Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 26, 2020 18:37:28 GMT
As the name would suggest - this large and mostly rural Southern Uplands constituency covers the town of Dumfries and the region of Galloway - which combines the historic County of Wigtown and the Stewartry of Kirkcudbright. The landscape of this constituency is dominated by farmland and small port towns along the attractive coastline. The second largest settlement in the constituency is Stranraer, with nearby Cairnryan serving as an important ferry connection to Northern Ireland. Other notable settlements include the aforementioned Wigtown, known for being "Scotland's National Book Town" and for the infamous Wigtown Martyrs, as well as Isle of Whithorn, known for it's connection to the ancient St Ninian.
The current constituency was created in 2005, combining the entirety of the former Galloway & Upper Nithsdale constituency with a geographically small but populous section of the Dumfries constituency. The Galloway section of the constituency has been somewhat over-represented at the Scotland office, with two MPs having served as Secretary of State for Scotland since the 1990s, and one as Shadow Secretary of State.
Upon the creation of the constituency, it was contested by the sitting Conservative MP for Galloway & Upper Nithsdale - Peter Duncan, and Labour MP for Dumfries - Russell Brown. While it was suggested that the constituency was notionally Conservative - in the event - Brown was narrowly victorious over Duncan. This was the first time in history that Galloway had elected a Labour MP, having traditionally been a Conservative/SNP marginal area. Analysis of the results would suggest that the significant SNP vote collapsed in Brown's favour, coalescing around Labour as the anti-Conservative option.
Duncan once again sought a return to Westminster in 2010 - however on this occasion Russell Brown significantly increased his majority - perhaps now benefiting from incumbency across the entirety of the new constituency. By 2015, Labour's fortunes in Dumfries & Galloway and across Scotland as a whole were failing, and like almost every other Labour constituency in Scotland - it fell in the SNP landslide. By comparison, the swing against the Conservatives was small - as a result, this was the only constituency which Labour lost in 2015 in which they fell to third.
However, as with the two occasions when the SNP have gained Dumfries & Galloway's predecessor constituencies, they were unable to defend it from the Conservatives who comfortably gained the constituency in 2017 amid a significant increase in Scottish support. In 2019, the Conservatives held the seat with a reduced majority, as the Labour vote share continued to collapse in the SNP's favour.
The Conservatives perform most strongly in Kirkcudbrightshire, while the deprived areas of Wigtownshire such as Glenluce were once the best in the constituency for the SNP - however in recent years, rural Wigtownshire has trended to the Conservatives. The SNP's strength in the constituency now lies primarily in the urban areas of Dumfries and Stranraer.
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Post by heslingtonian on Apr 30, 2020 16:05:31 GMT
As the name would suggest - this large and mostly rural Southern Uplands constituency covers the town of Dumfries and the region of Galloway - which combines the historic County of Wigtown and the Stewartry of Kirkcudbright. The landscape of this constituency is dominated by farmland and small port towns along the attractive coastline. The second largest settlement in the constituency is Stranraer, with nearby Cairnryan serving as an important ferry connection to Northern Ireland. Other notable settlements include the aforementioned Wigtown, known for being "Scotland's National Book Town" and for the infamous Wigtown Martyrs, as well as Isle of Whithorn, known for it's connection to the ancient St Ninian. The current constituency was created in 2005, combining the entirety of the former Galloway & Upper Nithsdale constituency with a geographically small but populous section of the Dumfries constituency. The Galloway section of the constituency has been somewhat over-represented at the Scotland office, with two MPs having served as Secretary of State for Scotland since the 1990s, and one as Shadow Secretary of State. Upon the creation of the constituency, it was contested by the sitting Conservative MP for Galloway & Upper Nithsdale - Peter Duncan, and Labour MP for Dumfries - Russell Brown. While it was suggested that the constituency was notionally Conservative - in the event - Brown was narrowly victorious over Duncan. This was the first time in history that Galloway had elected a Labour MP, having traditionally been a Conservative/SNP marginal area. Analysis of the results would suggest that the significant SNP vote collapsed in Brown's favour, coalescing around Labour as the anti-Conservative option. Duncan once again sought a return to Westminster in 2010 - however on this occasion Russell Brown significantly increased his majority - perhaps now benefiting from incumbency across the entirety of the new constituency. By 2015, Labour's fortunes in Dumfries & Galloway and across Scotland as a whole were failing, and like almost every other Labour constituency in Scotland - it fell in the SNP landslide. By comparison, the swing against the Conservatives was small - as a result, this was the only constituency which Labour lost in 2015 in which they fell to third. However, as with the two occasions when the SNP have gained Dumfries & Galloway's predecessor constituencies, they were unable to defend it from the Conservatives who comfortably gained the constituency in 2017 amid a significant increase in Scottish support. In 2019, the Conservatives held the seat with a reduced majority, as the Labour vote share continued to collapse in the SNP's favour. The Conservatives perform most strongly in Kirkcudbrightshire, while the deprived areas of Wigtownshire such as Glenluce were once the best in the constituency for the SNP - however in recent years, rural Wigtownshire has trended to the Conservatives. The SNP's strength in the constituency now lies primarily in the urban areas of Dumfries and Stranraer. I would expect there’s a fair working class pro-Union vote in Dumfries town which used to be Labour in the days of Russell Brown but has since migrated to the Conservatives. Rangers vote and all that. |
