Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Feb 10, 2021 17:05:11 GMT
NORTH LANARKSHIRE UA; Fortissat (Ind elected as SNP resigned)
Candidates:
CALLAGHAN, Ben (Conservative)
COLE, John Arthur Henry (Liberal Democrat)
DAVIDSON, Kyle (Green)
KELLY, Peter (Labour)
QUINN, Sarah (SNP)
WILSON, Neil (UKIP)
Sept 17by: Lab 1420; A Better Britain – Unionist Party 858; SNP 761; Con 424; Ind 184; Grn 24; UKIP 18 (Lab gain from Con)
2017: Lab 1477, 363; SNP 1016, 449; Con 670; NO Referendum Maintain Union Pro-Brexit 559; Ind 509;
The ward is the SE corner of North Lanarkshire, taking in Shotts, Dykehead and part of Newmains. The 2017 boundary changes were relatively minor, taking in a bit more territory around Newmains.
2012:
2012: Lab 983, 982; Ind 981; SNP 695, 529; Con 111
2007: Lab 1596, 1125; Ind 1529, SNP 1396
Since the last attempt to run this in November, the Lib Dem has disappeared from the notice of poll.
So the ward went from an election where the top candidate didn’t get elected to one where the bottom candidate did. The Independent councillor from 2007 and 2012 was the unsuccessful indy in both 2017 elections. Kyle Davidson stood here for the Greens in the last by-election.
Current Council: Lab 30; SNP 29; Ind 8; Con 8; 2 vacancies
NORTH LANARKSHIRE UA; Thorniewood (SNP resigned)
Candidates:
AJALA, Oyebola (Conservative)
BUDD, Joseph (Independent)
CUNNINGTON, Eve (SNP)
GARDNER, Daryl (UKIP)
LOUGHRAN, Helen (Labour)
McGOWAN, Rosemary (Green)
ROBB, Colin (Liberal Democrat)
Sept 19by: Lab 1362; SNP 1202; Con 296; LD 168; Grn 46
2017: Lab 1568, 786; SNP 1460, 351; Con 519
Since the last attempt to run this in November, the Lib Dem has disappeared from the notice of poll.
And this is the South West corner of the authority. The 2017 boundary changes resulted in the ward losing a considerable chunk on it’s Eastern side, but in all 3 elections under STV Thorniewood has elected 2 Labour and 1 SNP councillor, although in July 2015 the SNP held a seat in a by-election on a 12% swing from Labour.
The Lib Dem and the Green stood here in the by-election last year. The UKIP candidate stood in the last Fortissat by-election.
Current Council: Lab 30; SNP 29; Ind 8; Con 8; 2 vacancies
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Feb 10, 2021 17:10:21 GMT
Just a quick note to say that the above is largely a cut and paste from the thread when the elections were previously scheduled.
Unfortunately, I started the year by slipping on the ice and smashing my (dominant) right wrist up pretty badly. It's now healing with two metal plates in place, but still very lacking in movement, so everything isbeing done left-handed. I will try to put up the by-election previews, but apologies if they are either briefer or more typo strewn than normal.
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Post by markgoodair on Feb 10, 2021 20:05:54 GMT
Do we know why the Liberal l Democrat candidates have dropped out ?
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Post by froome on Feb 10, 2021 20:52:33 GMT
Just a quick note to say that the above is largely a cut and paste from the thread when the elections were previously scheduled. Unfortunately, I started the year by slipping on the ice and smashing my (dominant) right wrist up pretty badly. It's now healing with two metal plates in place, but still very lacking in movement, so everything isbeing done left-handed. I will try to put up the by-election previews, but apologies if they are either briefer or more typo strewn than normal. Very sorry to hear that Tony Otim. I hope you fully recover soon. Two of my friends, separately, have broken bones in falls this year, one on ice and the other slipping on wet leaves walking down a steep hill. Both have spent the last month laid up mostly immobile. I just hope their houses are nice and warm! |
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Eastwood
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Post by Eastwood on Feb 12, 2021 23:20:50 GMT
So one of the former councillors here is an acquaintance of mine (and Facebook friend no less). He stated back when the by-elections were last run that he wasn't going to vote, but if any endorsements appear this time around I shall let you all know.
