Windsor May 17, 2020 11:27:21 GMT
Post by 𝐍𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐡 𝐖𝐞𝐬𝐭 on May 17, 2020 11:27:21 GMT
Agreed. But now I've set out the problem, I have come up with a solution. It's over in Pitchfork Bait. Oh yes.
Indeed. The 7.5% threshold solves all these problems (and many other elsewhere)
- Portsmouth has 134,892 electors (1.96) and 14 wards. There is no combination of 8 wards that is within quota; so one will inevitably end up with two small seats
- Southampton has 148,179 electors (2.15) and 16 wards. So what one is trying to do here is lose just one ward and have a 7-ward seat and an 8-ward seat. This is actually very difficult, as the 8 smallest wards are located in a north-south band straight down the middle of the authority, with the 2nd, 3rd, and 5th largest in the west and the 1st, 4th, and 6th-8th largest in the east. I have found an absolutely ludicrous pattern that allows a 7+8 split (Coxford, Redbridge, Millbrook, Freemantle, Bargate, Woolston, and Sholing as the 7 for 66,604 (0.97), and everything else but Bitterne as the 8 at 72,002 (1.04)), but still that only takes the two Southampton constituencies up to 2.01 in total.
- The New Forest at 137,973 (2.00) has two existing seats within quota, but geographically difficult to combine with anything else to take them up to the 2.06 we need them to get up to to not fall behind.
- The existing Aldershot constituency is within quota at 67,947 (0.98) once one brings it into line with current ward boundaries in Hart district. The wards in that district are all large enough that I cannot see any way of making Aldershot larger without crossing the upper limit.
- The Basingstoke constituency is oversize and needs to lose a ward. Let's go for Basing as the most plausible option. This leaves Basingstoke at 71,402 (1.04). Sounding better, but...
- Once one takes away these eight constituencies, one is left with 722,268 electors to split between 10 constituencies. The upper bound is 72,431. Good luck.