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DrW
Conservative
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Post by DrW on May 2, 2020 12:33:57 GMT
As the name would suggest - this large and mostly rural Southern Uplands constituency covers the town of Dumfries and the region of Galloway - which combines the historic County of Wigtown and the Stewartry of Kirkcudbright. The landscape of this constituency is dominated by farmland and small port towns along the attractive coastline. The second largest settlement in the constituency is Stranraer, with nearby Cairnryan serving as an important ferry connection to Northern Ireland. Other notable settlements include the aforementioned Wigtown, known for being "Scotland's National Book Town" and for the infamous Wigtown Martyrs, as well as Isle of Whithorn, known for it's connection to the ancient St Ninian. The current constituency was created in 2005, combining the entirety of the former Galloway & Upper Nithsdale constituency with a geographically small but populous section of the Dumfries constituency. The Galloway section of the constituency has been somewhat over-represented at the Scotland office, with two MPs having served as Secretary of State for Scotland since the 1990s, and one as Shadow Secretary of State. Upon the creation of the constituency, it was contested by the sitting Conservative MP for Galloway & Upper Nithsdale - Peter Duncan, and Labour MP for Dumfries - Russell Brown. While it was suggested that the constituency was notionally Conservative - in the event - Brown was narrowly victorious over Duncan. This was the first time in history that Galloway had elected a Labour MP, having traditionally been a Conservative/SNP marginal area. Analysis of the results would suggest that the significant SNP vote collapsed in Brown's favour, coalescing around Labour as the anti-Conservative option. Duncan once again sought a return to Westminster in 2010 - however on this occasion Russell Brown significantly increased his majority - perhaps now benefiting from incumbency across the entirety of the new constituency. By 2015, Labour's fortunes in Dumfries & Galloway and across Scotland as a whole were failing, and like almost every other Labour constituency in Scotland - it fell in the SNP landslide. By comparison, the swing against the Conservatives was small - as a result, this was the only constituency which Labour lost in 2015 in which they fell to third. However, as with the two occasions when the SNP have gained Dumfries & Galloway's predecessor constituencies, they were unable to defend it from the Conservatives who comfortably gained the constituency in 2017 amid a significant increase in Scottish support. In 2019, the Conservatives held the seat with a reduced majority, as the Labour vote share continued to collapse in the SNP's favour. The Conservatives perform most strongly in Kirkcudbrightshire, while the deprived areas of Wigtownshire such as Glenluce were once the best in the constituency for the SNP - however in recent years, rural Wigtownshire has trended to the Conservatives. The SNP's strength in the constituency now lies primarily in the urban areas of Dumfries and Stranraer. I would expect there’s a fair working class pro-Union vote in Dumfries town which used to be Labour in the days of Russell Brown but has since migrated to the Conservatives. Rangers vote and all that. Such voters also existed in Galloway - I encountered a fair few of them during the 2014 referendum in the smaller towns. A number of them no doubt will never vote anything but Labour but some will have moved to the Tories. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 1, 2021 14:01:10 GMT
2011 Census
Age 65+ 21.8% 61/650
Owner-occupied 63.6% 413/650
Private rented 13.5% 368/650
Social rented 19.9% 225/650
White 98.7% 25/650
Black 0.1% 590/650
Asian 0.7% 580/650
Managerial & professional 24.4%
Routine & Semi-routine 33.5%
Employed in agriculture, forestry and fishing 8.5% 4/650
Degree level 22.0% 434/650
No qualifications 32.3% 53/650
Students 5.0% 633/650
2019 General Election: Dumfries and Galloway
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Alister Jack 22,678 44.1 +0.8
SNP Richard Arkless 20,873 40.6 +8.2
Labour Ted Thompson 4,745 9.2 -11.7
Liberal Democrats McNabb Laurie 3,133 6.1 +3.7
C Majority 1,805 3.5 -7.6
Turnout 51,429 68.7 -0.9
Conservative hold
Swing 3.7 C to SNP
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Clark
Forum Regular
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Post by Clark on Sept 15, 2022 11:17:48 GMT