Last I saw he was flirting with Action for Independence but no candidate here obviously.
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Post by MacShimidh on Feb 14, 2021 19:01:11 GMT
Wouldn't be too surprising if Fortissat ends up being UKIP's best result in a while. This was the ward which gave the British Unionist Party 23% at the last by-election in 2017, and as they're not standing this time, UKIP are the next best thing for those who are that way inclined.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Feb 15, 2021 13:08:12 GMT
Wouldn't be too surprising if Fortissat ends up being UKIP's best result in a while. This was the ward which gave the British Unionist Party 23% at the last by-election in 2017, and as they're not standing this time, UKIP are the next best thing for those who are that way inclined. It's possible, but given that it's UKIP I wouldn't put money on it... |
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Post by robert1 on Feb 26, 2021 10:18:43 GMT
After all these months, (if we are lucky), only 7 more days and the odd hour or so and we can all happily return to analysing by-election results from places we have never visited. Bliss
BTW Isn't anyone going to open a thread on the Lord Speaker's election? I won't comment-not in public.
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Post by markgoodair on Feb 26, 2021 19:07:41 GMT
We can see if this weeks events will effect the support for the SNP .
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Post by robert1 on Feb 26, 2021 19:37:24 GMT
Not sure the extent to which last day or so will affect matters. Many votes will already have been cast by post.
Sadly, since we have no by-elections as a baseline for comparison, it will be difficult to judge what influence recent days will have had.
New Scottish Labour leader tomorrow-impact?
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Eastwood
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Post by Eastwood on Feb 27, 2021 14:40:01 GMT
We can see if this weeks events will effect the support for the SNP . To be honest if you're voting SNP in Lanarkshire then you're already used to vicious factional infighting at a level well ahead of Sturgeon vs Salmond. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 27, 2021 16:20:52 GMT
We can see if this weeks events will effect the support for the SNP . To be honest if you're voting SNP in Lanarkshire then you're already used to vicious factional infighting at a level well ahead of Sturgeon vs Salmond. FTFY |
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Post by robert1 on Feb 28, 2021 17:01:28 GMT
Could Mr Sarwar have a successful first week as leader?!
Given that there have been by-elections previously in both wards we will be able to compare turnout and the split between postal and in person votes.
North Lanarkshire is however also one of a bloc of authorities in the central belt from Glasgow-Fife and East Lothian through Edinburgh where most are still seeing a rise in 7 day infection (coronavirus.data.gov.uk) and where case levels are well above the UK average. It will only be speculation whether this will also hit turnout but I'm sure the difficulty of campaigning will.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 4, 2021 22:50:41 GMT
A question not asked for nearly a year: Are they counting tonight?
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 4, 2021 22:56:23 GMT
A question not asked for nearly a year: Are they counting tonight? Was that a Presley single? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 4, 2021 22:56:44 GMT
A question not asked for nearly a year: Are they counting tonight? I can't see anything about it from any of the people who have tweeted about the election so I assume not |
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Mar 4, 2021 23:14:00 GMT
No doubt corona will be used as another excuse by many authorities to do next day counts. So if we add a day across the board, that means Tower Hamlets's results for the London Assembly will be out on May 12th.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 4, 2021 23:15:43 GMT
No doubt corona will be used as another excuse by many authorities to do next day counts. So if we add a day across the board, that means Tower Hamlets's results for the London Assembly will be out on May 12th. But which year? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 4, 2021 23:41:37 GMT
SNP candidate for Thorniewood confirms that count is tomorrow
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peterl
Green
Congratulations President Trump
Posts: 8,473
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Post by peterl on Mar 4, 2021 23:48:16 GMT
2pm. Lazy. The next morning is one thing, but why wait till the middle of the afternoon to start?
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