Kosovo elections

[Georg Ebner]

PollingStations close now.

[Georg Ebner]

The left-nationalistic (not sure, how serious its turn to western left-"liberalism" is, though) (L)VV was polled above 40%, making them quite inevitable (also in the presidential one later this year).

[Georg Ebner]

ExitPoll (Pipos):

41.8% VV (left-nationalistic)

16.5% PDK (exPES, now ECR)
15.2% LDK
07.2% AAK
02.6% Nisma (left-"liberal")

[Georg Ebner]

SeatProjection:

52 LVV
20 minorities
20 PDK
19 LDK
09 AAK

[Georg Ebner]

Another ExitPoll (by PIPPO):

56 LVV
20 minorities
18 PDK
18 LDK
08 AAK

[Georg Ebner]

NewsPaper "KohaDitore":

50.7% LVV
15.4% PDK
15.1% LDK
06.8% AAK
02.9% Nisma

[Georg Ebner]

Surprisingly huge participation of the Serbs in the north (despite 20 MPs being reserved for them anyWay):

[Georg Ebner]

Once again the ExitPoll of that NewsPaper:

Sexes (men=yellow):

Urban-rural:

[Georg Ebner]

PreferencesVote in former elections:



Expect a further InCrease for Kurti.
By the way: The PDK-&LDK-leaders are both professors at the university of Prishtina.

[Georg Ebner]

2 other ExitPolls:

[Georg Ebner]

First numbers from the ElectoralCommission:

44.66% LVV
18.24% PDK
13.68% LDK
09.52% AAK
02.75% Nisma

[Georg Ebner]

The ExitPoll of KohaDitore had LVV seemingly 6% too high, so let us take these graphics with some reservation:
Optimism (=blue) - pessimism (=green):

"Has the campaigning influenced Your VotingIntention?" (blue=yes, yellow=no):

Main issues:

Bottom (= most important): Jobs, HealthService, Crime&Corruption, Education, VisaLiberalization, CoronaVirus, InerNat.Org.-membership, EnvironmentalProtection, dialogue with Serbia, others.

[Georg Ebner]

New numbers from the EC, based on 355.000 counted votes (eligible would be ~1.2m [iirc]):

48.14% LVV
18.36% PDK
13.73% LDK
08.23% AAK
02.66% Nisma

LVV is increasing and i am not sure, whether and by how much the heavily LVV-leaning diaspora is included.

[Georg Ebner]

600.000 (~70%) done. LVV remains at 48%, PDK falling to 17.54%, LDK minimally to 13.35% and AAK to 7.44%.

[greyfriar]

This appears to be a niche interest, good work bringing it to our wider awareness Georg

[The Bishop]

Much more obscure elections than this have been covered on here

[Deleted]

Feb 14, 2021 18:28:03 GMT Georg Ebner said:

Surprisingly huge participation of the Serbs in the north (despite 20 MPs being reserved for them anyWay):

I have seen it hypothesised that some Serbs turned out to vote for 'moderate' Kosovo Albanian parties to counter the anticipated VV landslide...

[Georg Ebner]

Feb 15, 2021 11:52:48 GMT @nw12398 said:

Feb 14, 2021 18:28:03 GMT Georg Ebner said:

Surprisingly huge participation of the Serbs in the north (despite 20 MPs being reserved for them anyWay):

I have seen it hypothesised that some Serbs turned out to vote for 'moderate' Kosovo Albanian parties to counter the anticipated VV landslide...

20 seats are reserved for national minorities.

[Antiochian]

Many thanks Georg for your coverage.... Kosovo matters....

[Deleted]

Feb 15, 2021 23:50:41 GMT Georg Ebner said:

Feb 15, 2021 11:52:48 GMT @nw12398 said:

I have seen it hypothesised that some Serbs turned out to vote for 'moderate' Kosovo Albanian parties to counter the anticipated VV landslide...

20 seats are reserved for national minorities.

As I understand it (and Article 64 of the constitution seems to agree www.kqz-ks.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/CONSTITUTION_OF_THE_REPUBLIC_OF_KOSOVO.pdf), those seats are reserved for parties representing national minorities, but there aren't separate electoral rolls (unlike Maori seats in NZ, for example). The increased turnout in Serb majority municipalities coincided with a decrease in votes for Serb parties.