 Non-aligned, 3 assorted Other Independent, 1 Green
4. Scottish Borders: Leaderdale & Melrose - Conservative gain from SNP
based on first preference votes
| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | since 2013 B | since 2012 | since 2012 |
| Conservative | 1,380 | 39.9% | +8.0% | +12.4% | +27.7% | +24.4% |
| SNP ^ | 1,042 | 30.2% | +12.4% | +12.5% | +14.6% | +16.2% |
| Liberal Democrat | 538 | 15.6% | +6.2% | -5.9% | +3.3% | +0.2% |
| Independent Douglas | 159 | 4.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Green | 152 | 4.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Labour | 115 | 3.3% | from nowhere | -3.4% | -2.9% | from nowhere |
| Independent Wilks | 69 | 2.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Independent Parker | -25.2% | -36.3% | -29.7% | |||
| Independent Gillespie ^^ | -11.2% | |||||
| Other Independents | -4.4% | -10.3% | ||||
| Borders | -23.5% | -17.3% | -15.1% | |||
| UKIP | -3.0% | |||||
| Total votes | 3,455 | 76% | 100% | 96% | 75% |
^ contested previous elections as Liberal Democrat
^^ previously elected for Borders Party
Swing: not very meaningful
Council now: 15 Conservative, 8 SNP, 8 Independent, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Other Independent
5. West Lothian: Livingston South: SNP hold
based on first preference vote
^ Independent had originally been selected as the Conservative candidate
Swing: Labour to SNP 7% since 2017, 12½% since 2012 and 11% since 2007
Council now: 13 SNP, 12 Labour, 7 Conservative, 1 Independent
^^ previously elected for Borders Party
Swing: not very meaningful
Council now: 15 Conservative, 8 SNP, 8 Independent, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Other Independent
5. West Lothian: Livingston South: SNP hold
based on first preference vote
| Party | 2021 votes | 2021 share | since 2017 | since 2012 | since 2007 |
| SNP | 2,465 | 43.9% | +3.0% | +1.8% | +3.6% |
| Labour | 1,382 | 24.6% | -10.9% | -23.3% | -18.6% |
| Conservative | 989 | 17.6% | -1.8% | +12.2% | +11.4% |
| Independent ^ | 332 | 5.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Green | 234 | 4.2% | +1.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Liberal Democrat | 185 | 3.3% | +1.5% | from nowhere | -1.7% |
| UKIP | 29 | 0.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| Save Hospital | -4.5% | ||||
| Previous Independent | -4.0% | ||||
| Socialist | -1.4% | ||||
| Total | 5,616 | 68% | 82% | 66% |
^ Independent had originally been selected as the Conservative candidate
Swing: Labour to SNP 7% since 2017, 12½% since 2012 and 11% since 2007
Council now: 13 SNP, 12 Labour, 7 Conservative, 1 Independent