As the name would suggest - this large and mostly rural Southern Uplands constituency covers the town of Dumfries and the region of Galloway - which combines the historic County of Wigtown and the Stewartry of Kirkcudbright. The landscape of this constituency is dominated by farmland and small port towns along the attractive coastline. The second largest settlement in the constituency is Stranraer, with nearby Cairnryan serving as an important ferry connection to Northern Ireland. Other notable settlements include the aforementioned Wigtown, known for being "Scotland's National Book Town" and for the infamous Wigtown Martyrs, as well as Isle of Whithorn, known for it's connection to the ancient St Ninian. The current constituency was created in 2005, combining the entirety of the former Galloway & Upper Nithsdale constituency with a geographically small but populous section of the Dumfries constituency. The Galloway section of the constituency has been somewhat over-represented at the Scotland office, with two MPs having served as Secretary of State for Scotland since the 1990s, and one as Shadow Secretary of State. Upon the creation of the constituency, it was contested by the sitting Conservative MP for Galloway & Upper Nithsdale - Peter Duncan, and Labour MP for Dumfries - Russell Brown. While it was suggested that the constituency was notionally Conservative - in the event - Brown was narrowly victorious over Duncan. This was the first time in history that Galloway had elected a Labour MP, having traditionally been a Conservative/SNP marginal area. Analysis of the results would suggest that the significant SNP vote collapsed in Brown's favour, coalescing around Labour as the anti-Conservative option. Duncan once again sought a return to Westminster in 2010 - however on this occasion Russell Brown significantly increased his majority - perhaps now benefiting from incumbency across the entirety of the new constituency. By 2015, Labour's fortunes in Dumfries & Galloway and across Scotland as a whole were failing, and like almost every other Labour constituency in Scotland - it fell in the SNP landslide. By comparison, the swing against the Conservatives was small - as a result, this was the only constituency which Labour lost in 2015 in which they fell to third. However, as with the two occasions when the SNP have gained Dumfries & Galloway's predecessor constituencies, they were unable to defend it from the Conservatives who comfortably gained the constituency in 2017 amid a significant increase in Scottish support. In 2019, the Conservatives held the seat with a reduced majority, as the Labour vote share continued to collapse in the SNP's favour. The Conservatives perform most strongly in Kirkcudbrightshire, while the deprived areas of Wigtownshire such as Glenluce were once the best in the constituency for the SNP - however in recent years, rural Wigtownshire has trended to the Conservatives. The SNP's strength in the constituency now lies primarily in the urban areas of Dumfries and Stranraer. I would expect there’s a fair working class pro-Union vote in Dumfries town which used to be Labour in the days of Russell Brown but has since migrated to the Conservatives. Rangers vote and all that. I've never really got "the Rangers vote". A lot of them are so deluded and fanatical that they probably vote Tory just because of their beloved football club even if it's really against their own personal interests to do so. But interestingly, Glasgow Central (Govan) where Ibrox is situated usually has one of the lowest Tory shares in the country. |
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Sept 15, 2022 21:04:38 GMT
I would expect there’s a fair working class pro-Union vote in Dumfries town which used to be Labour in the days of Russell Brown but has since migrated to the Conservatives. Rangers vote and all that. I've never really got "the Rangers vote". A lot of them are so deluded and fanatical that they probably vote Tory just because of their beloved football club even if it's really against their own personal interests to do so. But interestingly, Glasgow Central (Govan) where Ibrox is situated usually has one of the lowest Tory shares in the country. Most Rangers fans I've met don't actually live in Glesga itself though - more places like Helensburgh, Fort Bill, Airdrie etc. I'm sure there's a fair few in the city, but the die hard Tory ones tend to live out in the country from what I've seen. |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Sept 15, 2022 23:03:23 GMT
I would expect there’s a fair working class pro-Union vote in Dumfries town which used to be Labour in the days of Russell Brown but has since migrated to the Conservatives. Rangers vote and all that. I've never really got "the Rangers vote". A lot of them are so deluded and fanatical that they probably vote Tory just because of their beloved football club even if it's really against their own personal interests to do so. But interestingly, Glasgow Central (Govan) where Ibrox is situated usually has one of the lowest Tory shares in the country. The Rangers support is very widespread in the Greater Glasgow area, the area Ibrox is in is meaningless in that sense |
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DrW
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Post by DrW on Sept 16, 2022 8:46:46 GMT
I would expect there’s a fair working class pro-Union vote in Dumfries town which used to be Labour in the days of Russell Brown but has since migrated to the Conservatives. Rangers vote and all that. I've never really got "the Rangers vote". A lot of them are so deluded and fanatical that they probably vote Tory just because of their beloved football club even if it's really against their own personal interests to do so. But interestingly, Glasgow Central (Govan) where Ibrox is situated usually has one of the lowest Tory shares in the country. This isn’t correct. “Rangers vote” is a convenient shorthand for diehard Unionist voters, usually working class, and for a range of cultural reasons. Supporting Rangers is not the only or the most significant factor. |
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Clark
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Post by Clark on Sept 16, 2022 10:50:38 GMT
The Tory among Celtic fans is virtually zero. Always very Labour and I guess mostly SNP nowadays.
