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Post by londonseal80 on Mar 30, 2023 15:08:52 GMT
The sites predictions are utter bobbins tbh. Tories holding both Sutton seats from the Lib Dems (where they have history) but losing Woking, Epsom and Ewell and Reigate to Labour - seats that Labour have never historically won and no local representation for 15 years in the latter.
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Post by batman on Mar 30, 2023 15:17:17 GMT
That would be ridiculous. It's inconceivable that the Tories would go down to a landslide defeat & hold on to Carshalton & Wallington in particular.
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Post by londonseal80 on Mar 30, 2023 15:43:04 GMT
Very much - for the record I think the Lib Dems will take both Carshalton and Wallington and Sutton and Cheam but not with huge majorities. Woking could also go Lib Dem, along with three other Surrey seats. Epsom and Ewell will be a Tory Hold but they maybe down to 4,000 majority with Labour second (the Lib Dems have much better targets in South East), Reigate slightly bigger majority but maybe the Green Party in second. I will do better predictions when the GE happens and whenever/if the boundaries are amended by then.
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graham
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,350
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Post by graham on Mar 30, 2023 19:45:25 GMT
That would be ridiculous. It's inconceivable that the Tories would go down to a landslide defeat & hold on to Carshalton & Wallington in particular. The Tories would be helped by a Labour revival there similar to what happened in Portsmouth South. Tom Brake's decision not to stand again may make that more likely.
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Post by michaelarden on Mar 31, 2023 0:26:43 GMT
Have they made further predictions since Feb 2021?
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