Merseymike
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Post by Merseymike on Apr 20, 2020 15:47:27 GMT
This is a very safe Labour seat. Dan Carden, its MP, hit the heights of 85.7%, dropping only to 84.7% in 2019. Yet, the seat was only gained by Labour from the Conservatives in 1964, with one previous period of Labour representation in 1945-50. The seat is certainly much larger, geographically, than it was in the 1950's, but all of its current constituted areas are safely Labour. The past influence of sectarianism on Liverpool politics should not be understimated. The constituency still has a church which was opened by the late Rev. Ian Paisley, and has direct links to the Northern Irish Free Presbyterians, and the area was certainly regarded as a former centre of strength for the Orange Order, which led to a Tory tradition which only really started to decline in electoral tems in 1974. While holding on to second place, the Tory percentage of just 9.9% does not suggest anything other than a residual position. The Tories actually lost their deposit in 2015
The seat is the old 'north end' of Liverpool - the wards of County, Anfield, Warbreck, Everton, Fazakerley and Clubmoor. It contains both of the football grounds for Everton and Liverpool FC, and is an overwhelmingly working class seat with a very low number of professional and managerial workers. The seat consists of largely terraced housing, particularly in County and Warbreck wards, with much more social housing in Clubmoor and Everton. Evidence of solid Victorian housing, with once middle class occupants, is present in both Anfield and County wards, but this is a classic example of a strongly white, working class seat where the Labour vote has remained solid as it has within much of the Liverpool City Region. Locally, the LibDems did win three of the current wards at least once (Warbreck, Anfield and County) , with each ward having three LibDem councillors until 2008. Their vote collapsed and they re-gained a single seat via a defection in County ward in 2018, but it is almost certain that they will lose it at the delayed election in 2021. The Clubmoor ward used to have a presence of the independent Liberal party, but evidence suggests that any national impact of any sort of Liberalism is very unlikely to revive. This is a safe Liverpool Labour constituency and Dan Carden will have this seat for as long as he wants it.
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Merseymike
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Post by Merseymike on Apr 20, 2020 21:02:52 GMT
I will work my way through the other Liverpool seats this week
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iang
Lib Dem
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Post by iang on Apr 22, 2020 20:45:35 GMT
Was it round this area that "Protestant Party" councillors were elected to the City Council up until the mid 60s?
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Post by finsobruce on Apr 22, 2020 20:54:01 GMT
Was it round this area that "Protestant Party" councillors were elected to the City Council up until the mid 60s?
Ah, Pastor Longbottom.
St Domingo and Netherfield wards - Conservatives didn't stand against them. Wound up in the 70s.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 22, 2020 20:55:14 GMT
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Merseymike
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Post by Merseymike on Apr 22, 2020 23:19:46 GMT
Both would now be in the area covered by Everton ward.
There have been two lots of house clearances - first the terraced slums when people were moved out to Kirkby and Skem but then the tower blocks which replaced them were pulled down too.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 23, 2020 7:46:39 GMT
It has an important legal case connected to it as well, with the Wallace murder of 1931.
