Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,906
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 22, 2020 20:41:36 GMT
If it goes ahead: ABERDEENSHIRE UA; Ellon and District (SNP resigned after being elected MP for Gordon). Candidates: BENNETT, John David (Labour) CRAWLEY, John Paul (Conservative) KENNEDY, Peter Alexander (Green) MASON, Trevor Booth (Liberal Democrat) McALLISTER, Louise (SNP) 2017: Con 2258; SNP 987, 768; LD 1087; Lab 415 (The boundaried for this ward were unchanged in the 2017 changes): 2012: SNP 1644, 474; Con 705; LD 689; Lab 399; Ind 300 2007: SNP 2458; LD 1407, 524; Con 872; Lab 456; Ind 352 Current Council: 18 Con; 18 SNP; 14 LD; 9 Aligned Independent (incl 3 ex-Con); 3 Independent; 2 Democratic Independent and Green (1 Grn, 1 Ind); 2 Social Democratic Group (both ex-SNP); 1 Lab; 1 Unaligned (a thoroughly disreputable individual  ); 1 Unaligned Independent (ex-Con); 1 vacancy |
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Post by samdwebber on Oct 1, 2020 14:15:56 GMT
This one still going ahead then like Orkney and Eilean Siar?
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Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 14, 2020 14:08:42 GMT
Will be interesting to see what happens in this seat. If our vote drops to around 35% I’d say we were on around 22% nationally. If the SNP vote is north of 45% I’d say they are close to 50% nationally.
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,746
Member is Online
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Post by Chris from Brum on Oct 16, 2020 9:57:12 GMT
Well, it happened yesterday, so I presume counting is ongoing now?
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
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Post by timmullen1 on Oct 16, 2020 9:59:17 GMT
Well, it happened yesterday, so I presume counting is ongoing now? BBC Scotland’s Davy Shanks Tweeted 45 minutes ago that the ballot boxes had arrived at Woodhill House for the count. |
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Post by robbienicoll on Oct 16, 2020 11:12:25 GMT
SNP have won, 33.7% turnout according to Northsound.
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Post by robbienicoll on Oct 16, 2020 11:21:53 GMT
SNP - 1683 (42.4%)
Con - 1658 (41.7%)
Lib Dem - 405 (10.2%)
Lab - 114 (2.9%)
Green - 112 (2.8%)
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Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 16, 2020 11:22:51 GMT
SNP - 1683 Con - 1658 Lib Dem - 405 Lab - 114 Green - 112 Those First preferences Robbie? |
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Post by robbienicoll on Oct 16, 2020 11:29:07 GMT
SNP - 1683 Con - 1658 Lib Dem - 405 Lab - 114 Green - 112 Those First preferences Robbie? Yes, I'm updating the percentages just now but it must have gone to the final round as Labour and Greens wouldn't have been enough to take the SNP over 50%. |
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Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 16, 2020 11:31:11 GMT
Those First preferences Robbie? Yes, I'm updating the percentages just now but it must have gone to the final round as Labour and Greens wouldn't have been enough to take the SNP over 50%. Will be interesting to see the break down, with so few votes in it on First preference I'm surprised the SNP nabbed it. |
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Post by andrewp on Oct 16, 2020 11:35:40 GMT
SNP - 1683 (42.4%) Con - 1658 (41.7%) Lib Dem - 405 (10.2%) Lab - 114 (2.9%) Green - 112 (2.8%) Changes from 2017 SNP +10.6 Con +0.8 LD -9.5 Lab -4.7 |
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Post by andrewp on Oct 16, 2020 11:36:35 GMT
Yes, I'm updating the percentages just now but it must have gone to the final round as Labour and Greens wouldn't have been enough to take the SNP over 50%. Tory slippage in Scotland since 2017 high point. Their share actually went up slightly. |
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Post by No Offence Alan on Oct 16, 2020 11:38:22 GMT
SNP - 1683 (42.4%) Con - 1658 (41.7%) Lib Dem - 405 (10.2%) Lab - 114 (2.9%) Green - 112 (2.8%) On those figures, the Cons could safely field 2 candidates in the all-ups in 2022, with every expectation of gaining a seat off the LDs. |
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Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 16, 2020 11:47:54 GMT
SNP - 1683 (42.4%) Con - 1658 (41.7%) Lib Dem - 405 (10.2%) Lab - 114 (2.9%) Green - 112 (2.8%) Changes from 2017 SNP +10.6 Con +0.8 LD -9.5 Lab -4.7 Genuinely was expecting a slight drop in the blue vote, clear that a fair chunk of labour and Lib Dem vote went straight over to the SNP. So the fact we are up by almost a percent is I suppose some welcome news. |
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Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,460
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Post by Merseymike on Oct 16, 2020 11:51:46 GMT
Changes from 2017 SNP +10.6 Con +0.8 LD -9.5 Lab -4.7 Genuinely was expecting a slight drop in the blue vote, clear that a fair chunk of labour and Lib Dem vote went straight over to the SNP. So the fact we are up by almost a percent is I suppose some welcome news. Given the recent rise in support for independence and the fact this is clearly a two horse race, it's quite a logical result |
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Oct 16, 2020 12:14:31 GMT
Quietly pleased with this result. It would've been better to win, but a good omen for next year. With the SNP reigniting the independence question, that will also have, and will, play(ed) into our hands.
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Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 16, 2020 12:41:37 GMT
Transfer here
/photo/1
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Post by liverpoolliberal on Oct 16, 2020 12:50:03 GMT
Looks like the transfers broke the following way:
Green transfers increased the SNP lead marginally
Labour and Lib Dem transfers essentially split evenly, with a very fractional increase for SNP
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Post by jollyroger93 on Oct 16, 2020 13:14:36 GMT
Looks like the transfers broke the following way: Green transfers increased the SNP lead marginally Labour and Lib Dem transfers essentially split evenly, with a very fractional increase for SNP The fact it split even is not necessary a bad thing for us, but the SNP will be encouraged by that, especially in the central belt. |
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Post by listener on Oct 16, 2020 13:23:56 GMT
Does anyone have the first preference votes? The votes recorded above are after the final transfers at stage 5. Percentage changes are not meaningful, unless we compare first preference votes yesterday with the first preference votes in 2017.
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); 1 Unaligned Independent (ex-Con); 1 vacancy