I just actually recalled a Scottish Cup Final from the 90's where Iain Lang was in the box and was roundly booed by the majority Rangers fans in the stadium. I think back then and before, Rangers and Celtic fans were both heavily Labour.
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Clark
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Post by Clark on Sept 16, 2022 10:57:51 GMT
I've never really got "the Rangers vote". A lot of them are so deluded and fanatical that they probably vote Tory just because of their beloved football club even if it's really against their own personal interests to do so. But interestingly, Glasgow Central (Govan) where Ibrox is situated usually has one of the lowest Tory shares in the country. Most Rangers fans I've met don't actually live in Glesga itself though - more places like Helensburgh, Fort Bill, Airdrie etc. I'm sure there's a fair few in the city, but the die hard Tory ones tend to live out in the country from what I've seen. Yes, Larkhall, Airdrie are good examples. A Scotish Unionist has stood in Airdrie & Shotts on several occasions - pretty much obtaining a vote similar to what a CON candidate would've achieved if memory serves me correctly And of course Bridgeton just outside Parkhead ironically enough! |
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Clark
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Post by Clark on Sept 16, 2022 10:58:24 GMT
I've never really got "the Rangers vote". A lot of them are so deluded and fanatical that they probably vote Tory just because of their beloved football club even if it's really against their own personal interests to do so. But interestingly, Glasgow Central (Govan) where Ibrox is situated usually has one of the lowest Tory shares in the country. The Rangers support is very widespread in the Greater Glasgow area, the area Ibrox is in is meaningless in that sense I wouldn't say meaningless as it'll still be a heavy majority Rangers supporting area but I hear you. |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Sept 16, 2022 11:47:08 GMT
The Rangers support is very widespread in the Greater Glasgow area, the area Ibrox is in is meaningless in that sense I wouldn't say meaningless as it'll still be a heavy majority Rangers supporting area but I hear you. Larkhall is better to look at as far as a clear Rangers area goes, the constituencies that’s in as well as the council ward have seen a significant increase in the Tory vote since 2015 |
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Post by aidanthomson on Sept 17, 2022 11:39:34 GMT
I would expect there’s a fair working class pro-Union vote in Dumfries town which used to be Labour in the days of Russell Brown but has since migrated to the Conservatives. Rangers vote and all that. I've never really got "the Rangers vote". A lot of them are so deluded and fanatical that they probably vote Tory just because of their beloved football club even if it's really against their own personal interests to do so. But interestingly, Glasgow Central (Govan) where Ibrox is situated usually has one of the lowest Tory shares in the country. Govan ward itself has a sizeable Catholic minority who, one can assume, would probably not be Rangers fans (and therefore not Tory voters, or at least not Tory voters specifically because of a 'Rangers-based' unionism). In the 2011 census, the ward was 26.2% Catholic, while Glasgow City as a whole was 27.3% Catholic and Scotland 15.9%. (That wouldn't include people from a Catholic background who responded 'no religion'.) |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by john07 on Sept 30, 2022 20:19:52 GMT
The Tory among Celtic fans is virtually zero. Always very Labour and I guess mostly SNP nowadays. I just actually recalled a Scottish Cup Final from the 90's where Iain Lang was in the box and was roundly booed by the majority Rangers fans in the stadium. I think back then and before, Rangers and Celtic fans were both heavily Labour. Many of the Rangers' fans I have encountered have been SNP supporters. |
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