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Merseymike
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Post by Merseymike on Apr 23, 2020 8:00:55 GMT
And of course the murder of James Bulger. I lived here at the time and it did cause a lot of collective anxiety.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 23, 2020 8:24:29 GMT
It has an important legal case connected to it as well, with the Wallace murder of 1931. Wallace's home in Wolverton Road is in Anfield ward, close to the edge of the seat, but Menlove Gardens East is presumably in Church ward in Wavertree. |
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Merseymike
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Post by Merseymike on Apr 23, 2020 8:27:22 GMT
It has an important legal case connected to it as well, with the Wallace murder of 1931. Wallace's home in Wolverton Road is in Anfield ward, close to the edge of the seat, but Menlove Gardens East is presumably in Church ward in Wavertree. It is indeed. I will do Wavertree, Central and Garston-Halewood as soon as I can (still online working!) |
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Apr 23, 2020 8:30:19 GMT
It has an important legal case connected to it as well, with the Wallace murder of 1931. Wallace's home in Wolverton Road is in Anfield ward, close to the edge of the seat, but Menlove Gardens East is presumably in Church ward in Wavertree. And in a further political twist, Wallace was a former Liberal agent. |
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Post by chorleyboy on Jun 19, 2020 19:13:45 GMT
They also contested the Kirkdale parliamentary constituency, which presumably lay in the northern section of this current constituency (capturing almost a quarter of the vote despite facing a Tory candidate). |
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Post by greenhert on Jun 19, 2020 20:57:42 GMT
They also contested the Kirkdale parliamentary constituency, which presumably lay in the northern section of this current constituency (capturing almost a quarter of the vote despite facing a Tory candidate). It did indeed, and another part was in what is now Liverpool Wavertree. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 20, 2020 0:01:09 GMT
They also contested the Kirkdale parliamentary constituency, which presumably lay in the northern section of this current constituency (capturing almost a quarter of the vote despite facing a Tory candidate). It did indeed, and another part was in what is now Liverpool Wavertree. You mean West Derby |
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Post by Robert Waller on Apr 2, 2021 9:12:58 GMT
2011 Census
Age 65+ 14.6% 489/650
Bad health 7.9% 10/650
Long term sick or disabled 10.3% 7/650
Lone parent with dependent children 13.0% 9/650
Owner-occupied 47.1% 592/650
Private rented 21.0% 107/650
Social rented 30.1% 53/650
White 95.1% 316/650
Black 1.1% 248/650
Asian 1.9% 372/650
Christian 78.3% 8/650
Managerial & professional 17.2%
Routine & Semi-routine 35.7%
Degree level 13.3% 644/650
No qualifications 36.5% 11/650
Students 8.2% 212/650
2021 Census
Owner occupied 45.4% 526/573
Private rented 24.7% 116/573
Social rented 29.9% 31/573
White 88.9%
Black 2.7%
Asian 3.9%
Christian 64.2% 7/650
Managerial & professional 18.6% 567/573
Routine & Semi-routine 32.2% 40/573
Degree level 22.3% 539/573
No qualifications 28.2% 14/573
General Election 2019: Liverpool Walton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Dan Carden 34,538 84.7 -1.0
Conservative Alex Phillips 4,018 9.9 +1.3
Green Ted Grant 814 2.0 +0.8
Liberal Democrats David Newman 756 1.9 +0.4
Liberal Billy Lake 660 1.6 N
Lab Majority 30,520 74.8 -2.3
Turnout 40,786 65.1 -2.2
Labour hold
Swing 1.1 Lab to C
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 3, 2021 9:21:07 GMT
Just noticed that there was no Brexit Party candidate here, in how many other non-Tory seats (outside Scotland, certainly) was that the case?
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Post by hullenedge on Apr 3, 2021 9:23:21 GMT
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by john07 on Apr 12, 2021 1:53:37 GMT
At what stage did the Conservatives start to use Blue as their campaign colour rather than Orange? |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 17, 2022 6:33:29 GMT
Boundary changes make this seat more suburban but not much less solidly Labour (though it will fall behind Liverpool Riverside as the safest Labour seat). Inner city Anfield and Everton are removed to Riverside and the peripheral estate wards of Croxteth and Norris Green added from West Derby. Additionally the more middle class and owner occupied area of Aintree is added from Sefton Central (part of Molyneux ward). This must also vote solidly Labour now but not quite as monolithically as the Liverpool wards. 2019 Notional result | Lab | 38113 | 81.9% | | Con | 4815 | 10.4% | | LD | 1116 | 2.4% | | BxP | 930 | 2.0% | | Grn | 875 | 1.9% | | Oth | 669 | 1.4% |
| | | | Majority | 33298 | 71.6% |
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Post by batman on Dec 17, 2022 10:16:26 GMT
You've got to admire someone who works out notionals for Liverpool Walton, Liverpool Riverside & Knowsley
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