Merseymike
Independent
Don't vote. It only encourages them.
Posts: 37,167
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Post by Merseymike on Apr 25, 2020 13:19:37 GMT
I'm not really sure if you can use the results in Walsall North or Mansfield or wherever as 'proof' of anything, given that the 2019 was, well, a landslide. One of the things people are going to have to get used to is that the future is uncertain and that voting patterns are nothing like as stable as they were when they started following elections, and that they aren't about to suddenly return to stability. It is possible that the Conservatives will win here again next time; it is also possible that the constituency will see one of the worst defeats for an incumbent standing again for a major party in history. None of us know. Which, I think, is why if people are going to do these profiles, they are better off describing the nature of the constituency and all the little tendencies in it, rather than try to predict the future. While I agree with you with regard to these type of seats, the last election also displayed some continuing stability in certain areas too. I've just finished the 5 Liverpool seats and what characterises them all is that voting patterns there appear very stable indeed - and there are some equally stable Tory fiefdoms too, where its very unlikely that there will be a change of representation. This does suggest a much more varied selection of results overall, with seats not necessarily reflecting their social class makeup in their choice of party, but other factors also coming into play |
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Post by iang on Apr 25, 2020 15:56:19 GMT
I'm not really sure if you can use the results in Walsall North or Mansfield or wherever as 'proof' of anything, given that the 2019 was, well, a landslide. One of the things people are going to have to get used to is that the future is uncertain and that voting patterns are nothing like as stable as they were when they started following elections, and that they aren't about to suddenly return to stability. It is possible that the Conservatives will win here again next time; it is also possible that the constituency will see one of the worst defeats for an incumbent standing again for a major party in history. None of us know. Which, I think, is why if people are going to do these profiles, they are better off describing the nature of the constituency and all the little tendencies in it, rather than try to predict the future. I don't think I can be accused of trying to predict the future by concluding with some rhetorical questions |
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Post by Robert Waller on Apr 30, 2021 12:41:54 GMT
2011 Census
Owner-occupied 58.2% 504/650
Private rented 11.6% 484/650
Social rented 27.7% 75/650
White 68.1% 582/650
Black 6.2% 82/650
Asian 20.6% 44/650
Sikh 10.0% 8/650
Managerial & professional 19.1 %
Routine & Semi-routine 36.0%
Degree level 15.3% 624/650
No qualifications 35.3% 20/650
Students 7.7 % 245 /650
Age 65+ 16.5% 342/650
General Election 2019: West Bromwich East
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Nicola Richards 16,804 46.7 +8.5
Labour Ibrahim Dogus 15,211 42.3 -15.7
Brexit Party Christian Lucas 1,475 4.1
Liberal Democrats Andy Graham 1,313 3.6 +2.0
Green Mark Redding 627 1.7 +0.3
Independent George Galloway 489 1.4
Yeshua Colin Rankine 56 0.2
C Majority 1,593 4.4
Turnout 35,975 57.9 -3.4
Conservative gain from Labour
Swing 12.1 Lab to C
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