Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 27, 2013 19:43:06 GMT
(unfortunately)
LD 15000
UKIP 13000
C 12000
Lab 5000
Oth 2000
I have been surprised how poorly Labour seem to be doing, despite their controversial candidate. The irony is that the result could turn out to be a godsend to Ed Miliband, as he sits back and watches the Right of British politics becoming increasingly fragmented a la Labour and the SDP in the 1980s. I can only hope it does not come to that.
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Post by marksenior on Feb 27, 2013 19:57:36 GMT
(unfortunately) LD 15000 UKIP 13000 C 12000 Lab 5000 Oth 2000 I have been surprised how poorly Labour seem to be doing, despite their controversial candidate. The irony is that the result could turn out to be a godsend to Ed Miliband, as he sits back and watches the Right of British politics becoming increasingly fragmented a la Labour and the SDP in the 1980s. I can only hope it does not come to that. I may be wrong but I doubt turnout will be as high as that . |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 27, 2013 20:01:00 GMT
Ladbrokes forecast is LD 33 Con 29 UKIP 25 Lab 11 Others 2 What was the Ladbrokes forecast for Bradford West? |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Feb 27, 2013 20:09:06 GMT
(unfortunately) LD 15000 UKIP 13000 C 12000 Lab 5000 Oth 2000 I have been surprised how poorly Labour seem to be doing, despite their controversial candidate. The irony is that the result could turn out to be a godsend to Ed Miliband, as he sits back and watches the Right of British politics becoming increasingly fragmented a la Labour and the SDP in the 1980s. I can only hope it does not come to that. I may be wrong but I doubt turnout will be as high as that . At the beginning I thought it might be somewhere between 50-55%, but I have changed my mind. I have a hunch that it will be above average because of the high-profile nature of the campaign. Even the BBC are doing an Election Special, apparently. In Crewe & Nantwich in 2008, the turnout was barely lower than it had been in 2005. I have sometimes wondered if 88-year old Sir David Price, the MP for Eastleigh between 1955 and 1992, must be thinking to himself "All this palaver could have been avoided if only I'd retired in 1997." |
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Post by marksenior on Feb 27, 2013 20:50:34 GMT
Ladbrokes forecast is LD 33 Con 29 UKIP 25 Lab 11 Others 2 What was the Ladbrokes forecast for Bradford West? I think this is the first time they have run a market like this . |
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Post by Andrew_S on Feb 27, 2013 22:46:03 GMT
Electorate is 79,004.
(My prediction was for 43,914 total votes which would be a turnout of 55.58%).
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johnloony
Conservative
Posts: 24,532
Member is Online
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Post by johnloony on Feb 28, 2013 2:46:24 GMT
LD 15116
Con 13483
UKIP 7370
Lab 5024
ED 894
Stupple 711
NHA 360
Chr P 167
TUSC 125
Others 432
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